10/09/2014 8:47PM

Balmoral: Saturday 10/11 Analysis

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Race 10 - $20,000 Guaranteed Pick Four Pool

Best Bet (40 - 77 / $159.60): SOUTHWIND SILENCE (2nd)

Spot Play: E L TITAN (4th)

 

Race 1  

(1) CHIVAREE HANOVER looks to be one of few contenders in the race and has been close to the best in the country.   (2) MYSTICAL WISHES is having a fantastic season and is probably the only threat to the top choice.  (6) DIAMOND PEAK has some ability and could hit the ticket with a good effort. 

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Race 2  

(1) SOUTHWIND SILENCE owns only one win on the year but finds a much softer spot.   (2) SOMEISLANDSOMEWHERE is a well-bred filly that gets sent out for proven connections.  (1A) SAYITALL BB makes her first start off a long layoff but the trainer has a good record of sending them ready off the bench. 

Race 3  

(5) MR LELANDS‘S FILLY has been off three weeks but does love to come flying late.  (3) WELL HELLO THERE takes a big step down in competition.  (1) ANGEL DEMON has been very inconsistent but makes her third start for a new barn that is dangerous. 

Race 4  

(6) E L TITAN looks to be fresh and just now back in racing shape.   The well-bred colt picks up a top driver and will look to slay the dragon late.  (4) FATHER PATRICK was out-gamed by his stable mate after collaring him in early stretch last start.  The impeccably bred trotter will be a heavy favorite and could be vulnerable if someone challenges him early.   (2) ODDS ON AMETHYST is a stable mate to the heavy favorite and could be primed for a big effort.   

Race 5  

In a field with two contenders, (3) BIG BOY DREAMS is a nice looking colt that was the top driver‘s choice, getting sent out second start for the top barn in the country.  (2) SOMESTARSOMEWHERE owns the best win in the field on the year.  (1) LORD OF MISRULE should offer some value underneath from the rail. 

Race 6  

(1) LIFETIME PURSUIT has been the best filly trotter in the country all year long and will look to rebound off a defeat for a big payday.   (3) CEE BEE YES outdueled the top selection last out; threat.  (9) SHAKE IT CERRY is a world champion trotter, but could be up against it from a tough post; don’t count her out. 

Race 7  

(1) EARNDAWG will look to cap off an impressive season and just needs a good setup to come flying late.  Indiana bred (5) SIR MAMMO has flashed some ability and finds a field that came up soft.  (4) BUCKLE UP could be over bet off the Lexington lines, but perhaps he gained some confidence; going for four straight victories. 

Race 8  

(3) FIVEKNUCKLESHUFFLE gets a huge driver change and is just now back in racing shape.  (7) BLOOMING GENIUS doesn’t look the best on paper but a good effort puts him on the ticket at a price.  (6) MISTER VIRGIN has some upside and appears to be on the improve, but is probably best used underneath. 

Race 9 

(5) MARKET SHARE will be much closer turning for home and raced big at this track last year.  (4) WISHING STONE is small in stature but has a huge heart.  The well-bred stallion gets sent out for the top barn and is a major player with a good effort.  (1) ARCHANGEL has been off three weeks but has a ton of speed and ability. 

Race 10 

In an evenly matched race, (5) PRECOCIOUS BEAUTY has had some issues all year long, however the filly should offer a great price in a tough race to gauge.  (2) ACT NOW is a lightly raced filly that has been a monster in recent starts. She should probably be considered the horse to beat.  (6) GETTINGREADYTOROLL was the top driver’s choice and is ultra talented. 

Race 11  

(8) LIMELIGHT BEACH the jug winner could have went a lot faster last out at the Red Mile; keeps the top driver.  (9) JK ENDOFANERA still has a shot at 3-year-old of the year honors, however the top driver opted elsewhere.  (7) CAPITAL ACCOUNT hasn’t been able to pace with the best consistently but put in a huge effort last start. 

Race 12 

(7) BETTOR‘S EDGE will be blasting out for position and looks to be in line for a great trip.  (6) FOILED AGAIN is tough to knock, but he hasn’t done his best racing on the big track.  However, the 10-year-old gelding put in a huge effort in this race last year, just getting picked off late.  (4) STATE TREASURER beat a similar field last out but could be up against it in a race devoid of early speed besides the powerful burke barn horses. 

Race 13  

(10) NO FEAR NO DOUBT just needs to find a way into the race to have a big shot late.  (8) FOX VALLEY CUPID doesn’t win often but shouldn’t be left off the top spot against this bunch; fires early.  (7) LUCKY CRUSADER was the driver’s choice and has been pacing faster than most of the field.  

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