10/24/2013 2:16PM

Balmoral: Saturday 10/26 Analysis


Race 7 - $20,000 Guaranteed Pick Four Pool


Spot Play: CHEWY BACA (10TH)


Race 1  

(4) MAPLEGROVE SHAELYN has a ton of ability, needed her last start and should offer a nice price.  (1) TAXMAN made a break from this same spot last out but does keep the red hot top driver.   (9) LITTLE BITTY LIES got an ideal trip last out but is definitely a threat to hit the top spot. 

Race 2  

(8) ALWAYS ABOUT KATEY has had a terrific career and comes off four straight victories winning easily; fires early.  Illinois champion (7) AUNIQUEAQUISTION has been dominating lesser all year and could be the only threat to the top choice.  (3) DP ANGEL has been impressive beating older opponents but the driver opted off and would need a lot more; use underneath.

Race 3  

(10) ELKHORN DAMIEN takes a huge drop in class and has Oosting in the bike; should win with any kind of trip.  (1) WOLFIES SPORTSTER sports second time Lasix, draws the rail and is in a very weak field.  (2) DIAL A DRAGON also drops in class but has been racing very evenly; command a price.  

Race 4  

(2) COCOTIER almost got the job done from a tough post last out and should be in line for a smoother trip up close to the pace.  (5) MACK’S GOLD BAND raced gamely last out and looks to be versatile.  (4) ITZ ALIVE got his first win of the season last out off a perfect trip and sometimes that can give a horse some added confidence. 

Race 5  

(5) LUCKY CRUSADER was used very aggressively last out and that tells me the connections will probably try it again.   (1) ALEQUASH HOTSPUR put in a huge effort four starts ago and since then has come up empty.  However, he picks up a red hot leading driver who has been getting the most out of horses late.  (3) EL SHOOTER has one win on the year but is pacing some nice miles; use underneath. 

Race 6  

In a two-horse race on paper, (2) BEST MAN HANOVER got an easy victory down in class and goes with second time Lasix.  (5) IN OVER MY HEAD is also starting with Lasix for the second time. Classy pacer ripped home last out and showed he could be back on his game.  (7) BELL VALLEY BILL has some ability but should be used underneath. 

Race 7  

(7) LUCKY JET looked to be home-free turning for home before tiring late.  The well bred stallion makes his third start off a long layoff and should have more in the tank late. (3) LENNOX BLUE CHIP lacked his usual pop last out but does drop out of the Invite, which always helps. (4) FANCY CREEK ELUSIV faces older but has a big late kick if he can get towed into a fast pace.  

Race 8  

(5) RECKONING DAY finally gets a good post but the driver isn’t driving with a ton of confidence; should boost the price if you can get the pacer home.  (4) RIGHTONRAY rarely wins but has been sharp showing a good late burst and finds a very suspect field.  (8) MAKE YOUR MOVE has had the lead in deep stretch in his last two races only to be run down late; threat. 

Race 9  

(8) FORT SILKY has been nails all season long and was an overlay last out; fires early.  (6) MAJOR MONET has great gate speed which always puts him in line for a good trip.  (2) BREAKIN THE LAW is definitely a player in the race despite never being involved in his last race.  The well bred pacer was razor sharp prior. 

Race 10  

(1) CHEWY BACA pacer has a lot of positives going for him. The 4-year-old draws the best post, adds Lasix for the first time and drops in class off a good effort.  (4) TINK AND TIGER has been used very aggressively in his last two before tiring late.  The gelding picks up the top driver, drops in class and faces easier.  (3) RICHESS EMPEROR looks like a million bucks on the track but it is very hard to get his engine started up.  The powerful pacer would need some racing luck to hit the top spot. 

Race 11  

Going to try (4) MADOFF one more time because if he can get a breather up front it could be lights out late.  (8) POWER OF TARA N is the horse with all the back class and upside in the race.  The pacer makes his third start back off a long layoff and should be tighter this week.  (3) FOX VALLEY NORMAN will be firing off the gate early for Oosting and looks to be in line for an ideal trip. 

Race 12  

(10) WESTERN DEAL has raced gamely from the outside in two straight and might look to get to the top early.  (5) DAVE‘S BID is just now back in racing shape for a red hot trainer/driver combo.  (7) TIZA MOJO has won four out of five starts and was huge from off the pace last time. 

Race 13  

(7) TRANS AM BLUE CHIP could be the sleeper in the race with the added Lasix and might just have more talent than the field.  (8) HELLO MY DREAM was the leading driver’s choice and will be dangerous if he gets an easy lead.   (5) ODDS ON ALPHA will also try and roll the dice up front and should offer a better price since Oosting opted off.   

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