12/05/2013 4:14PM

Balmoral: Saturday 12/7 Analysis


Race 10 - $20,000 Guaranteed Pick Four Pool

Best Bet (59 - 124 / $208.40): SPORTY GYPSY (4th)

Spot Play: STAMPED BY DESIGN (5th)


Race 1

(1) LOVEDANCINWITHYOU has consistently showed improvement which can't be said about most of the field.  (8) IGOTYOURCRAZY came up empty last out but had been sharp prior.  (7) PAIN RELIEF got pressured most of the mile last race but has came back much better after a layoff.

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Race 2

In a fairly wide open race (3) FOX VALLEY IVAN has the most upside and is just now back in racing shape.  (7) LOOK MA NO HANDS has been hitting the board in a new barn and is a threat.  (2) DAVE'S BID has been very disappointing in his last two efforts.  Gelding does get sent out for the top barn that is known for a big turnaround.

Race 3

In a field full of question marks (9) YANKEE JIM had pace on both end of the mile making up decent ground late.  (2) HILLCREST DYNAMITE paced a good mile last out and should be in line for a good trip.  (7) SCHUBBIE DOBBY DO might have some ability despite tiring late in the qualifier. Editor's Note: Jeremey Day co-owns #4 HYD DAT SHOOTER.

Race 4

(2) SPORTY GYPSY doesn't win very often but hasn't raced at this level in a long time.  The 5-year-old pacer gets a big driver change, drops in class, and has blazing gate speed; big chance.  (9) ROCKIN GLORY well bred 3-year-old finally got a win last out and could improve off that effort.  (5) OHTOBEAVET had no business winning last out and is starting to blossom late in the season.

Race 5

(9) STAMPED BY DESIGN went an absolute monster mile last out.  The gelding was sharp earlier in the year against better.  If the pacer can work out a trip he's dangerous even from the worst post.  (1) FOUR STARZZZ Z was sent down the road in this class the start prior and gets the best post.   (1a) TINK AND TIGER has been dreadful his last few starts but has a tendency to pace a big mile out of nowhere.

Race 6

(3) FOX VALLEY TOUCHE really woke up with the drivers change last out and is very versatile.  The classy mare might try and race closer to the pace this time out.  (2) DP ANGEL faces older but should offer a big price and with some racing luck could hit the ticket.  (1) COLE BLUE mare will be firing early and just needs to catch a breather up front for her best chance.

Race 7

(6) RITASCAPE well bred filly hasn't touched her potential and should dominate again.  (2) PEACE mare is an open-type pacer when she's on her game but might need a start off a short layoff.  (10) JETTIN JAMIE filly has more ability than most of the field besides the top two choices.

Race 8

(6) DON'T FLASH ME has been incredibly good in all her starts at the track and should still offer a fair price.  (3) DUNE IN RED is another sharp pacer in the race; threat.  (8) AQUA ARTIST mare will be winging off the gate early; if she gets soft fractions she will be tough to pass late.

Race 9

(4) AL'S HAMMERED don't let his last line fool you.  He really fired nicely off dull cover and is definitely the horse to beat.   (2) IN OVER MY HEAD was a game winner last out as well and is one of few threats to the top choice.  (10) TIME TO ROLL impeccably bred stallion is saddled with the worst post but will be flying out of the gate for position.

Race 10

(5) FASHION DELIGHT raced big last out first up and it might be hidden in his line.  The pacer takes a big drop in class and would be tough to beat with a similar effort.  (2) JUSTA COWBOY gets the best post and should save some ground before shaking loose late.  (6) JJ SHARK pacer comes off a scratch and hasn't raced in almost a month but does have some ability; use underneath.

Race 11

(9) OLD MAN RIVER drops in class, went a big mile last out, and was the drivers' choice.  (5) HIDE THE CHOCOLATE just raced evenly last start but fits nicely at this level.  (6) TOUCH THE ROCK ships in from out east and also gets class relief but could need an acclimating mile back on the surface.

Race 12

(4) BELL VALLEY BILL never got into the mile last out but can turn it around at anytime especially down in class.  (7) ALEQUASH HOTSPUR is pacing some decent miles and could use a fast pace upfront to close into.  (1) SHISWELL'S DELIGHT is another dropper in the race, draws the rail, and was an easy winner last time at this level.

Race 13

(6) BRIEF'S BOY was super last out almost winning from an impossible spot; big chance.  (10) WESTERM DEAL has been unstoppable and looks to make it five straight at this level.  (3) TIZA MOJO hasn't measured up to the top two choices recently but has paced some decent miles.

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