10/31/2013 2:12PM

Balmoral: Saturday 11/2 Analysis


Race 10 - $20,000 Guaranteed Pick Four Pool

Best Bet (53 - 112 / $191.00): HELLO MY DREAM (7th)

Spot Play: ODDS ON RHODONITE (5th)


Race 1

In a very weak and inconsistent field (9) ODDS ON ALPHA just needs to ration out her speed to hit the wire first.  (4) WESTERN BOUDOIR picks up a red hot top driver that dominates Saturday night and the horse has shown some ability.  (1) LADY LAKERS mare makes her third start off a long layoff and should be sharper.

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Race 2

(6) REV ME UP takes a bump up in class but was really sharp last out and finds a wide-open race.  (5) COLE BLUE mare drops and looks to be in line for a really good trip if she avoids an early speed battle.  (1a) BLAZING FURY mare makes her third start off a layoff and was much better than her last line reveals.

Race 3

(2) SPEEDY ALBER any kind of effort like his last makes him very tough to beat.  (3) ACCOKEEK MERCURY three-year-old will offer a big price and has actually looked like a threat briefly in the miles.  (10) FOX VALLEY LEGEND gelding would easily give the top choice a run for his money if he stays trotting.

Race 4

(5) SHELL BELL filly raced huge last out to a very good 2-year-old.  (3) ALWAYS ELECTRIC gets the best post and should save ground before shaking loose late.  (7) JADED DREAM lightly raced filly has been facing tougher but will probably look to close late in an elimination where 8 of 10 make the final.

Race 5

(1) ODDS ON RHODONITE well bred 2-year-old has gone some big miles and was huge last out at Hoosier. The pacer draws the rail and needed his last start. (6) WICKED BUSINESS has been in tough company all year and could hit the board at a big price with a smooth trip.  (5) TRAFFIC COP has looked good against Illinois competition but this is a whole new ballgame; command a price.

Race 6

(5) TIZA MOJO had very bad cover last out and closed up a ton of ground.  (10) WESTERN DEAL will look to make it two straight and probably use a similar approach to the one last race. (6) DAVE'S BID look for this horse to be on go in a big way especially if you see a lot of early tote action.

Race 7

(6) HELLO MY DREAM two-year-old filly raced well last out and finds a field with few contenders.  (1) ROCK GROUPIE don't get wrapped up in the filly's last race at the Red Mile.  The well bred 2-year-old has lacked desire all year long and looks to offer little value.  (8) PHOBIC PRINCESS has just been racing evenly but finds a very weak field.

Race 8

(2) RICHESS EMPEROR doesn't win very often but looks to find a great spot to do some damage.   (7) FOX VALLEY NORMAN gets the hot trainer/driver combo and looks to be firing early.  (8) ST DAVID HANOVER races very inconsistently but does have the speed and ability to hit the wire first.

Race 9

(3) FIRSTCLASSALLTHEWAY has been racing gamely and gets the post edge on the heavy favorite. (1) UNCLE SMOOTHIE is a long shot that gets the best post in a race that's going to be hotly contested early.  (10) FORT SILKY was razor sharp last out but the competition will look to make it very tough on the 7-year-old early on.

Race 10

(2) UNCLE BUD gets a nice drop in class and should offer a very fair price.  (7) TINK AND TIGER was used aggressively last out just getting picked off late.  The 5-year old pacer bumps back up in class but keeps the top driver.  (8) CAMGRANDEST was deceptively huge last out after being shuffled.

Race 11

(8) IN OVER MY HEAD was the best in the race last out but was impeded at the top of the stretch.  (7) LUCKY JET has not yet rounded into form but is one of the faster horses in the race when right.  (4) BET ON HIM will look to set the rail before shaking loose late.  The gelding is an excellent price shot for the bottom of tickets especially if a fast pace takes place up front.

Race 12

(3) LUCKY CRUSADER is much better from off the pace and won from an almost impossible spot last out.  (1) ALEQUASH HOTSPUR huge form reversal last out and keeps the top pilot.  (9) REX PASSUS is the main danger late and has a nice late kick as well.

Race 13

(2) METRO LAD has burned cash in two straight both making breaks despite not showing it on his line two back.  However the 3-year-old gets sent out for a hot trainer/driver combo and should be a much better price than his last few.  (8) BEACH HERO sophomore pacer could be considered the horse to beat and his been going in the right direction.  (10) BELL VALLY ART I give the pacer a punchers chance if he flies off the gate which he's done in the past.

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