07/31/2014 2:29PM

Balmoral: Saturday 8/2 Analysis


Race 10 - $20,000 Guaranteed Pick Four Pool

Best Bet (31 - 53 / $129.00): LOVE YOU ALWAYS (12th)

Spot Play: PRAIRIE THUNDER (7th)


Race 1

(9) FOX VALLEY CUPID just paced a huge mile in a big race.  The 3-year-old has few threats and will be winging out of the gate.  (4) FEELNLIKEAROCKSTAR two-year-old gelding faces older more seasoned opponents but the pacer flashed talent last out.  (5) MYSTICAL SHOOTER besides the top choice faces much easier.

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Race 2

(7) ONE JAZZY LADY sophomore filly has been facing stakes-caliber horses and finds a suspect field to gain some confidence.   (1) PARKLANE SPARKLE owns a big burst of speed but has lots of gait issues; command a price.  (8) ALWAYS TALKING filly makes her second start for new connections and could have more to offer.

Race 3

(5) NO FEAR NO DOUBT will be a major player at this level if the pacer is ready off the scratch.  (4) SVAYA KNOWS has been super for the new connections and a similar effort to his last two puts his nose on the wire.  (6) ROLLINLIKEAHOTSHOT impeccably bred 3-year-old is starting to find his stride; threat.

Race 4

(3) MOHAWK WARRIOR talented 2-year-old colt makes his second career start off a smashing debut.  (5) LUCPARK was impeded last out turning for home or things could have been different; threat.  (4) INDIAN OUTLAW first start for new connections off an excellent qualifier.

Race 5

(3) MR LELAND'S FILLY was awesome in the final last week exploding in deep stretch.  The well bred 2-year-old will be tough to beat with any kind of similar effort.  (1) LEX filly was roughed up being used multiple times last start but can rebound with a smooth trip.  (2) ANGEL DEMON has tons of upside and room to improve.

Race 6

(9) CUZIMALEGEND finds a much softer spot and should be better with second time lasix.  (3) MACKENZIE'S POWER could be the sleeper in the race at a huge price.  The 10-year-old mare has beaten much better on the year and can pace big miles from time to time.  (7) PRETTY PLACE needs a good trip but could be a player late especially with a fast pace to close into.

Race 7

(7) PRAIRIE THUNDER was super sharp last out and with a lot of action up front will be a huge threat to sweep past late.  (4) DODGER has also been sharp and fits nicely at this level.  (1a) LENNOX BLUE CHIP has been knocking on the door recently; threat.

Race 8

(5) MY MISS CAROLINE takes a big drop in class and still should offer a nice price.  (4) PLAYFUL INNOCENCE took some time off and looks to have come back much better.  (7) VIPER BLUE CHIP needed the start last out just tiring late; threat.

Race 9

(6) SOME KINDA BEACH hasn't quite found his 3-year-old form but gets a chance to get back on track at a price for a hot barn.  (3) RHOMBUS should be in line for another nice trip up close to the pace.  (1) REAL OR MAGIC consistently paces good miles but usually needs some racing luck to hit the top spot.

Race 10

(7) HOLY CHIP doesn't win often but takes a significant drop in class and should be used aggressively.  (5) DRESS THE PART has been going some big miles in Ohio and has proven connections.  (1) COTTON EYED JOE faces older but does draw the rail and should get a ground-saving trip before shaking loose late.

Race 11

In a very tough race to handicap (7) HELLO MY DREAM has been getting better all year and just needs a trouble-free trip to be a player late.  (1) DALLAS JONES has been racing gamely and will be firing early.  (6) PARTY HANGOVER has raced herself back up the class ladder and looks to make it five straight wins; threat.

Race 12

(1) LOVE YOU ALWAYS gets a huge driver change and was sneaky sharp last out having nowhere to go with a lot of pace.  (8) SCHMATIE mare has yet to fire this year but this could be the right spot coming off an effort that saw her blaze home late.  (3) M A DUTY seems to always race up to her competition but will need more in this spot and is probably best used underneath.

Race 13

(8) IM REAL GOOD was raced from off the pace last out which isn't likely to happen this week; fires early.   (6) BELL VALLEY TIGER tests the deeper waters up in class but the connections have been hot and the gelding could show good improvement on the big track.  (3) HOLY MCMOSES gets a huge driver change and is versatile.

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