11/20/2014 4:13PM

Balmoral: Saturday 11/22 Analysis

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Race 10 - $20,000 Guaranteed Pick 4 Pool

Best Bet(48 - 95 / $190.10): SONNY DEAN (1st)

Spot Play: DIXIES BOY (3rd)

 

Race 1

In a weak field full of question marks (2) SONNY DEAN had an excellent career debut and should have more to offer against a suspect bunch.  (3) NO MORE TERROR looks terrible on paper but was close a few starts ago before a miscue.  (1) PHANTASM gets the best post and should save some ground before shaking loose late.

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Race 2

(7) JUSTICE JET can beat this field with some racing luck despite the provisional driver.  (2) CELEBRITY HERCULES has owned this level all year long; short price.  (6) TIME OUTA JAIL three-year-old will need more to beat this field but could be good enough.

Race 3

(3) DIXIE'S BOY freshman pacer makes his third career start and comes off a really nice effort showing good late kick.  (5) WHATWILLHEBE also went a big effort last out pacing much faster than most of the field.  (8) RED PINE was the driver's choice and will be firing early.

Race 4

(6) PREEMPTIVE BID needed his last start and should be ready for a big effort.  (2) SAGE RUCK went a very tough trip last out just tiring late.  (8) WASHINGTON HANOVER gelding is the sleeper in the race getting sent out for hot connections.  The pacer has a tendency to burn cash but could offer better value.

Race 5

(5) ALWAYS ABOUT KATEY mare hasn't been on her `A' game but still looks to be a handful against this bunch.  (1) SEEYOUATTHEFINISH didn't get the right setup last out but could be a player late with a fast pace to close into.  (2) HELLO MY DREAM talented filly always tries her best but would need more; use underneath.

Race 6

(10) ROCK HOLLYWOOD gelding trotter owns a big move in an inconsistent field.   The 7-year-old was driven very conservatively last out and will need a much more aggressive drive for his best chance.   (7) FOX VALLEY YAVONNE will offer a big price and just needs a smooth trip for a chance at a piece late.  (8) SURCLASSER could be starting to tail off but does drop in class; use caution.

Race 7

(6) BEST MAN HANOVER put in a huge effort last out, faces a much easier bunch, and is versatile.  (2) KANARIS has had an excellent year and just needs a smooth trip.  (4) FIVEKNUCKLESHUFFLE has been sharp but finds himself up in class; use underneath.

Race 8

In a wide open and evenly matched race (6) WHISTLE PIG has been pacing some big miles at Hoosier and has made the most money on the year.  (5) TOSHIE SPECIAL will offer a monster price and is capable of hitting the board with a good effort.  (3) MOLLY GO LIGHTLY faces older but was the driver's choice and put in a sneaky good effort last out.

Race 9

(3) PARTY HANGOVER was almost unbeatable against this bunch when last seen at the track.  (5) RYLEIGH'S LILLY was a game winner last out but jumps up in class and needs a good setup; fires late.  (1) STATE STEET LIZ four-year-old pacing mare has been sharp and looks to be in line for a nice trip up close.

Race 10

(4) TIME TO ROLL has not raced against this competition down in class in some time; fires early.  (2) TINK AND TIGER owns a good brush when timed right and will offer a big price.  (7) BIG BRAD four-year-old pacer is tough to endorse on the top spot after some lackadaisical performances; use underneath.

Race 11

(4) MAJOR BOMBAY five-year-old stallion owns a ton of back class and will have lots more to offer second start off a long layoff.  (6) JACKSON BERLOW was sharp at this level a few starts ago; threat.  (3) HEADS UP YANKEE gelding has been pacing some good miles but gets a low percentage pilot; command a price.

Race 12

(5) SVAYA KNOWS just missed against this group last out; big chance.   (4) ACES AGAIN burned cash last start but has been sharp against this bunch.  (6) SUNSET DREAMER has started to turn a corner and will be used aggressively.

Race 13

In a tough race to handicap (10)RICKIE BOBBIE was the top driver's choice of three and circled the field last out.  (2) WESTERN SLAMMER gelding was also the driver's choice and is a threat with a good effort.  (8) MONOPOLY MAN is just now back in racing shape and is one of few with upside in the race.

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