05/15/2014 3:55PM

Balmoral: Saturday 5/17 Analysis


Race 10 - $20,000 Guaranteed Pick Four Pool

Best Bet (13 - 21 / $52.80): ALWAYS THE SUN (7th)



Race 1

(9) STAGE STAR filly has been much better in a new barn and will look to make it five in a row against the same field.  (10) ARROYA BLUE CHIP has been nailed by the top choice in two straight but can hit the wire first with a clever drive.  (8) ONE LOUD DING mare has been right there with the top choices in her last four.

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Race 2

(5) RITASCAPE well bred mare comes off two straight wins against better.  (6) ALWAYS ABOUT KATEY looks to be one of few who can challenge the top choice with a smooth trip.  (1) AUNIQUEAQUISTION Illinois bred champion has yet to fire but does make her third start back off a long layoff.

Race 3

(2) DALLAS JONES gets a huge driver change and was the driver's choice of four.  (1) SEEYOUATTHEFINISH is clicking on all cylinders and will be firing with a purpose late.  (5) FEEL LIKE DANCING mare comes off a solid year and makes her 4-year-old debut; use underneath.

Race 4

(6) NO FEAR NO DOUBT drops back down in for the tag where he has been a force.  (2) RICKY BOBBIE is really sharp right now and looks to be in line for another ideal trip.  (1) NITROGEN FUSE when the pacer is on go he doesn't tire easily; threat.

Race 5

(6) AL'S HAMMERED five-year-old stallion has a monster late kick and looks to make it six wins in seven starts; fires late.  (4) IN OVER MY HEAD if there's an outside shot of snapping the heavy favorite here's the horse to look at; fires early.  (5) FORT SILKY has been unable to pace with the top choice late and would need more; use underneath.

Race 6

(5) MY MUSCLEMAN takes a big drop in class and should get an aggressive drive.  (2) POWERFUL POE makes his season debut off a sharp qualifier but could need a start.  (1) FANCY LABEL mare has some ability, gets the best post, and should offer a big price.

Race 7

(6) ALWAYS THE SUN  was taken out of the race last week.  The well bred pacer should be ready for a big effort.  (1) WALKING TALL is really starting to blossom into a nice pacer; threat.  (2) BEACH BOY BRODY gelding has a lot of upside and gets sent out off a win for a top barn.

Race 8

(7) WINDSUN MONTECARLO looks terrible on paper but the well bred mare owns back class and has a few excuses.  (4) RYLEIGH'S LILLY mare gets a negative driver change and comes off a break, but the mare is probably the horse to beat with a smooth trip.  (8) CARNOUSTIE mare goes for a hot barn but is probably best used underneath.

Race 9

(3) MAJOR MONET gelding was given no chance whatsoever by the driver as the second choice last start.  The pacer was loaded with pace with nowhere to go in last.  He owns the most gate speed and just needs the pilot to step his game up.  (5) REAL OR MAGIC well bred stallion is sharp and can do it either way.  (1) ST DAVID HANOVER was the driver's choice and gets sent out for a red hot barn.

Race 10

(4) BRIEF'S BOY gelding was on fire last out from a tough spot and just needs to be closer turning for home; driver's choice.  (2) ALWAYS A FIGHTER was an easy winner down in class and could have more to offer.  (6) LUCKY CRUSADER is capable of hitting the ticket at a price but would need more to hit the top spot.

Race 11

(8) MAJOR MALE well bred stallion was used hard early last out before tiring late.  The pacer was sharp prior to his last.   (9) UNCLE BUD gets the worst post but owns all the back class; threat.  (2) HOLY CHIP gelding has been knocking on the door but has yet to win on the year; use underneath.

Race 12

(4) MASTER OF DESIRE finds a much softer field than what he's been facing.  (9) POWERFUL PILOT is in the same boat as the top choice and just needs a smooth trip for a nice piece.  (10) I'M BLUE TOO should offer a lot of value off a decent qualifier; use underneath.

Race 13

(3) JPS MINI ME raced huge last out, should offer a big price, and looks to be closer turning for home.  (2) PERFORMING NIGHTLY has been an easy winner in two straight for a hot barn.  (1) HOLY MCMOSES doesn't win often but gets the best post in a suspect field. 

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