01/29/2015 3:34PM

Balmoral: Saturday 1/31 Analysis


Race 9 - $15,000 Guaranteed Pick Four Pool

Best Bet (1 - 2 / $3.00): MAYFAIR SOPHIE (5th)

Spot Play: BET ON HIM (6th)


Race 1

(4) TREAT FOR MY SWEET was starting to race more consistently before the break and should offer a fair price in an evenly matched race.  (9) SANDCASTLE GIRL mare is one of few in the field you can count on to be ready stamina-wise.  (2) MIRIAM'S JET owns a decent burst of speed when timed right.

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Race 2

(5) MARZY BEARZY rarely wins but has been competitive against much tougher.  (2) VAL'S WAY mare owns a good brush and should be close turning for home.  (8) EARTHLY DESIRE needs a good setup but is one of few threats in the race.

Race 3

(6) RHOMBUS is very tough to gauge having been off over a month.  The pacer is capable of a big mile if ready.  (1a) PARK LANE HOTSHOT veteran pacer just missed against similar last start and should be ready despite a short layoff.  (1) EXTRAVAGANT ART will likely be in line for a decent trip up close.

Race 4

In wide open race on paper (5) WINGS has been on a roll for quite some time and looks to be getting better.  (6) STATE STREET LIZ made the most money in the field last year by far and will likely be blasting for position early.  (3) SEEYOUATTHEFINISH comes into the race off a big effort against the same bunch and will probably offer value.

Race 5

(8) MAYFAIR SOPHOIE comes off an impressive qualifier after a few breaks.  If the trotting mare minds her manners she will be tough to beat.  (5) CARDINAL WIND also put in a good qualifier after a really long layoff.  The 4-year-old could need a start but faces a field full of question marks.  (1a) POWERFUL COMMANDER five-year-old stallion owns ability but needs a smooth trip for a piece.

Race 6

(10) BET ON HIM will offer a huge price and has not been at this level in quite some time.  The pacer owns one good move when timed right and could be sitting on a good effort.  (3) JO JO SPUR comes into the race off a layoff but gets sent out for a trainer capable of popping big prices.  (5) CAMWISER will be tough to keep off the board with an easy early lead.

Race 7

(6) JM'S DUKEOFDELIGHT gets a big driver change and owns some ability.  (10) SPEED RACER just beat similar but needs to overcome the toughest post.  (7) HERE'S TOOTSIE looked to have turned a corner before the break; threat.

Race 8

(6) JUSTICE JET four-year-old is a very nice trotter and should be considered the horse to beat despite the provisional driver.   (7) FOX VALLEY VETO had an amazing sophomore year and showed signs of being able to step up against open company.  (4) SURCLASSER gelding isn't the most consistent but can really kick home with a good setup.

Race 9

(5) WASHINGTON HANOVER could be one of few in the race ready to pace a big mile after a short layoff.   (3) ALEQUASH HOTSPUR was the driver's choice of three and has recently stepped his game up.  (4) TOUCH THE ROCK owns all the back class but is coming off a year layoff and likely needs a start.

Race 10

(7) HOT STREAK HANOVER has been super for the new connections and could sweep past late at a price.  (1) A J GET'S THE MONEY also comes into the race sharp and will be firing early.  (6) BELL VALLEY BILL needs a fast pace to close into for his best chance; command a price.

Race 11

(4) FIRSTCLASSALLTHEWAY was the driver's choice and has been racing gamely against tough competition.  (10) FASHION DELIGHT owns a class edge on most of the field and is one of few threats to the top choice.  (6) BIG BRAD five-year-old stallion faces tougher and is best used underneath.

Race 12

(9) MOLLY GO LIGHTLY mare has beaten much better and just needs to work out a smooth trip from a tough post.  (6) LOVE THIS PLACE mare is capable against this bunch but was has lacked stamina late when it matters most.  (10) FOX VALLEY SHIVER will offer a big price and could hit the ticket with some racing luck.

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