12/23/2014 5:14PM

Balmoral: Saturday 12/27 Analysis

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Race 10 - $20,000 Guaranteed Pick Four Pool

Best Bet (56 - 108 / $215.40): JUSTICE JET (3rd)

Spot Play: HELLO MY DREAM (12th)

 

Race 1

(6) STAMPED BY DESIGN is 0 for thirty-six on the year but takes a big drop in class and has been showing a decent late kick against better.  (1a) PRAIRIE THUNDER is inconsistent from week to week but has won at this level.  (7) SOUTHWIND SCORPION well bred 3-year-old faces older but has been improving and will offer a big price.

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Race 2

In a tough race to handicap (9) VICTORIA IVY gets a big driver change, will offer a nice price, and has shown a decent burst of speed.  (6) EVA BELLA faces older but is one of few with upside in the race.  (4) DUNESIDE PERTTIE has been much better in a new barn; threat.   

Race 3

(7) JUSTICE JET gelding did it the hard way last out from far back early on.  The 3-year-old is the fastest in the race and just needs a smooth trip.  (8) FOX VALLEY VETO has been impressive late in the season getting better with every start.  (1) SURCLASSER could take a lot of action off his most recent line but would need more to hit the top spot.

Race 4

(7) BIG BRAD showed some life last week just getting beat late.  The pacer is better than this group when right.  (6) JACKSON BERLOW is racing better than his lines indicate and could be the sleeper in the race.  (4) EXTRAVAGANT ART burned cash last out and needs a perfect pocket trip to score a victory.

Race 5

In a weak and inconsistent field (9) ODDS ON ROLOMITE was terrible last out but the barn has shown the ability to rebound off bad lines; threat.  (6) GABBY REI filly needed her last effort and has been competitive against better on the year.  (3) TREAT FOR MY SWEET faces much tougher; command a price.

Race 6

(10) ITS A BIG SECRET has a big burst of speed when timed right and just needs to find a way into the race for a chance late.  (7) CONZO has been knocking on the door against this group and is in need of an easier trip.  (1) SPEED RACER came up empty last out but had been sharp the few starts prior; threat.

Race 7

(7) ALWAYS ABOUT KATEY sat in last week as a heavy under the board favorite taking her chance to win that way.  The Indiana champ is unlikely to be driven the same way two weeks in a row.  (2) RYLEIGH'S LILY mare is sharp right now exploding home to win easy last start.  The pacer is the main danger late especially with some pace to close into.  (1) DP ANGEL pacing mare has been close in recent efforts at this level.

Race 8

(6) CASINO COMP pacing mare has some ability, is just now back in racing shape, and just needs a competent drive from a provisional pilot.  (1) ONE LOUD DING has just been racing evenly but will offer a monster price and is capable of a good effort.  (10) MARZY BEARZY couldn't beat this field from an inside post but is one of the faster horses in the field.

Race 9

(1) TINK AND TIGER was used hard last out tiring late but is still the main danger at this level.  (6) MONTERO BLUE CHIP should be ready for a better effort down in class.  (4) WASHINGTON HANOVER has just been racing evenly but gets sent out for a capable barn.

Race 10

(4) MAJOR MONET was used very aggressively last out just missing.  The pacer owns the most back class and just needs a smooth trip.   (2) LENNOX BLUE CHIP should have had more late last out but does face slightly easier; threat.  (1) REAL WINNER has been racing gamely and gets the best post.

Race 11

(1) STATE STREET LIZ is one of few in the race that owns a win at this level.  (9) FOUR HOUR NAP mare has shown some big moves on the end of it and just needs a good setup to get a piece at a price.  (4) FOX VALLEY AMANDA went from awesome to even last out but could threaten with a good effort.

Race 12

(7) HELLO MY DREAM takes a significant drop in class and should be much closer turning for home.  (5) FOX VALLEY SHIVER went a big effort last out just missing; threat.  (6) TOSHIE SPECIAL comes off a scratch but gets a big driver change if ready.

Race 13

(6) REX PASSUS raced gamely first over last out just missing against the same bunch.   (8) FLYING ROCKET gets sent out for connections tough to leave off the top spot.  (2) SUNSET DREAMER well bred gelding always gives a good effort; threat.

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