12/12/2013 3:43PM

Balmoral: Saturday 12/14 Analysis

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Race 10 - $20,000 Guaranteed Pick Four Pool

Best Bet (59 - 126 / $208.40): THE RIDDLER (7th)

Spot Play: MAJOR MONET (12th)

 

Race 1

In a very weak and inconsistent field (5) MRS WEST ONE was parked the first half last out and held on gamely.  (7) HOOSIER HILDA has won two straight and used a big power move around the final turn last out clearing to the lead.  (8) STAGE STAR filly has really been racing better than her lines show; threat.

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Race 2

(2) FOX VALLEY NORMAN takes a big drop in class for the top barn.  (3) OHTOBEAVET has really started to blossom into a nice pacer; fires late.  (1) BELL VALLEY BILL was used very aggressively last out and is down in class.

Race 3

(9) GOLDEN NUGGET should offer a nice big price and will be looking for a good early spot.  (10) TRULY WILD two-year-old faces older but probably has the most upside in the race if the driver can work out a trip.  (1) EMPLOYESS GO WILD gelding was a game winner last out firing home nicely and draws the rail in a wide open race.

Race 4

(1a) FRIENDLY DRAGON two-year old colt needed his last start and should show some improvement.  (3) PABLO'S SKY DANCER could be considered the horse to beat.  The colt adds lasix for the second time and comes off a nice debut.  (1) SHARK VISION freshman pacer makes his debut for a barn that most of the time sends them to the track ready.

Race 5

(7) CATMANDO takes a significant drop where the pacer was dominating a few starts back.  (3) SHAX also looks to be a major player at this level.  (5) ARCH VILLAIN has been off a month but could be live and ready for a big effort.

Race 6

(2) HOLY CHIP looks to find a spot he can do some damage and gets a good post.  (9) SPORTY GYPSY came up short last out after easy fractions, however he does own the most back class and probably should be considered the horse to beat.  (1) AGOOD TIME TO ROCK well bred gelding lacks consistency but does draw the rail, and looks to be in line for a good trip.

Race 7

In a field with few contenders (9) THE RIDDLER adds lasix for the first time and finds a suspect field.  (5) ST DAVID HANOVER gets a good driver change and has the post edge on his main rival.    (1) LIFE IS GOOD TODAY draws the rail, drops in class, and should probably be used underneath.

Race 8

(9) RITASCAPE filly is on a different level than these but does need to find a way into the race if she doesn't blast.  (3) WHISTLE PIG has won two straight and bumps in class but most of the field is coming into the race with question marks.  (5) PERTTY MUSIC has been racing gamely up in class and should find this level easier.

Race 9

(7) AL'S HAMMERED is on fire; the sensational stretch runner just needs someone to push the pace early.  (8) FORT SILKY has had an amazing year but might have to find more late to stave off the top choice.  (3) IN OVER MY HEAD classy stallion could upset in the right scenario.

Race 10

(7) MR I AM was a game winner last out and sports a really good win percentage.  (8) BOOGIE NIGHTS was a wrapped-up winner in his last race and might have more to offer.  (9) JERRICO well bred pacer is versatile but needs a trip; use underneath.

Race 11

(5) EXTRAVAGANT ART pacer has had a good year and seems to be getting better with each start.  (6) LB'S ALAMERICANJOY has tailed off a bit but the speed and talent are there to hit the ticket.  (7) BEST MAN HANOVER gelding drops back down after a game second in the invite; threat.

Race 12

(1) MAJOR MONET draws the rail and has the most gate speed.   (2) STAMPED BY DESIGN has been really good in his last three but does bump up in class.  (5) TOUCH THE ROCK got a win last out and needed the start after shipping in from out east but does face tougher; command a price.

Race 13

(3) UPFRONT MISS MAJOR drops down and gets sent out for a new barn; threat.  (7) HEREIAM COOLWATER has just been racing evenly but does own some ability in a wide open field.  (8) LOOKSGOODONU filly comes off a layoff sharp and could have more to offer.

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