11/13/2014 2:55PM

Balmoral: Saturday 11/15 Analysis


Race 10 - $20,000 Guaranteed Pick Four Pool

Best Bet (46 - 92 / $181.70): SVAYA KNOWS (8th)

Spot Play: JACKSON BERLOW (10th)


Race 1

(1) EARNDAWG towers over the field on paper; short price.  (2) MOTORIN MATT lightly raced pacer could offer some value underneath.   (4) MIGHTY HOT SHOT has stepped his game up recently but would need much more to hit the top spot.

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Race 2

(5) ELECTRIC INTENSITY raced super last out and could have some room to improve third start for new connections.  (9) CHIPPER gelding pacer has really turned it around in his last two but needs someone to push the pace early; fires late.   (4) GO RUN N TELLTHAT is capable of a good effort in a field full of question marks.

Race 3

(6) SKYWAY BRENLIN raced gamely last out and finds a soft spot to make it two straight with a good effort.  (7) RED PINE dropped and popped last out and has room to improve against tougher.  (2) WHATWILLHEBE pacer's last effort at Maywood would put him in the mix with this bunch; threat.

Race 4

(5) SS TOMMY TURNER five-year-old pacer makes his third start back off a layoff for hot connections; big chance.  (8) STAR OF THE GAME has a tough post to overcome but has been close in his last two.  (4) MY BOY CAL also drops to the bottom level and should offer a good price coming off a scratch.

Race 5

(6) ALWAYS ABOUT KATEY has lacked pop late in her last three, however the pacer finds an ideal spot to get back on track.  (3) STATE STREET LIZ mare is one of few threats to the top choice, picks up the top driver, and will be firing early.  (1) HELLO MY DREAM  filly is talented but could be overmatched against the favorite; use underneath.

Race 6

(7) RYLEIGH'S LILLY the pacing mare's best effort would be good enough; top driver's choice.  (2) DALLAS JONES four-year-old is probably the fastest pacer in the race but has been off her game and gets a suspect pilot in the bike.  (9) TOSHIE SPECIAL has the ability to pace a good mile and will offer a big price.

Race 7

In a good betting race (5) JUSTICE JET faces older but owns a wicked brush when timed right.  (4) CELEBRITY HERCULES never had a chance last out but did race much better than the start prior; threat.  (1) EVIL URGES gelding has a tough time winning at this track; command a price.

Race 8

(4) SVAYA KNOWS  faces much easier competition than his recent win.  (1) ACES AGAIN just missed repeating at this level last out and has been sharp.  (5) FORTUNE DOR gelding needed his last start coming off a long layoff and should improve second start back.

Race 9

(2) IN OVER MY HEAD was off a long time between starts last race and is fast enough to beat this group at a price with some racing luck.   (3) TIME TO ROLL impeccably bred stallion can do it in a variety of ways but looks to be sitting the pocket into a very fast pace.  (4) FORT SILKY is in the same boat as the top choice and faces slightly easier.

Race 10

(4) JACKSON BERLOW has been overmatched in his last few but could find this field more to his liking; threat.  (1) KINGOFTHEJUNGLE came up empty on the off track last out and has just been racing evenly; use caution.   (8) MAJOR MONET owns all the back class and will be firing with a purpose early.

Race 11

(3) LIFE IS GOOD TODAY has just been racing evenly but finds an inconsistent group and should offer value.  (7) LUCKY CRUSADER will offer a monster price and is capable of picking up the pieces with a fast pace to close into.  (9) HOLY CHIP the connection's efforts vary from week to week.  Last week the pacer was used very aggressively.  If the pacer is driven the same way he could be the horse to beat even bumping up in class.

Race 12

(3) SAGE RUCK was sneaky sharp last out and could be ready for a big effort.  (5) FOX VALLEY REBEL was loaded with pace last race with nowhere to go blocked behind the leaders in the stretch.  (8) FOX VALLEY CUPID gelding owns a big three-quarters of a mile but has a tendency to fold up shop late; use underneath.

Race 13

(10) RICKIE BOBBIE will need to find a way into the race but was on fire late last out from way back.  (4) MONOPOLY MAN gelding makes his third start back off a long layoff and should show some improvement; threat.  (3) SHISWELL'S DELIGHT has been competitive at this level just missing in his last two.

[DRF HARNESS: Watch the Breeders Crown eliminations from the Meadowlands + Video Pick 4 Analysis]