10/23/2014 11:25PM

Balmoral: Saturday 10/25 Analysis


Race 10 - $20,000 Guaranteed Pick Four Pool

Best Bet (42 - 83 / $164.70): TIME OUTA JAIL (2nd)

Spot Play: ALWAYS THE SUN (11th)


Race 1

(7) SUNSET DREAMER finds a softer spot and will have an easier time getting involved in the short field.   (6) CONZO raced much better last start and a similar effort could put him on the ticket at a price.  (2) INCREDIBLY SPORTY needed his last effort just missing late.  The pacer should have more to offer in an evenly matched race.

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Race 2

(5) TIME OUTA JAIL gets a big driver change and lays over the field on ability.   (4) SPEEDY ALBER five-year-old has been much better for new connections but will need more.  (3) NESSIE'S BOY races very inconsistently from week to week.  The trotter should offer a big price and can hit the board with a good effort.

Race 3

(6) HOT ROD PETE has been knocking on the door and finds a weak field to gain some confidence.  (7) JAY Z TAM  lightly raced 3-year-old has some upside and has shown a good burst of speed.  (5) JM'S DOUBLE TERROR has just been racing evenly but should offer a big price and can hit the ticket underneath with a smooth trip.

Race 4

(3) NATIVE LIGHTS has burned cash in three straight which could boost the price for connections tough to leave off the top spot.  (8) ACES AGAIN is sharp right now and does his best racing at this track; fires late.   (2) PUT TO THE TEST gelding makes his second start in a new barn and has room for improvement.

Race 5

(3) SKYWAY BRENLIN has been butchered early by the driver in his last few.  The pacer is very fast and owns a big burst of speed.   (7) MIGHTY HOT SHOT two-year-old was a game winner last out and has lots of upside; threat.  (6) YOU'RE MY HERO owns an excellent victory on the year and if ready owns a powerful late kick.

Race 6

(3) LITTLE MS CHRISSY takes a significant drop in class and has much more ability than most in the field, however the trotting mare gets sent out for a provisional driver that has little experience on the big track.  (6) MY MINI SNICKERS two-year-old is in a tough spot facing older more seasoned opponents but could have the talent to step up in the right scenario.   (5) SWAN PRINCESS was the driver's choice but could be in too tough; use underneath.

Race 7

(5) FOX VALLEY CUPID has been facing much tougher on the year and could offer a fair price based on his terrible winning percentage; fires early.  (8) WHAT'SITTOYOUTWO five-year-old stallion has been excellent in his last two; threat.  (2) FOX VALLEY REBEL made a bad break last out and is facing much tougher than his two prior wins; command a price.

Race 8

(8) ROCK N KILO should be much closer turning for home with an aggressive driver in the bike.   (4) PERCHED ON TOP filly has been intentionally taken off the starting gate in her last two but has shown good closing kick on the end of it.  If the pacer is closer turning for home she could have a shot late.  (7) ODDS ON ROLOMITE gets sent out for proven connections in a wide open race; threat.

Race 9

(4) WASHINGTON HANOVER takes a double drop in class which is rarely allowed by the race secretary.   (5) MADOFF doesn't look the greatest on paper but popped off some big wins at this time last year against better.   (7) LUCKY CRUSADER jumps up with some nice efforts from time to time and didn't miss by much in this same class two weeks ago.

Race 10

(9) FIVEKNUCKLESHUFFLE bumps up in class off an impressive win and a similar effort makes him tough to beat.   (8) SLEAZEBURGERNFRIES has a ton of ability but also has a mind of his own at times.  (3) BLOOMING GENIUS has been very even as of late; command a price.

Race 11

(4) ALWAYS THE SUN will offer a monster price facing older and could pick up the pieces late in a race that could set up for closers.  (7) BEST MAN HANOVER will be apart of a very fast pace early on but owns a class edge on most of the field.  (9) ICE SCRAPER will likely set a blazing fast pace with a low percentage pilot at low odds; vulnerable late.

Race 12

(5) ALWAYS ABOUT KATEY when on her 'A' game very few in the race can pace with her.  (9) STATE STREET LIZ is sharp right now and will be blasting for position.   (4) SEEYOUATTHEFINISH owns a nice late kick and should be closer turning for home.

Race 13

In one of the toughest races to handicap on the card (10) WINGS is in career form and has beaten this same bunch soundly in recent weeks.  The pacer will have to overcome a very tough starting spot and will have a big red target on her back.   (6) DP ANGEL four-year-old mare is a threat and gets an aggressive driver in the bike.  (3) TOSHIE SPECIAL burst on the scene with a big mile off a layoff a short time ago, an effort similar to that puts her right on the wire with this group.

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