12/16/2015 4:18PM

Balmoral: Friday 12/18 Analysis


Race 9 - $15,000 Guaranteed Pick Four Pool

Best Bet (52 - 88 / $182.40): FRENCH MAID (2nd)

Spot Play: IT’SASWAN (5th)


Race 1

(7) SHAKEITTOTHEMOON has room to improve against a really weak field.  (4) PEACELOVEPACE faces a much softer bunch and will be used aggressively; threat.  (1) THEDAYYOUHAVEMADE look to be in line for a much better trip with the best post.

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Race 2

(2) FRENCH MAID should be much closer turning for home and has shown a nice late burst in two straight.  (5) LOLA GRAM finally gets a much better starting post; fires late.  (7) SHAWNEE LAW had been facing tougher competition in Indiana and fits in with this bunch nicely.

Race 3

(5) FOX VALLEY PIPA takes a huge drop down in for a tag and should offer the best price of the contenders.  (9) MOON BAY DANCER will look to make it three straight at this level; fires early.  (4) HOOSIERS FANTASY has been racing gamely but will need more to hit the top spot.

Race 4

(6) BIG FOOTED BUTCH was a pocket trip winner last out getting up late.  The lightly raced pacer has plenty of room to move forward.  (5) PARKLANE INDY gelding was an impressive winner in his last start; threat.  (2) MACHO BURBON when the 3-year-old stays pacing he owns a decent brush; use caution.

Race 5

(10) IT'SASWAN is the sleeper in the race coming off a really nice qualifier.  The filly has been off a month but owns a win at this track and will offer a big price.  (1) ALL ABOUT COWBOYS freshman trotter finished with a lot of interest last start and has upside.  (8) TAYLOR TOT filly trotter owns ability and picks up a good driver change.

Race 6

(6) PRETTY PLACE mare drops down a notch off a big effort against better.  If the 7-year-old had room in the stretch she would have won for fun.  (1) FOX VALLEY BROOKE filly had to need her last start and should be primed for a better effort; driver's choice.  (10) WESTERN DAME will offer good value and just needs to find a way into the race.

Race 7

(6) CERTAINLY has been trotting up a storm late and was the top driver's choice.  (10) VIN looked like a different horse last week drawing off impressively.  The 4-year-old owns a powerful brush but needs to find a way into the race.  (7) MARLEY'S GUY came up empty last week after racing gamely against better; use underneath.

Race 8

In a wide open and evenly matched race, (3) LASTDUKESTANDING will offer a big price and had been facing better in Indiana.  (6) LET'S NOT DWELL owns wins at this level; versatile.  (2) RICKY TIDWELL comes off a big win against better but could need a start having been off five weeks.

Race 9

(1) MONTERO BLUE CHIP drops down in class and will be used aggressively from the best post.  (5) EXTRAVAGANT ART is another dropper in the race and was the driver's choice; threat.  (3) REJOICEANDBEGLAD has just been racing evenly but faces slightly weaker.

Race 10

In a tough race to gauge, (9) CRUEL GIRL will offer a fair price and just needs a competent drive for a piece.  (5) EXCELERATED SPEED was the driver's choice and should be much closer turning for home.  (2) LOVETHEWAYYOULOOK filly has a ton of upside but probably needs a start.

Race 11

(9) HELLO MY DREAM at one time the pacing mare would have been a heavy favorite against this group.  The 4-year-old might be back to her old self off a nice confidence-building score.  (4) SEXY CARD SHARK was an easy winner last week against weaker; threat.  (8) ADDIE ROSE has been knocking on the door and could use a fast pace to close into for her best chance.

Race 12

(7) URAWOMANIZER is just now back in racing shape off a long layoff.  The 6-year-old gelding finds a field full of question marks.  (3) PILLAGE AND BURN has lacked stamina late in recent but might be up to the task against this group.  (2) TIM'S FINALE raced well from a tough spot last week and should be in line for a much better trip.

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