10/18/2012 2:51PM

Balmoral: Saturday 10/20 Analysis


Best Bet: RUN AND TELL PAP (3rd)    Spot Play: BRING IT ON KAAJAY (10th)

Race 1

(3) HEZASONOFECLIPSE is coming off a scratch but is in a very weak field. (2) IRON OUTLAW was roughed up a bit last start over a tiring track but gets a good post. (5) WINDSUN TWISTER  7yr old gelding tries the track for the first time.  Gelding always gives a good effort and should be forwardly placed in a very suspect field.

Race 2

(5) BIG BRAD is razor sharp right now and finds a very beatable field; short price  (6) MURVEY VINNY has been on the improve all year and really put in a good effort last start. 2yr old gelding could be ready for a big effort. (1A) FOX VALLEY NORMAN put in an outstanding effort last start and gets a good post.

Race 3

(5) RUN AND TELL PAP put in a great effort last out and finds a much softer field.  Gelding has a good post and will be firing early. (9) EVIL URGES won on the drop and is now back up in class.  Gelding will need to float for position to catch top choice.  (3) ANTHONYSKYWALKER was used hard early on and faded.  Has a lot more talent than he currently shows.

Race 4

(2) DAVE'S BID comes off a little bit disappointing but gets a good post.  A smooth trip and he should be their on the money.  (1) SCHERZO was a game winner last out who got a perfect trip.  3yr old gelding has been improving with every start recently  (7) ILLINI JACK could be a sneaky price play due to the fact his lines look bad but has excuses for his last three.

Race 5

(3) DOUG'S LEGACY has now put in two straight stellar efforts, any kind of repeat performance makes it two straight.  (6) NIGHTINTHEBOX put in a late burst last start at a big price.  Gelding could improve some at a price. (4) BESTNOTGETINMYWAY second start for a good trainer coming off a solid effort.

Race 6

(2) LISMARASLADY has the look and pedigree of a winner.  Filly has a good late kick and will be firing late.  (9) GIFT OF HONOR won impressively last start in a very fast time.  If mare races like that it again it could be lights out.  (7) HEREIAM COOLWATER words can’t describe how well this one raced last week; threat.

Race 7

(5) BEST MAN HANOVER crushed in this class last out at a short price; expect the same. (2) HEATH gets post relief and should be in a good spot turning for home; sharp. (1) MAJOR MALE gelding has been racing consistent, gets a good post, and will be forwardly placed.

Race 8

(7) CHINA GAL might have gotten a wake up call last week with a late burst.  Classy mare likes to run them down late and could use a fast pace up front. (6) SECTIONLINE YANKEE is a 3yr old filly facing older and will probably be a short price; use caution (5) OG'S MARIE D also likes to close and is versatile.

Race 9

(2) BIG DADDY WOO WOO has been very good lately has the best post and could get the trip. (3) AL'S HAMMERED comes off a scratch and will be a short price; use caution. (6) TOUCH THE ROCK never got into the mile last time but was sharp prior.

Race 10

(9) BRING IT ON KAAJAY fired first start of the layoff and could improve off that effort  (3) FRONTIER TROUBLE just got beat last start by top choice.  3yr old gelding will be up front and looks to go a long way.  (8) BRIEF'S BOY takes a step up in class and could use a fast pace to chase into.

Race 11

(8) ALL STIENAM well bred 3yr old comes off a good qualifier.  He is facing older but looks to have the pedigree and talent.  (7) DOUBLE TROUBLE put in a game effort last out firing out of the ten hole in the slop. Gelding could be ready for a huge effort. (4) BONN SCOTT looks to be sharp just tiring a bit on a bad track last out to a game winner.

Race 12

(7) LETS TALK ABOUT ME mare has finally snapped out of her funk and put in two sharp efforts in a row. (5) PHOBIC PRINCESS mare makes her second start in a row at the big track and looks to have some talent.  (6) KENDYL is a 3yr old that is facing older but could pick up the pieces late.

Race 13

(5) FOX VALLEY DOMINO is making his second start off the layoff and could be a short price coming off a stellar effort. (8) BRING THE RAIN just missed last time and finds another soft field.  (9) DRIV 'EM COWBOY put in a good effort last out and could use a fast pace up front for his best chance.

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