08/14/2014 3:25PM

Balmoral: Saturday 8/16 Analysis

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Race 10 - $20,000 Guaranteed Pick Four Pool

Best Bet (31 - 55 / $129.00): L A CAMCHARGER (2nd)

Spot Play: CASEYS LIL HARRY (5th)

 

Race 1

In an extremely tough race to gauge (2) IM A DAN FOOL will offer a fair price and has been better than his lines show in his last three.  (4) I'M REAL GOOD is tough to leave the connections of the ticket as of late.   (5) HOLY MCMOSES could be a major player with some early action up front.

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Race 2

(6) L A CAMCHARGER has been ultra impressive in the new barn.  (4) SVAYA KNOWS three-year-old faces older but has also turned it around for new connections.  (8) TOLEDO BEND GATOR is far better suited at the big track and will offer a big price.

Race 3

(4) MASTER JEEVES set a lifetime mark last out for red hot connections.  (5) RUSSELL L gelding never got into the race last start but has shown good closing ability with a trip.  (1) LD'S DASH gets the rail back down at the bottom level; versatile.

Race 4

(3) HOLDINGALLTHECARDS appears to be rounding back into form after a slow start to the year.  (2) BEST MAN HANOVER pacer is probably the horse to beat with any one of his previous efforts off the layoff.  (1) OUR DRAGON KING has some question marks off the scratch, however his last race was exceptional; threat.

Race 5

(1) CASEY'S LIL' HARRY veteran pacer owns only one victory on the year but faces a much softer bunch.  (2) NO FEAR NO DOUBT needs some racing luck but owns a big burst of speed when timed right.  (4) DODGER has gone some big efforts with little to show for it; threat.

Race 6

(7) MAJOR MONET has good gate speed and a lot of back class in a wide open race.  (6) RHOMBUS has been consistently hitting the board but has had trouble slamming the door late all year long; command a price.  (4) ALWAYS THE SUN faces older but has been pacing some really good miles.

Race 7

(2) FOX VALLEY TOUCHE looks to be in line for a good trip up close to the pace.  (7) PARTY HANGOVER comes into the race on a big roll; fires early.  (1) STATE STREET LIZ pacing mare has really stepped her game up recently and gets the best post.

Race 8

In a field with few contenders (5) DUNE IN RED gets a big step down in completion and should still offer a fair price.   (3) DALLAS JONES was razor sharp last out against a quality bunch.  (2) THE BRUZILIAN BLUR popped at a price down in class but would need much more; use underneath.

Race 9

(11) AL'S HAMMERED sensational stretch runner actually benefits from the second tier which should put him in a perfect striking spot turning for home.  (7) A COOL CARD has a really good record at the track and could have an outside shot to score an upset with some racing luck.  (1) BIG BRAD pacer owns a big burst of speed and looks to be in line for a ground-saving trip.

Race 10

(8) PRAIRIE THUNDER former four-claimer has been pacing up a storm recently and just needs honest fractions up front for a chance late.  (4) COTTON EYED JOE faces older but will offer good value and is capable of a big effort any week.  (2) SOME HEART THROB impeccably bred pacer makes his third start back off a layoff and was really good last start.

Race 11

(9) LOVE YOU ALWAYS owns a big class edge on most of the field; fires early.   (6) IDEAL HELEN well bred filly is 0 for the year but has been facing some stiff competition out east.  (5) WINSPIRATIONAL has been knocking on the door but needs a lot of racing luck to hit the top spot.

Race 12

(2) ALEQUASH HOTSPUR takes a significant drop in class for proven connections in this scenario.  (5) MAJOR MALE seems to be hit or miss but can jump up with a big effort from time to time.  (8) SPECIAL JOE veteran pacer has blazing gate speed and just needs a smooth trip for a piece.

Race 13

(6) DAVE'S BID gelding raced well at Springfield and needed the start; threat.  (7) PUT TO THE TEST four-year-old makes his first start for new connections and has been racing gamely at this level.  (1) THUNDER RISES gets the best post and should save some ground before shaking loose late but is probably best used underneath.

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