11/26/2014 6:48PM

Balmoral: Saturday 11/29 Analysis


Race 10 - $20,000 Guaranteed Pick Four Pool

Best Bet (49 - 97 / $193.90): KANARIS (8th)

Spot Play: FOX VALLEY REBEL (7th)


Race 1

(1) SURCLASSER bumps up in class but could have more to offer.  The trotter gets the best post and was the driver's choice.  (2) FOX VALLEY VETO comes into the race off a break but just missed at this level the start prior.  (6) MASTER OF EXCUSES wet a big effort last out against tougher; threat.

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Race 2

In a really weak field (8) PARKLANE SPARKLE has beaten better and gets sent out for a trainer that has them ready when they hit the track.  (1) WIZE UP was knocking on the door at this level before getting roughed up last out.   (2) SWEET ALYSSA filly should be used underneath only; command a price.

Race 3

(1) DIXIE'S BOY gets a huge driver change with the best post; big chance.  (2) HOT ROD PETE can't seem to get over the hump when it comes to getting his picture taken but has hit the board all year long.  (5) FIRST FROST lightly raced pacer looks to be progressing nicely and is a threat at a price.

Race 4

(2) IN OVER MY HEAD picks up the top driver and should be closer turning for home with plenty of pace to close into; fires late.  (4) BEST MAN HANOVER is sneaky sharp right now and versatile.  (6) ICE SCRAPER will set a blazing pace off the gate playing catch me if you can for a hot trainer; vulnerable late.

Race 5

(6) WHISTLE PIG mare could have more to offer second start at the track down in class.  (5) JUST BY DESIGN comes out of the same race as the top choice and raced gamely last out.  (3) DALLAS JONES mare drew off last start out but gets sent out for a low percentage pilot.

Race 6

(4) LOLITA HALL well bred mare looks to be getting better with every start.   (3) DANCINONTHETABLE filly owns a good burst of speed and should be in line for a good trip up close.  (7) PERCHED ON TOP filly could have an excuse with the off track last race.  A good effort puts her right on the wire.

Race 7

(3) FOX VALLEY REBEL is sitting on a big effort for proven connections one of these weeks.   (8) JACKSON BERLOW is racing better than his lines indicate and is a trouble-free trip away from hitting the board.  (7) WASHINGTON HANOVER the driver missed the gate last week taking him out of the race but trainer has been hot as of recent; threat.

Race 8

(7) KANARIS takes a significant drop in class and will be used aggressively.   (8) FOX VALLEY NORMAN is capable of pacing a good mile with the right setup.  (4) FIRST CLASSALLTHWAY gelding owns some back class and could be one of few threats to the top choice.

Race 9

(1) PARTY HANOVER should be better second start after a long ship in from out east.  The pacer dominated this bunch a few months ago.  (5) RYLEIGH'S LILLY mare is inconsistent from week to week but has been razor sharp in her last two.  (4) STATE STREET LIZ mare will be blasting off the gate and could get a nice pocket trip.

Race 10

(1a) BIG BRAD four-year-old stallion has been off his game but could rebound down in class.  (5) REAL WINNER pacer faces slightly easier and could be sitting on a big effort.  (2a) PRAIRIE THUNDER is probably best suited for the big track but gets sent out for very inconsistent connections.

Race 11

(2) E R RHONDA filly faces older but makes her first start in a new barn for connections that do really well in this scenario.  (4) REV ME UP owns all the back class and drops back down to a level where she can compete.  (1) WINDOW WIPER mare was good last out kicking home nicely but needs more to hit the top spot.

Race 12

(8) SVAYA KNOWS going to try the pacer one more time on top.  The 3-year-old owns a good move but needs a smooth trip to cash.  (4) SUNSET DREAMER got rough-gaited when leaving for the top spot last out.  The pacer will be firing early and has been getting better.  (9) ACES AGAIN is probably best suited coming from off the pace.  The pacer has burned cash in three straight and will probably offer a much better price; fires late.

Race 13

(8) BELL VALLEY BILL needed his last start and should have more to offer second start back off a layoff.   (1) SHISWELL'S DELIGHT gets the best post, will offer a nice price, and has been competitive at this level.  (5) ASHES N DUST picks up a significant driver change and was improved last start.

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