07/10/2014 4:35PM

Balmoral: Saturday 7/12 Analysis


Race 10 - $20,000 Guaranteed Pick Four Pool

Best Bet (25 - 44 / $104.80): O’SUNDLAND (6th)

Spot Play: ROCKIN RUMBLE (8th)


Race 1

(2) A REAL HOOSIER had a good first lifetime start closing good ground late and should be primed for more.  (5) CASEY AT BAT well bred 2-year-old has been right there on the wire in his first start and the qualifier; threat.  (7) DUPAGE'S Z TAM was impressive in the qualifier and could be sitting on a big effort.

[DRF HARNESS: Watch the Meadowlands Pace and a stakes-filled card on DRF!]

Race 2

(6) ROLLINLIKEAHOTSHOT impeccably bred pacer has a ton of question marks off the poor performance and scratch, however if the 3-year-old is right he has the most upside in the field.  (2) BLOODBATH MCGRATH is a bit of a head case but faces much easier competition.  (9) SHOTGUN SEASON gets a tough post to navigate but is clearly improving with each start.

Race 3

(1) WELL DUNE gets the best post, had no shot last out, and will offer a nice price in a tough race to handicap.  (7) READY went a big effort race just getting picked off late.  The pacer would be tough to beat if he rations out his speed.  (2) CONZO has really lacked stamina late in most of his starts and bumps up in class; use underneath.

Race 4

(7) HELLO MY DREAM has been facing much older seasoned opponents and finds a great spot to make a splash.  (1) U R IT BB Indiana bred pacer has a big time pedigree and will look to get her first victory of the year; threat.  (3) PARTY HANGOVER TWO filly is racing much better than her lines indicate.  The 3-year-old was blocked last out with nowhere to go and should offer a great price.

Race 5

(3) ALWAYS DEE ONE filly has a big burst of speed and is the horse to beat as long as she stays pacing.    (4) FOX VALLEY AMANDA went a monster effort last out being broken into losing a ton of ground before charging to the front only to be picked off late. (6) BOXED CHOCOLATES well bred 3-year-old hasn't had a start in almost two months but has flashed some ability; use underneath.

Race 6

(4) O' SUNDLAND four-year-old stallion was super sharp last out barely breaking a sweat.  (8) MY BOY CAL takes a big drop in class and will be used aggressively.  (6) CASINO CAPTOR has been slowly improving for new connections but would need more.

Race 7

(3) DINNER AT THE MET faces a much softer bunch and gets sent out for a trainer that usually has them ready to fire in big races.  (1) PQ THREE was on fire late last out and will be a contender with a similar effort.  (5) PUMPED UP KICKS well bred gelding has been pacing up a storm and raced well last start against much better.

Race 8

In a wide open race on paper (9) ROCKIN RUMBLE could be ready to do just that at a price third start back off a long layoff.  (7) WASHINGTON HANOVER has burned cash in four straight starts lacking stamina late; use caution.  (1) HEATH put in a good effort, gets the best post, and is always capable of pulling the upset. 

Race 9

(8) RHOMBUS the connections have had some nice recent winners and the pacer needed his last start; threat  (6) FASHION DELIGHT crushed a similar field in his last race but will offer low value and doesn't have to win.  (2) CASEY'S LIL'HARRY raced lights out against a tough bunch and will need a repeat of that effort to hit the board.

Race 10

(3) BIG BRAD had no chance last out from an impossible spot at Maywood.  The pacer was razor sharp prior and looks to offer good value.  (8) HOLDINGALLTHECARDS does his best work from the back of the pack and just needs a fast pace up front to be a major player late.  (1) TINK AND TIGER bumps up in class but was super sharp last start.

Race 11

(7) RYLEIGH'S LILLY mare has a big late kick and can beat this field at a price if she minds her manners.   (6) PARTY HANGOVER will need to step her game up against a good field but has the ability; threat.   (2) SEEYOUATTHEFINISH four-year-old pacer leaves it out on the track every week and just needs a smooth trip.

Race 12

(10) OUR DRAGON KING disappointed a bit last out getting picked off late.  The pacer should offer a much better price and is one of the horses to beat.  (8) NO FEAR NO DOUBT picks up a good driver change and has been facing slightly better.  (9) BIG DADDY WOO WOO could be the sleeper coming off a scratch.  The veteran pacer was sharp in his only start of the year.

Race 13

In a field with few contenders (5) WESTERN DEAL just missed last out and has been knocking on the door; threat.  (4) GALACTIC STAR goes back to a barn that had him on a roll.  (3) TIMEWELL has had some tough racing luck but is a player in this group.

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