07/09/2015 3:29PM

Balmoral: Saturday 7/11 Analysis


Race 9 - $20,000 Guaranteed Pick Four Pool

Best Bet (27 - 44 / $98.40): DIAMOND DESIRE IVY (3rd)

Spot Play: IN OVER MY HEAD (7th)


Race 1

(1) BS TYRRIFIC gelding hasn't done anything wrong yet crossing the finish line first every time he has hit the track.  (9) ROYAL ROSE also has yet to taste defeat and the pacer's last mile was extremely good.   (2) RED RED REDNECK could be the sleeper in the race at a price getting sent out for a provisional pilot.

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Race 2

(8) SPORTSMUFFLER sophomore pacing filly was deceptively sharp last week having nowhere to pace the entire length of the stretch.  (4) ASHOK ACE has been facing much tougher out east.  The pacer gets sent out for capable connections.  (3) LEX somehow managed to get away with a 30 3/5 second quarter last start.  The filly pacer has more to prove and this would be a good start.

Race 3

(9) DIAMOND DESIRE IVY gelding only has one win in his career, however the pacer was full of pace late after being trapped in the stretch last week.  (5) LEO three-year-old makes his career debut off a solid qualifier.  (2) BB SHERMAN has slowly been getting better but needs more; use underneath.

Race 4

(2) BIG BRAD rarely wins but takes a significant drop in class.  (5) PRAIRIE THUNDER has been sharp in his last few and just needs a smooth trip for a piece.  (4) GIBBS made up a ton of ground late in his last two.  The pacer needs a good setup to score.

Race 5

(9) GOINDUNESIDE well bred freshman has lots of room to improve second start out.  (1) THA PIPE FITTA looks to have a lot of ability but needs to stay pacing.  (3) SILVER SAGE will likely be ready for a big effort after a few starts underneath his belt; threat.

Race 6

(7) RISE UP NOW impeccably bred pacer will look to make it seven of nine on the year and likes to race up front; fires early.  (6) THE BIG YEAR well bred pacer looks to be getting better with every start and should be a major player against this bunch.  (2) MAJOR ED has gapped cover in three straight but usually kicks it in late; command a price.

Race 7

(5) IN OVER MY HEAD owns the biggest brush in the field when right.   The pacer should get plenty of pace to close into; fires late.  (6) FORT SILKY is always a threat at this level; fires early.   (2) TIME TO ROLL impeccably bred pacer owns a win at this level on the year and is better than what he currently shows.

Race 8

(2) DEFEND THE ROCK turned it around in a big way last out for new connections.  If the pacer can duplicate or improve off that effort he can hit the board at a price.  (4) EASTER TEKA actually gapped the rail last out before closing good ground after backing up to last.  The mare should be in line for a much better trip.  (6) TIME OUTA JAIL just missed last out against a similar field; threat.

Race 9

(2) MY BUDDY NINKSTER owns wins against better competition than most of the field.  (1) FEELNLIKEAROCKSTAR pacer has a big burst of speed and gets the best post.  (3) EARNDAWG has lacked pop late in a number of efforts on the year; command a price.

Race 10

(7) BET ON HIM takes a huge drop back down for a tag and just needs a good setup to score against much weaker.  (8) SVAYA KNOWS gets sent out for capable connections and owns a good late kick with the right setup.  (1) SUNSET DREAMER has been very sharp in his last two.

Race 11

(3) FOX VALLEY KIT faces older but finds a field full of question marks.  The sophomore pacing filly should offer a nice price in a wide-open race.  (9) BUST MY CHOPS pacing mare usually can string a couple of good efforts together every year.  The last mile was a significant improvement.  (8) FOUR HOUR NAP mare has yet to win a start on the year but has done her best work at this track.

Race 12

(7) MADOFF just needed a better set up last week.  The 7-year-old stallion was flying late and faces weaker.   (9) JACKSON BERLOW rarely wins but should offer a better price from a tough post; threat.  (4) WILDCAT BOBBY owns a better win on the year but has just been racing evenly as of late; command a price.

[MEADOWLANDS: Watch the Graduate Trot Final and Meadowlands Pace elimiantions--Live on DRF!]