12/09/2015 3:16PM

Balmoral: Friday 12/11 Analysis


Race 4 - $3,340 Pick Five Carryover

Race 9 - $15,000 Guaranteed Pick Four Pool

Jeremey’s Pick Five Ticket:

5,7 / 5 / 1,2,3,4,8,10 / 2,5,6,7,9 / 1 = $30


Best Bet (52 - 86 / $182.40): MARLEY’S GUY (5th)

Spot Play: PACIFIRE (7th)

Race 1

(8) FRENCH MAID lightly raced filly showed good closing ability last week and has room to improve.  (9) SHOE SHOW put in a big effort last week racing gamely; threat.  (10) NASHVILLE NASTY has been much better in a new barn but will need some racing luck with a tough post.

Race 2

(1) IF I DIDNT DREAM mare has been ultra sharp and faces weaker.  (2) SANDY WIN filly was really good last week and is one of few threats to the top choice.  (6) TAMARAC SMOOCHIE never had a shot last week but should be closer turning for home.

Race 3

(3) MR PICKPOCKET is just now back in racing shape and should be used aggressively in for a tag against weaker.  (7) TORNADO HENRY will offer good value and has flashed a decent burst at times.  (6) MOTORIN MATT has beaten similar on the year but is probably best used underneath.

Race 4

(7) MOON BAY DANCER when right is tough to beat at this level; short price.  (5) ODDS ON DOMINICA mare probably needed her last start and can upset with a good setup.  (6) BUST MY CHOPS had a lot of late pace last week off a ground saving trip.

Race 5

(5) MARLEY'S GUY three-year-old has been very sharp facing tougher.  If the trotter races like his last few efforts he will be tough to beat.  (4) VIN trotter has a ton of ability but is prone to miscues.  (3) SPEEDY RENDEZVOUS has been off over a month and probably could use the start; use underneath.

Race 6

(1) GRAVELSINMYTRAVEL takes a significant drop in class with the best post.  (8) MAJOR ED is another dropper in the race facing weaker.  The pacer adds second time lasix and is one of few threats in the race.  (10) TIM'S FINALE has been over driven in his last two.  The pacer will offer a big price and can hit the ticket with a smooth trip.

Race 7

(5) PACIFIRE filly adds first time lasix getting sent out for new connections.  (7) YES WE DID could have been a bit short off a few weeks last start.  The pacer can beat this bunch at a price.  (6) SHAKEITTOTHEMOON mare also needed her last start and has room to improve.

Race 8

(1) HUDSON JESSE seems to be back in form after some lackluster performances.   (7) KY LUCKY had a ton of late pace last out and can pick up the pieces in the right scenario.  (4) REVRAC HARBOUR gets a negative driver change but fits at this level; command a price.

Race 9

(7) JOYFUL GAME will offer the best price of the contenders and owns the best closing ability.  (4) ALL PINK mare will be dangerous with an easy early lead up front; fires early.  (1) DP ANGEL has had two nightmare trips in a row.  The pacer looks to be in line for a much easier trip up close.

Race 10

(3) TOGETHERFOREVER finally showed some signs of turning it around last week; threat.  (4) SEXY CARD SHARK raced gamely against a better field last out.  (6) SMASHY CERISE gets sent out second start in a new barn for proven connections.

Race 11

(1) FOX VALLEY GYPSY will look to make it two straight since the layoff and has lots of room to improve.  (3) FOX VALLEY BROOKE might need a start having been off over a month.  If the pacer is ready she's the horse to beat.  (7) HELLO MY DREAM pacing mare isn't quite right but that could change any week.

Race 12

(1) MAJOR MONET will look to drop and pop; fires early.  (4) SCARY HARRY sophomore pacer has a big brush when timed right and should be in racing shape after some lengthy time between starts.  (6) SMOKE RINGS should have had more pop last week late; use underneath.

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