06/26/2014 2:49PM

Balmoral: Saturday 6/28 Analysis


Race 10 - $20,000 Guaranteed Pick Four Pool

Best Bet (23 - 38 / $98.40): UNLOCKED (6th)

Spot Play: BIG BRAD (12th)


Race 1

(5) MEADOWBROOK SAMSON is ready to roll third start back off the layoff and just needs a smooth trip.  (8) SUMMER SHANDY four-year-old has tremendous upside and looks to make it two for two to start his career.  (9) BLUE RIVER has yet to progress but has flashed some ability against better.

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Race 2

In a field of first time starters (3) PISTOPACKINPIPER gets sent out for a trainer that has them ready off the bench and the pacer will be trying to hit the top spot.  (4) ALMOST CRIMINAL was the driver's choice and has a really nice pedigree.   (5) REALLY DAVE two-year-old has a start on the field that could benefit the pacer.

Race 3

(5) WESTERN DEAL has been knocking on the door and could use a battle up front to close into.  (6) ELKHORN DAMIEN is tough to go against at this level but there are concerns; use caution.  (1) GALACTIC STAR steps up in class after some dominating efforts but would need more; use underneath.

Race 4

(7) TEA PARTY PATRIOT doesn't own the best record but the ability is there; fires late.  (8) TIME RUNNING OUT powerful pacer is small in stature but seems to race his best at this track.  The well bred 3-year-old has to overcome the driver but is the horse to beat.  (6) BADGER QUINN has yet to show consistency but a good effort puts him in the mix.

Race 5

(6) SEEYOUATTHEFINISH mare is sharp and will be tough to hold off late with any trip.  (4) DON'T FLASH ME owns some back class on the field and is a threat.  (1) RYLEIGH'S LILLY mare went a monster trip from far back circling the field last out.  She steps up in class but could be good enough.

Race 6

(2) UNLOCKED didn't take to the turns last out at Maywood.  As long as the pacer minds his manners its him against the clock.  (1) SLEAZEBURGERNFRIES lightly raced colt has some upside and room to improve.  (7) FOX VALLEY CUPID put in a big effort last out racing gamely; fires early.

Race 7

(2) FOX VALLEY ARROW needed his last start and should be sharper.  (5) EASTER TEKA was an easy winner down in class and should hit the board with a good effort.  (4) CELEBRITY HERCULES would have been a heavy favorite last year and has shown some signs of turning it around recently.

Race 8

(6) HELLO MY DREAM sophomore pacer is on a roll but will be tested early and late.  (2) NO RESPECT takes a huge drop in class, gets the best post, and will be used aggressively.  (7) POCO GRANNY mare is the sleeper in the race with the right setup.

Race 9

(6) IN OVER MY HEAD has the only shot in the race at upsetting the heavy favorite.  (7) AL'S HAMMERED has been unstoppable showing a wicked late kick; short price.  (3) SILVER DEVIL pacer has been going some big efforts and will look to pick up a piece late.

Race 10

(7) LIFE IS GOOD TODAY doesn't have the best win-loss record but has been racing gamely against better.  (2) BUBS DESIRE gelding was on fire late last out and should be much closer turning for home.  (9) TINK AND TIGER gets saddled with a tough post but could offer a nice price underneath.

Race 11

(2) REAL OR MAGIC was a game winner last time at this level and should offer value.  (8) FANCY CREEK ELUSIV has been facing some stiff competition as a 4-year-old.  The pacer has excellent closing ability and could be ready for a big effort.  (7) MAJOR MONET will be firing early and is a huge threat with a good trip.

Race 12

(5) BIG BRAD makes his third start back off a long layoff and is one of few contenders in the race.  The first start back was eye popping.  (8) OUR DRAGON KING was vicious in his only start of the season and looks to be ready for a big year. (6) EXTRAVAGANT ART has a big burst of speed but is better used underneath.

Race 13

(8) OUR MISS LILY mare is sneaky sharp right now and will offer a big price with a low percentage driver.  (10) JUST BY DESIGN was the driver's choice but needs to work out a good trip from a tough post.  (6) GIMMEAZZMOOCH owns ability and good early speed; vulnerable late.

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