12/11/2014 4:42PM

Balmoral: Saturday 12/13 Analysis


Race 5 - $20,000 Guaranteed Pick Five Pool ($5,026 C/O)

Race 10 - $20,000 Guaranteed Pick Four Pool


Spot Play: LONG TERM (4th)

Race 1

(4) TOUCH THE SKY three-year-old had tons of pace late last race and should only improve in his third career start.  (3) DALI SPECIAL got shuffled back last out before finishing with a flurry; threat.  (2) PHANTASM will offer a big price and could hit the ticket underneath.

[DRF HARNESS: LIKE us on Facebook and get timely updates on the latest harness news]

Race 2

(5) ALWAYSBREAKINHEARTS has been facing much tougher; fires early. (1) FOX VALLEY CUPID rarely wins but does have ability; vulnerable late.  (4) HAKUNA MATATA paced a big mile after losing a lot of ground off an early miscue last start.

Race 3

(1) ALWAYS ABOUT KATEY four-year-old is tough to pick against because she's so much more talented than the field.  The pacing mare looked beat last out but dug in gamely late.  (4) DP ANGEL just missed to the top choice last start; threat.  (7) PARTY HANGOVER will probably be flying out of the gate looking to secure a trip up close; use underneath.

Race 4

(6) LONG TERM gelding needed his last start off a layoff and picks up a big driver change.  (2) BET ON HIM comes into the race off a break but is facing much weaker than his recent starts.  (1) MAJOR MALE six-year-old stallion takes a significant drop in class and should be in the mix with a good effor

Race 5

(4) HOT STREAK HANOVER has been improving with every start on the year and just missed to this same group last out.  (2) RUSSELL L lacked his usual late pop in his last start after setting a career mark the start prior.  (3) JO JO SPUR gelding scored an impressive victory last out with a provisional pilot.  The pacer will be tough to beat with a similar effort.

Race 6

(5) JUSTICE JET looked to be home free before being picked off last week.  The gelding is a smooth trip away from having a big chance late.  (3) REPEAT YOUR ABC'S owns a big burst of speed with the right setup and will offer a big price.  (6) FOX VALLEY VETO gelding has had amazing year and will look to make it three straight at this level.

Race 7

In a wide open and evenly matched race (7) STATE STREET LIZ was brutalized last out but should find this field a bit easier with a better trip.  (4) SEEYOUATTHEFINISH loses the top driver but is capable with a good setup.  (1) LOVE THIS PLACE has shown signs of turning it around after being dull for a few months.  (5) HELLO MY DREAM filly looks to have tailed off late in the year; command a price.

Race 8

(1) RICKY BOBBIE had no business winning last week closing into a slow middle half.  The pacer should be closer turning for home and will be right on the finish line with a similar effort.  (7) WILDCAT BOBBY takes a big drop in competition and shows some efforts on paper that would be good enough to get the job done.  (4) ALEQUASH HOTSPUR has been sharp in his last three; threat.

Race 9

(3) TINK AND TIGER gelding is a huge threat at this level; versatile.  (7) SCOTTY MACH N is sharp and looks to just now be back in racing shape after a layoff.  (1) BIG BRAD gets the best post and is capable of pacing a big mile but has really been off his game as of late; use caution.

Race 10

In a tough race to gauge (1) RHOMBUS owns big-time ability and could be ready for a good effort off a short layoff for proven connections.  (6) KINGOFTHEJUNGLE has been overdriven in his last few and could use a smooth trip for his best chance.  (3) BRING IT ON KAAJAY might need a start off a long layoff but the qualifier was good.

Race 11

(8) BEST MAN HANOVER was on fire late last out just needing another few feet to sweep past for the win.  The pacer is versatile and looks to be sitting on a big effort.  (5) FORT SILKY will look to make it three straight wins; threat.  (2) KANARIS has been sharp and is probably better suited for the big track.

Race 12

(9) SCHMATIE mare is one of few horses in the race that have been competitive at this level.  (2) GENTLE JANET mare drops in class and owns a win at this level on the year.  (3) TOSHIE SPECIAL mare raced gamely down in class last out getting her first victory of the year.  The pacer has shown much better and could have gained some confidence.

Race 13

In a really tough race to gauge (8) ON THE RADAR gets sent out third start for hot connections dropping in class.  (9) MONOPOLY MAN drops back in for a tag off a big effort up in class.  (6) BELL VALLEY BILL was a game winner at this level two starts prior.  (4) CAMWISER never had a shot last race but should be closer turning for home; threat.

[DRF HARNESS: Check out our NEW and IMPROVED Harness Eye PPs and see our discount packages]