02/12/2015 3:57PM

Balmoral: Saturday 2/14 Analysis


Race 9 - $15,000 Guaranteed Pick Four Pool

Best Bet (3 - 5 / $8.60): HEAVENLY KNOX (6th)

Spot Play: RYLEIGH’S LILLY (5th)


Race 1

(6) BEACH SAND never had a chance last out which could boost the price in a weak field.  (4) OFFICIAL COURT three-year-old filly is the only horse in the field with a recent victory and has room to improve.  (5) ONELESSLONELYGIRL mare was the driver's choice but is probably best used underneath having one win in seventy-five lifetime starts.

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Race 2

(5) RICKY BOBBIE raced big last out against a much better bunch.   (3) SOUTHWIND SCORPION also drops in class and is one of few threats to the top choice.  (1) JACKSON BERLOW gelding gets the best post and has shown the ability to step up with a big mile at times.

Race 3

(7) JUSTICE JET will look to make it four straight wins against the same bunch; fires late.  (1) ANTS INER PANTS mare put in a super effort last week before making a break.  The 6-year-old should offer good value underneath.  (6) MASTER OF EXCUSES gelding has stepped his game up recently and just needs a smooth trip for a piece.

Race 4

(3) BEST MAN HANOVER needed his last start and should be ready for a big effort.  (2) LENNOX BLUE CHIP paced a big mile last start but will need more.  (4) FORT SILKY gelding comes off another nice year but probably needs a start coming off a layoff; use underneath.

Race 5

(5) RYLEIGH'S LILLY mare has blossomed into a really nice pacer and had a terrible trip last out.  If the pacer puts in a similar effort she will be tough to beat.   (2) STATE STREET LIZ is capable of much better and looks to be in line for a great trip up close.  (4) JUST BY DESIGN classy mare is sharp and will be used aggressively.

Race 6

(7) HEAVENLY KNOX gelding had a super debut and should only get better.  (9) DAKOTA ROADSTER was used aggressively last out off a layoff which could mean the connections think he's ready to roll; threat.  (2) RED HOT ART sophomore pacer also had a solid debut and has room to improve in his second lifetime start.

Race 7

(4) CARDINAL WIND should be primed for a good effort third start back off a layoff.   (3) SPEEDY ALBER gelding made a break last out but also showed a big burst of speed.  If the trotter can mind his manners he's got a big shot.  (6) ITZ ALIVE seven-year-old has put in two really nice efforts since the break but is probably best used underneath.

Race 8

(5) IAM BONASERA has been facing much tougher and just needs to stay pacing to crush this field; short price.  (4) COTTON EYED JOE should be tighter this week but needs a smooth trip with some racing luck.  (3) ALEQUASH HOTSPUR gelding just missed last out but faces tougher; command a price.

Race 9

(5) FIRSTCLASSALLTHWAY dominated at this level two starts ago; versatile.  (6) PREEMPTIVE BID six-year-old pacer has some ability and has been sharp.  (1a) JERRICO well bred pacer scored a rare victory last out but bumps up in class; use underneath.

Race 10

(10) GALACTIC STAR comes off a victory against much better and will be flying early.  (1) BET ON HIM raced gamely last out also getting a win.  The pacer probably needed the start off a layoff.  (4) AJ GETS THE MONEY went from empty to awesome last out; threat.

Race 11

(2) LONG TERM doesn't win often but if ready is more than capable against this bunch.  (6) SVAYA KNOWS takes a significant drop in class for proven connections.  (3) REVOLUTIONARY looks to offer low value and has just been racing evenly; use caution.

Race 12

(1) CD'S IDEAL gelding needed the start last out and could be sitting on an improved effort at a price. (6) JO JO SPUR never had a shot last week off the slow first half; big chance.  (4) JUSTLIVINTHEDREAM just missed last start having the stretch lead.  The pacer is a threat despite being winless in a very long time.

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