01/15/2013 4:11PM

Balmoral: Pick Five Carryover on Wednesday 1/16; Analysis


Race 2 - $40,000 Guaranteed Pick Five Pool ($10,870 C/O)

Jeremey's 50 cent Pick Five Play: 2,5,6 with 5,8,9 with 6,10 with 6,7 with 1,4 = $36

Race 7 - $20,000 Guaranteed Pick Four Pool

Best Bet (3 - 6 / $14.60): TWO BEERS AWAY (7th)   

Spot Play: NITROGEN FUSE (4th)

Race 1

(8) ANTHONYSKYWALKER gelding has been off three months but does show a good qualifier.  Five-year-old owns back class and has the fastest gate speed in the field.  (7) MELTINYOURMOUTH well bred gelding looks to be improving with every start.  (4) SPLITTER STOCK gelding gets a good post and has flashed some late kick in recent starts.

Race 2

(2) PICKAPLACETOPARK got an ideal trip last out saving ground and finally looks to be in racing shape.  (6) LADY LAKERS finds a soft spot in a short field; threat.  (5) SHE'SABADBELLE just raced evenly last out but her best effort would win.

Race 3

In what I consider to be a very weak and suspect field (5) BARUS APACHE JEWEL comes off an average qualifier but has flashed some speed a few months back. (8) FOXY THREE SOCKS every time you think the 4-year-old mare is ready to step up, she races evenly but has shown the ability to close; versatile.  (9) MISS PACIFIC has been scratched two out of her last three starts but has shown the ability to leave out of the gate.

Race 4

(10) NITROGEN FUSE gelding might offer some value with the tough post.  Three-year-old gelding appears to be sharp and improving with each start.  (6) SPECIALLY SPORTY gelding has raced erratically in his last few but has shown speed and just missed last out.  (9) DESERT COWBOY gelding has a tough post to work with but does own one good burst.

Race 5

(6) ANTS INER PANTS Mare is sharp and will get position on her main rival off the gate.  (7) EVIL URGES gelding put in a game effort last week and will be flying late.  (1) CLEVER UPSTART gelding has no excuse for getting beat last out and is now on short rest.

Race 6

(1) FEEL LIKE DANCING filly has been ultra impressive and if she times her move right she'll be tough to beat.  (4) CEE CEE'S DELIGHT goes for four in a row and a series sweep; versatile.  (1A) CHARIOTS AFIRE was most likely a winner last out before having to check a bit because of a breaker.  (5) FOX VALLEY ROCHER made another miscue last out but shouldn't be overlooked based on talent.

Race 7

(4) TWO BEERS AWAY well bred stallion has tremendous upside and was flat out flying in his first career start.  (3) FOX VALLEY WYATT had some road trouble last out but was charging hard late.  (8) IMA FANCY KING gelding was a game winner last out and could improve off that effort.

Race 8

(4) LOVERS HOLIDAY mare closed nicely from a tough spot in last and has been racing gamely.  (2) BECKY B SKIPALONG mare put in a game effort first over at Maywood and gets a good post.  (7) PROSPER mare almost surprised at a huge price last start and had some late pace as well.

Race 9

(4) RICHERTHANRAYNO mare has put in some nice efforts and finds a good spot to do some damage.  (6) MS RAQ N FLASH mare used a big late kick to blow past everybody late.  (1) ONLYTHEYANKEEKNOWS mare has shown breaks in her last few but does get the best post and does have the talent to win.

Race 10

(2) KITTY O'BRIEN mare is super sharp and should be a lot closer turning for home; fires late.  (8) BANJOE HOTSPUR mare put in a game effort last out and should get a good spot upfront off the gate.  (9) BOILER HEIDI HO mare was a two-move winner in last but could be in a tough spot early on due to the inside speed.


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