07/03/2014 2:35PM

Balmoral: Saturday 7/5 Analysis

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Race 10 - $20,000 Guaranteed Pick Four Pool

Best Bet (25 - 41 / $104.80): OUR DRAGON KING (3rd)

Spot Play: TIZA MOJO (13th)

 

Race 1

(10) FOX VALLEY CUPID has shown more ability than most of the field and just needs to ration out his speed for a big chance late.  (7) BLUE RIVER also could be in the mix early in an inconsistent field.  (9) SUMMER SHANDY gelding is two for two but the connections have picked their spots with certain horses.  If the pacer leaves he's a threat to hit the top spot.

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Race 2

(4) TEA PARTY PATRIOT will definitely offer a better price than his last and still could have the most ability despite coming up small last out.   (7) O'SUNDLAND lightly raced stallion could need a start over the track but the 4-year-old looks promising on paper.  (1) PART TIME three-year-old has a big engine but is tough to get him to settle down once he's fired up.

Race 3

(2) OUR DRAGON KING should be sitting on a big effort third start back after showing wicked closing ability.  (3) NO FEAR NO DOUBT has been pacing some good miles and just needs a smooth trip to hit the ticket at a price.  (7) EXTRAVAGANT ART well bred 4-year-old owns a big move but has yet to win on the year; use underneath.

Race 4

(5) MY LITTLE BIT filly still wasn't quite right last out despite being pushed early.  Look for the 3-year-old to be much sharper racing two weeks in a row.  (3) M A DUTY has a ton of ability and appears to be getting better; threat.  (8) PARTY HANGOVER TWO filly has gotten the short end of the stick on the post draws but was super last out.  The pacer could be dangerous late with some racing luck.

Race 5

(3) UNCLE UGLY was devastating in the Maywood Pace and is tough to go against; short price.  (2) SLEAZEBURGERNFRIES pacer might be small in stature but he gives a hundred percent effort every start.  (6) PQ THREE has not come back sharp off the layoff but could be ready any week to pop off a big mile.

Race 6

(1) I'LL TELL YOU WHAT closed a ton of ground last start to some game opponents.  The 9-year-old trotter should be much closer turning for home.  (7) ANTS INER PANTS mare looks to be freshened up and faces a much softer field than what she's been used to.  (3) VAPORSTAR gelding went a tough trip first up last out but is much better than his lines show.

Race 7

(6) BLOOMING GENIUS needed his last start and should have more to offer late.  (2) LUCKY CRUSADER has yet to win on the year but has been knocking on the door; threat.  (1) ROCKIN RUMBLE makes his second start back off a two year layoff, gets the best post, and should offer a big price.

Race 8

(5) STAMPED BY DESIGN will be used aggressively down in class and a good effort puts him on the board.  (1) WASHINGTON HANOVER was recently in the invite but has had little to offer late; use caution.  (4) CASINO CAPTOR is racing better than his lines show and just needs a smooth trip to cash.

Race 9

In a field with few contenders (7) IN OVER MY HEAD is razor sharp and versatile.  (8) TIME TO ROLL went a huge mile last out and will need a similar effort to get it done from a tough post.  (4) HOLDINGALLTHECARDS gets a good driver change and has the ability to pull off the upset in the right scenario.

Race 10

(1) FASHION DELIGHT will be looking to drop and pop from the rail.  (5) CRANKIN' IT UP is capable of better and could just be rounding into form.  (8) LIFE IS GOOD TODAY bumps up in class but has been racing gamely.

Race 11

(3) NO RESPECT five-year-old battled for the lead last out taking away the pacer's fight late.  The mare has been facing better at Hoosier and should have more with a good trip.  (6) FOX VALLEY TOUCHE might be a step slower this year but still has all the tools to be competitive with this bunch.  (8) WHISTLE PIG never got into the mile last out but should be involved early.

Race 12

(2) JUST BY DESIGN finds a really soft field to get her year on track.  (4) OUR MISS LILY could be the sleeper in the race off the dull-looking last line.  The pacer had been sharp prior.  (7) GENTLE JANET mare has been a new pacer this year and seems to keep getting better.

Race 13

(8) TIZA MOJO takes a big drop in class and should offer a nice price; fires late.  (4) TIMEWELL has been pacing some big miles and is versatile.  (6) WESTERN DEAL is always a threat at this level despite only one victory on the year.

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