04/09/2015 4:24PM

Balmoral: Saturday 4/11 Analysis

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Race 9 - $15,000 Guaranteed Pick Four Pool

Best Bet (13 - 19 / $48.20): TIME OUTA JAIL (7th)

Spot Play: KOSTAS WINE (6th)

 

Race 1

(5) IF I DIDNT DREAM set a lifetime mark last out and appears to be gaining confidence.  (4) MIRIAM'S JET pacing mare is one of few threats in the race and could use a smooth trip.  (2) MYKINDAPRINCESS took a few weeks off and has been inconsistent; command a price.

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Race 2

(3) LAWMAN STAR gelding looks to have a lot of ability and just needs to stay trotting for a big chance.  (6) PAROLE OFFICER owns a decent burst of speed and should offer some value.  (7) A LOCAL BAND five-year-old trotter has been competitive against much better but rarely wins.

Race 3

(5) WILDCAT BOBBY pacer is sharp and will look to make it two straight.  (1) CRIME OF PASSION drops back in for a tag off two big efforts; threat.  (2) FOX VALLEY ANDY couldn't have asked for a better trip last out against the same competition; use underneath.

Race 4

(5) MONOPOLY MAN gelding should offer a nice price with the driver opting elsewhere.  The pacer could get a fast pace to close into; fires late.  (6) BET ON HIM couldn't win off an ideal trip and looks to offer low value; command a price.  (2) CD'S IDEAL gets a good post but needs to avoid an early speed battle for his best chance.

Race 5

(5) SKYWAY BILLY looked to snap out of a funk last out closing with a furious rally last out.   (6) WHY ASK WHY pacer has upside and finds a wide open race.  (7) DAKOTA ROADSTER has been driven very hard as of late and could try from off the pace this week before some upcoming stake races.

Race 6

(5) KOSTAS WINE went from awesome to empty last out but looks to just now be back in racing shape.   (3) LEGAL TRANSFER the pacer was loaded with pace late after the driver elected to sit in.  (2) SOUTHWIND SCORPION should be in line for a ground saving trip; use underneath.

Race 7

(8) TIME OUTA JAIL nice looking trotter gets sent out first start in a new barn and has tons of room to move forward in his second start back off a layoff.   (6) TROTTIN ON OVER five-year-old has a chance to upset if minds his manners.  (5) SHEER ACTION gets sent out for proven connections against much weaker competition.

Race 8

(4) SEEYOUATTHEFINISH mare will look make it three straight up in class and is versatile.  (3) STATE STREET LIZ mare was either rank last out or given a very poor drive.  The five-year-old can compete with this bunch and owns a ton of gate speed.  (7) OUR MISS LILY has been off three weeks but was sharp in her last few; threat.

Race 9

(4) IAM BONASERA gelding can flat out smoke home and just needs some pace to close into.   (6) FORT SILKY should be blasting off the gate for position and will be tough to catch with a soft middle half.  (5) CAM B ZIPPER could push the early pace and has been on fire against weaker.

Race 10

(1) BIG BRAD was the driver's choice of three and takes a significant drop in class.  (8) RICKY BOBBIE picks up a top driver but needs a good setup.  (4) RHOMBUS could need a start coming off a short layoff but is the fastest horse in the race when ready.

Race 11

(3) OFFICIALLY YOURS lightly raced pacer has been very good in his last two.  (6) SUBMIT U was the driver's choice and gets sent out for capable connections.   (5) RED HOT ART sophomore pacer has made breaks in four of his last six starts but owns a wicked burst of speed.  If he stays pacing he likely wins.

Race 12

In one of the best betting races on the card (6) SOUTHERN GIRL filly will look to make it three straight and should offer a better price in this race.  (4) GALLEY WENCH filly was the driver's choice of two contenders and was absolutely flying late last start at this track.  (5) LEX filly was second best of the bunch last year and gets sent out for a trainer known for having them ready when they hit the track.

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