06/19/2014 2:43PM

Balmoral: Saturday 6/21 Analysis


Race 10 - $20,000 Guaranteed Pick Four Pool

Best Bet (21 - 36 / $89.80): MEADOWBROOK SAMSON (3rd)

Spot Play: BIG BRAD (11th)


Race 1

In an inexperienced field of first time starters (1a) JACKSON'S IMAGE absolutely ran off in the qualifier on a sloppy track.  The freshman pacer's mother was a brute on the track as a two-year-old.  (1) ROCKIN' COUGAR actually ran a faster time and kicked a last quarter home a full second faster than the top choice; big chance.   (1b) ROCK SONG pacer comes off two nice qualifiers himself.

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Race 2

(5) COTTONLAND GEM should find this field a lot easier than last; threat.  (1) WELL DUNE had too much work to do from a tough spot in his last race.  The lightly raced 3-year-old gets the best post and will be much closer turning for home.  (2) HOLY MCMOSES gelding has been facing tougher but rarely wins; use underneath.

Race 3

(3) MEADOWBROOK SAMSON gelding makes his third start back and should be used aggressively.  (8) BLUE RIVER should offer a fair price and is one of the faster horses in the field.  (6) SUMMER SHANDY four-year-old stallion is the sleeper in the race making his second lifetime start coming off an eye-catching victory.

Race 4

(4) ASHES N DUST ships in from out east and finds an ideal spot to do some damage at a price.  (5) WESTERN DEAL is really starting to crank it up and gets sent out for a hot driver.  (10) ELKHORN DAMIEN has won nine of thirteen on the year and just blitzed this same field, however the pacer could be stretched out early.  The eleven-year-old could be vulnerable late; use caution.

Race 5

In a wide open and evenly matched field (8) JPS MINI ME will probably be the longest shot on the board and despite his bad looking lines does have the ability to pull off the upset with some racing luck.  (6) JD'S ECHO will also offer a big price and is just rounding back into racing shape.  (1) I'M REAL GOOD was beaten by a tough opponent last out at Maywood.  Four-year-old pacer gets the best post and has been much better in a new barn.

Race 6

(3) OUR MISS LILY mare gets sent out for a low percentage pilot but has been sharp and finds a suspect field.  (5) CRANBERRY MUFFLER is pacing some good miles but has yet to win at this level.  The mare was the driver's choice and could use a fast pace to close into.  (4) M A DUTY filly has a lot of ability and just needs to stay pacing for a chance.

Race 7

(4) STATE STREET LIZ mare has put in two big efforts after some lackluster performances; threat.  (7) PARTY HANGOVER finds a much softer spot and has good closing ability.  (6) WHISTLE PIG mare was a game winner last out against a better field but isn't the most consistent pacer.

Race 8

(1) TIME RUNNING OUT the only thing that can stop him from getting his picture taken is the driver not being aggressive.  (8) TEA PARTY PATRIOT is really starting to blossom into a nice consistent horse.   The 3-year-old gelding has a ton of closing ability.  (5) SLEAZEBURGERNFRIES lightly raced colt has room to improve and always gives an honest effort.

Race 9

(4) DUNE IN RED was the driver's choice and should offer a nice price in an evenly matched race.  (6) NO RESPECT looks on paper to be the class of the field and will probably try and cut the mile.  (1) POCO GRANNY mare was at the mercy of a slow pace last out and should save some ground before shaking loose late.

Race 10

(3) FASHION DELIGHT went a tough trip being used hard to make the lead before tiring late.  The pacer gets a good post leaving plenty of options.  (2) MAJOR MONET just needs a driver change to be at his best.  The well bred pacer has a ton of gate speed; fires early.  (4) REAL OR MAGIC has been pacing some good miles but is probably best used underneath on your tickets.

Race 11

(10) BIG BRAD makes his third start back from a long layoff and has shown a wicked burst of speed.  The pacer needs to find a way into the race but will have a say late if he's close enough.  (3) BLOOMING GENIUS didn't miss by much to some really nice 3-year-old's last out.  The pacer keeps getting better and should get a piece with a good effort.  (4) EXTRAVAGANT ART hits the board a lot but doesn't like to pass late; use underneath.

Race 12

(8) LUCKY CRUSADER went a big effort last out from a very tough post.  A similar effort puts his nose on the wire; threat.  (6) LIFE IS GOOD TODAY pacer is sharp and has been going some big miles but rarely wins; command a price.  (1) BIG DADDY WOO WOO has a ton of positives including second start back off a big first effort.  The 8-year-old owns back class but will likely need to find room late.

Race 13

(9) HEATH was good last week showing some pace late.  The pacer will offer a big price and could be sitting on an improved effort.  (1) CASINO CAPTOR makes his second start for new connections and paced a good mile last out.  (7) WASHINGTON HANOVER looked to be home free before being picked off late.  The six-year-old has burned cash in his last two but will probably offer a better price; threat.

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