07/24/2014 2:39PM

Balmoral: Saturday 7/26 Analysis

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Race 10 - $20,000 Guaranteed Pick Four Pool

Best Bet (29 - 50 / $119.60): OUR DRAGON KING (10th)

Spot Play: SEEYOUATTHEFINISH (11th)

 

Race 1

(6) ALWAYS JIMMY RAY needed the start last out and raced well against some game opponents.  (4) HECTOR B just needs a good setup to score his first victory on the year.  (10) WELL DUNE gets a tough starting post and will need to find a way into the race; command a price.

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Race 2

(5) GIRLS HUNT TOO filly will offer a big price and did show some improvement in her second lifetime start.  (2) LEX will be a heavy favorite off some powerful efforts.  The field will have to put some pressure on her early for their best chance.  (1) DUNESIDE PERTTIE also has an outside shot to pull the upset and might get to track the leaders with a good ground-saving trip before shaking loose late.

Race 3

In a field with few contenders (2) BAILEY'S WISH will cash a good payday if she minds her manners; short price.  (1) SAY NO MO could be an upset candidate with some racing luck.  (4) ROLETTE was terrible last out breaking twice but has shown a good burst of speed.

Race 4

(1) MOLLY GO LIGHTLY took a long time for the 3-year-old to find her freshman form but the filly has been sneaky sharp in her last two.  (5) MY LITTLE BIT is a bit inconsistent on the year but was awesome last out being used multiple times.  (1a) CUZIMALEGEND can serve two purposes by blasting out of the gate and one of them is to get a great spot up front.

Race 5

(2) FOX VALLEY VETO three-year-old has been super in his last three showing a big late kick.  (3) TOUR HALL tough to knock the trotter as he has finished first or second in every start this year; fires early.  (1) PHOTO SURPRISE Illinois champion 2-year-old is the sleeper in the race making his sophomore debut off a solid qualifier.

Race 6

(2) THISISHOWWEROLL will offer a big price and has tons of room to improve in a wide-open race.  (1a) KING OF THE SWAMP went a nice mile last out wire to wire and looks primed for a big effort.  (6) LUCPARK two-year-old will likely be charging hard late and just needs a smooth trip for a nice piece.

Race 7

(1a) UNLOCKED was roughed up against older from a tough post last out.  The powerful pacer is the one to beat with a smooth trip.  (6) UNCLE UGLY looked to be the cream of the crop a few starts ago before coming up empty in his last two.  The trainer usually has them ready for the big money.  (7) FOX VALLEY DUECE hasn't proved he belongs quite yet but this is a great opportunity.

Race 8

(7) TIME TO ROLL will be doing just that early and could be too much for the field down in class.  (3) BIG BRAD is really sharp right now and is the main danger to the top choice.  (5) SOME KINDA BEACH is tough to gauge off a very poor effort but his best puts him in the mix.

Race 9

(4) ANTS INER PANTS has the ability to beat this field with a good effort.  (7) CELEBRITY HERCULES was really sharp at this track before having no luck in Indiana.  (6) EASTER TEKA comes off a nice victory but faces slightly tougher.

Race 10

(5) OUR DRAGON KING just needs a good steer from a low percentage pilot; big chance.  (8) BIG DADDY WOO WOO was a game winner last out but needs a better effort up in class.  (3) REAL OR MAGIC has been consistently putting in good efforts and should be in line for a good trip.

Race 11

In a wide open race on paper (9) SEEYOUATTHEFINISH could benefit from the week off.  The mare has a big late kick and just needs to get towed into it for a big chance to sweep past late.  (4) WHISTLE PIG will be driven very aggressively drawing inside.  The mare doesn't look great on paper but expect a good effort.  (1) STATE STREET LIZ mare is racing better than her lines indicate and should offer a big price.

Race 12

(5) ALWAYS THE SUN was on fire from an impossible spot late last out.  The 3-year-old faces an older seasoned bunch but looks to be getting better with every start.  (1) FANCY CREEK ELUSIV came up empty last out bet down as the favorite putting in a dull effort but his best beats this field.  (6) LENNOX BLUE CHIP had not shown early speed in a long time but did just that last start and that could indicate good things going forward.

Race 13

(5) NO FEAR NO DOUBT finally finds a good spot down in class to get back on the winning track; big chance.  (2) SPECIAL JOE also faces easier and went some big efforts at this level a short time ago.  (8) ROCKIN RUMBLE is on the comeback trail after a long layoff and was much improved last start; threat.

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