04/03/2014 3:23PM

Balmoral: Saturday 4/5 Analysis

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Race 10 - $20,000 Guaranteed Pick Four Pool

Best Bet (5 -6  / $23.60): MASTER OF EXCUSES (9th)

Spot Play: CJ OTT (3rd)

 

Race 1

In a very soft field (1) JERSEY SHORE draws the best post and should be in line for a good trip.  (7) BLACKJACK RIVNDEL lightly raced stallion has room to improve in an inconsistent field.  (4) DUNESIDE MATT gelding showed some closing ability in his start prior but was completely flat last out.

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Race 2

(5) NITROGEN FUSE went a really tough trip last start but could get a much easier lead in this spot.  (7) IM A DAN FOOL was given an ideal trip last race and looks to have a good late kick.  (4) RICKY BOBBIE scored a victory last out but now faces a tougher bunch up in class.

Race 3

(1) CJ OTT showed a big burst of speed last out before tiring late.  The 4-year-old pacer gets the best starting post and could show improvement.  (3) LOFTY NATIVE sticks out on paper after just missing from a troubled trip; short price.  (5) HOLY MCMOSES has not won a race since his first lifetime start and the pacer loves burning cash; use underneath.

Race 4

(2) BUONCAMMINO picks up a huge driver change and should offer good value.  (5) BRIGHT LIGHT filly has a nice pedigree and is just learning how to race.  (3) FOX VALLEY AMANDA filly made a nice chunk of change last year but the connections could race her easy in her first start back.

Race 5

(4) COTTON EYED JOE two-year-old Super Night champ was given a ground-saving trip before unleashing a big late kick; big chance.  (3) JUDE HALL gelding seems to be progressing in a new barn.  (2) DAVE'S SKYSCAPER could get a good spot forwardly placed which will give him a chance at a piece; use underneath.

Race 6

(1a) POWERFUL CAMMANDER made a break last out and gets a tough post to work with, however the trotter just needs to mind his manners for a victory.  (6) SO PHOTOGENIC has been consistently putting in good efforts; threat.  (2) BELLS MOPED has a decent late kick when used right.

Race 7

(7) RITASCAPE well-bred mare has come off a layoff sharp and will be firing early.  (5) STATE STREET LIZ could be at the mercy of a slower pace up front but the mare was razor sharp last out.  (1) BLAZING FURY draws the rail and owns some back class.

Race 8

(7) LUCKY CRUSADER driver opted elsewhere but don't be discouraged the 5-year-old pacer just needs the right set up to sweep past late.  (6) MY BOY CAL needed his last start and should be better second time out.  (1a) BELL VALLEY BILL has just been racing evenly and yet to pass a horse but does face a much easier field; use caution.

Race 9

(3) MASTER OF EXCUSES will be tough to beat with any of his last few efforts.  (4) SEMPER FIT well bred gelding has the most upside in the race but probably needs a start off the bench.  (5) ITZ ALIVE six-year-old trotter makes his second start back and is a good candidate to hit the ticket; use underneath.

Race 10

(5) AL'S HAMMERED loves this track and doesn't look to have much traffic to navigate; short price.  (2) IN OVER MY HEAD would have snapped the top choice last out had he been able to shake loose late a split second sooner.  However the 8-year-old gets a non aggressive pilot.  (8) FORT SILKY gelding makes his third start off a layoff and will probably be firing early.

Race 11

(4) HOLDINGALLTHECARDS well bred pacer outclasses the field if ready.  (5) COME N BET IT has been sharp but will need more.  (6) STAMPED BY DESIGN needed his first start and could probably hit the ticket at a big price with a smooth trip.

Race 12

(4) CATMANDO gets a big driver change and has generally been better than this class.  (3) JO JO SPUR has been racing gamely and gets another good starting spot on the gate.  (7) BRUSH THIRTEEN has some ability and is versatile in a wide open field.

Race 13

(1) WHISTLE PIG drops in class, draws the rail, and should be in a great spot turning for home.  (4) LOVE YOU ALWAYS went from awesome to empty last out but drops back down to a level where she was a recent winner.  (7) DON'T FLASH ME definitely a player in the race despite never getting into the mile last start.

 

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