07/17/2014 2:33PM

Balmoral: Saturday 7/19 Analysis


Race 10 - $20,000 Guaranteed Pick Four Pool

Best Bet (27 - 47 / $111.00): TIME OUTA JAIL (2nd)

Spot Play: FOX VALLEY AMANDA (6th)


Race 1

(9) DUPAGE'S Z TAM closed a ton of ground in his debut and has the breeding to be a real good one.  (8) GOLD STAR IMAGE two-year-old Indiana bred had pace on both ends of the mile last out; threat.   (5) FAAVAAS has slowly shown improvement and will offer a big price in an inexperienced field full of question marks.

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Race 2

(4) TIME OUTA JAIL has been facing much tougher and finds a spot to gain some confidence.  (2) BOBBY B BREEZE gelding gets a good post and should be sitting a nice trip with his tactical gate speed.  (8) CARDINAL WIND was the driver's choice and owns a good late kick but will need some pace up front to close into.

Race 3

(6) LEX filly looks to have the jump on the rest of the 2-year-olds owning a big burst of speed.  (2) DUNESIDE SPLASH makes her third lifetime start and has plenty of room to improve.  (4) FOX VALLEY REDHEAD filly could be the only threat to the top choice but just raced evenly in her last after being sharp prior.

Race 4

(4) FOX VALLEY CUPID gelding would have to hit a brick wall late to not score his second lifetime win; short price.  (10) MYSTICAL SHOOTER has been facing much tougher and could be a candidate to pick up the pieces if the favorite can't ration out his speed.  (6) BLUE RIVER has yet to take the next step forward but has flashed some ability; use underneath.

Race 5

In a field with few contenders (4) EARNDAWG will be out to settle the score with the favorite and will be much closer turning for home.  (3) LUCPARK scored off a perfect trip last out and will be used aggressively; threat.  (2) GET YOUR CAMO ON was super in the qualifier before the miscue in his debut.

Race 6

(5) FOX VALLEY AMANDA filly has really blossomed in her last few starts; threat.  (4) M A DUTY was the driver's choice, gets a great post, and has flashed a big burst of speed.  (1a) MOLLY GO LIGHTLY has some excuses and could upset at a price with a smooth trip.

Race 7

(4) DAKOTA ROADSTER was an overlay last out winning for fun but the secret could be out.  (2) KING OF THE SWAMP has some starts under his belt and was much improved in his last; threat.  (6) GETT'ER DONE DUNE was up against it from the worst post on a small track in her last effort.  The 2-year-old colt is on a level playing field this week and will be cranking it up late.

Race 8

(8) BEST MAN HANOVER went a jaw dropping effort off the layoff taking no prisoners.  If the well bred gelding races back to that the field is in trouble.  (6) HOLDINGALLTHECARDS has yet to regain his 2013 form but has been consistently pacing big miles against tough opponents.  (10) UNLOCKED faces older and gets the worst post.  The pacer could be using the race as a tune-up for a different spot.  However the 3-year-old owns a wicked burst of speed and could hit the board even racing from the back.

Race 9

(5) IN OVER MY HEAD is versatile and could be the sleeper in the field with some racing luck.  (7) AL'S HAMMERED comes off a scratch and a hasn't raced in a few weeks but has been unstoppable when they turn for home; fires late.  (6) TIME TO ROLL was the driver's choice and will be blasting off the gate; threat.

Race 10

(2) UNCLE UGLY came up empty last out after crushing the field the start prior.  The gelding will look to rebound at a better price.  (9) LENNOX BLUE CHIP has yet to win on the year but is racing better than his lines indicate.  (4) BLOOMING GENIUS made a break last out but a good effort puts him in the mix.

Race 11

(3) BIG DADDY WOO WOO makes his third start back off a long layoff and should be ready for a big effort.  (8) FANCY CREEK ELUSIV will look to score his first victory of the year down in class; big chance.  (9) DODGER can really fly late but needs the right setup; use underneath.

Race 12

(7) TOTAL SIN will offer a big price and should love the long stretch; threat.  (6) ROLLINLIKEAHOTSHOT impeccably bred 3-year-old could be ready to put together a nice win streak and has shown signs of stepping his game up.  (5) SUMMER SHANDY will look to make it four wins in four starts but faces a very tough task.

Race 13

(7) ROCKIN RUMBLE owns some back class and should offer a great price coming off a miscue.  (8) FURIOUS FRANK has blazing gate speed and just needs to ration it out for a shot late.   (1) BLUEBIRD CHEETAH is just now rounding back into form off a layoff and gets a the best post.

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