12/03/2015 5:18PM

Balmoral: Saturday 12/5 Analysis

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Race 9 - $20,000 Guaranteed Pick Four Pool

Best Bet (51 - 84 / $178.60): BIG EXPENSE (5th)

Spot Play: BNGS EXPRESS (9th)

 

Race 1

(7) RICHESS NESTOR has a few wins at this level on the year for the current barn; threat.  (3) NANCYS SKYSCAPE went a tough trip last week and should benefit from being closer turning for home.  (5) WESTERN DEAL has raced gamely in two straight and will offer a fair price.

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Race 2

(1) TRIXSEN GRAM has been improving each week and gets the best post in a weak and inconsistent field.  (8) MICRO FORCE lightly raced pacer owns some ability and is just now learning how to race; threat.  (5) JOHN JAY had a ton of pace last week with nowhere to go.

Race 3

(2) MY BUDDY NINKSTER three-year-old has a tough task ahead of him facing older but the pacer should be in line for a nice ground saving trip.  If the field decides to mix it up early he could pick up the pieces late.  (7) ST ELMO HERO veteran pacer will look to make it five in a row and is the horse to beat.  (3) A COOL CARD has been sharp every week for quite awhile.  A smooth trip puts him right there.

Race 4

(6) BET ON HIM needed his last start and picks up a huge driver change.  (3) JITTERBUG JACK was going to get a good piece last week before a costly break.  (5) FOX VALLEY NORMAN gets sent out for capable connections but has not finished a mile strong in quite some time; command a price.

Race 5

(9) BIG EXPENSE will look to make it three straight at this level; big chance.  (2) CERTAINLY set a career mark last week impressively.  The 3-year-old was trotting up a storm late and a repeat of that effort makes him a contender.  (3) MY MINI SNICKERS was much better for a new driver last start but is probably best used underneath.

Race 6

(8) LET'S NOT DWELL tired a bit late last week but actually finds a softer bunch than his last few.  (7) RUNINTHRUDABRIDLE can hit the ticket at a price with a better trip and a decent setup.  (3) MR MATLOCK has just been racing evenly; command a price.

Race 7

(7) SUDDENLY SINGLE tough to endorse a horse 0 for 16 on the year, however the 5-year-old has room to improve second start in a new barn.  (2) MAJOR WAY is in the same boat as the top choice making his second start for new connections.  (10) MAKE IT WORK veteran pacer has the heart of champion and never goes down without a fight.

Race 8

(7) SPLENDID PARTY was really good last week just missing against a better bunch.  (9) MADOFF seven-year-old stallion adds lasix for the second time but just can’t get over the hump with the low percentage pilot; use underneath.  (4) CUATRO CINCO has put in some big miles on the small track against better; threat.

Race 9

(10) BNGS EXPRESS was tremendous last week from a tough spot.  The secret could be out, but with a fast pace to close into the pacer will be tough to keep off the ticket.  (6) SOMESTARSOMEWHERE impeccably bred pacer drops in class and will be used aggressively.  (3) BEST MAN HANOVER dropped and popped last week.  The pacer is more than capable but will likely offer low value.

Race 10

(9) DONTGETBYME has been sharp in a new barn and with any pace to close into is the horse to beat.  (10) VITAL TERROR should help the early pace quite a bit.  The pacer owns wins at this level; fires early.  (2) BELL VALLEY TIGER just missed last week but does bump up in class.

Race 11

(6) FIVEKNUCKLESHUFFLE will look to drop and pop against significantly weaker.  (3) MONTERO BLUE CHIP could be one of few threats to the top choice but is very inconsistent from week to week.  (4) FOX VALLEY CUPID can hit the ticket underneath with some racing luck.

Race 12

(3) FRISKIE FLICKER mare will look to make it two straight bumping up in class.  The pacer was the top driver's choice and just needs to ration out her speed.  (1) CRUISDE QUEEN will offer a much better price this week with the best post.  (9) MOLLY GO LIGHTLY takes a significant drop in class but only has one start in five weeks.

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