11/04/2015 3:27PM

Balmoral: Friday 11/6 Analysis

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Race 9 - $15,000 Guaranteed Pick Four Pool

Best Bet (48 - 76 / $168.60): NORTHERN DALI (7TH) 

Spot Play: KIMBERLY R (6TH)

 

Race 1 

(8) TAMARAC SMOOCHIE is one of a few in the race with some upside and comes off an impressive win.  (7) SANDY WIN never got into the mile last week but takes a significant drop in for a tag.  (1) SHOE SHOW was no match for the top choice last week; command a price. 

Race 2 

(1) SOUTHERN SPECIAL is prone to miscues but if the gelding trots, he wins.  (7) SPEEDY RENDEZVOUS faces older but was an easy winner last week on the lead; threat.  (3) A LOCAL BAND is 0 for 32 on the year, however the trotter could upset in the right scenario. 

Race 3 

(10) THE DALI‘S LLAMA just missed last week despite being used multiple times.  The pacer should offer a fair price from the far outside.  (9) YESSIREEBOB went from sharp to just even in his last effort.  If the pacer bounces back he’s a threat.  (2) POKER JOE just can’t seem to get over the hump on the big track; use underneath. 

Race 4 

(2) MISS PAT WEISAR comes into the race off a nasty break but has been facing much tougher in Indiana; top driver’s choice.   (10) ODDS ON ROLOMITE is the likely sleeper in the race getting sent out for proven connections.  (1) BETTOR‘S BABE raced gamely last out parked half of the mile, but there‘s a negative driver change this time; use underneath. 

Race 5 

In a really weak and inconsistent field, (3) THE BIG SLEAZY has been competitive against much better on the year.  (4) HARPER VALLEY BOY was terrible last week making it three lackluster starts in a row; use caution.  (5) MR MATLOCK owns a big burst of speed but has been off his game in recent starts. 

Race 6 

(8) KIMBERLEY R takes a huge drop down in competition; big chance.  (2) WILD BERRY MUFFLER has raced gamely in two straight and looks to offer another nice price.  (3) SHEZ A SWIFT was the driver’s choice and also faces much easier. 

Race 7 

(1) NORTHERN DALI picks up a positive driver change while dropping down in class and drawing inside.  (4) FOX VALLEY AUBRY also faces softer but gets sent out for a low percentage pilot.  (2) MYSTICAL MJ has beaten better on the year; threat. 

Race 8 

(10) LOVEDANCINWITHYOU ships back in from Florida and finds a great spot to do some damage.  (9) JO JO SPUR didn’t miss by much last week but needs to find a way into the race.  (7) GOLDEN-NUGGET has never done his best racing on the big track; use underneath. 

Race 9 

(3) DP ANGEL does her best racing at this track and owns wins against much better on the year.  (4) JINXY‘S DELIGHT was sharp last week but could need more up in class.  (1) PARKLANE GLITTER is talented and can pick up the pieces in the right scenario. 

Race 10 

(4) BARBOSA was the driver’s choice coming off a huge effort at this level.  (9) BOYS ROUND HERE drops back down to a spot where he can compete; threat.  (3) VITAL TERROR has some question marks coming into the race but will look to make it three straight easy wins in this spot. 

Race 11 

(6) FOX VALLEY BROOKE has room to improve in a softer spot. (8) WINGS gets sent out for a pilot that should only be used underneath.  (3) ALWAYS TALKING hit the board last out against similar. 

Race 12 

(1) EVA BELLA had no luck in Indiana but was sharp a few starts back at this class.  (3) PROSPER will offer a big price in a wide open race.  (5) GET THE TERROR can’t be counted out despite the poor record; threat. 

[DRF HARNESS LIVE: Real-time insights every Saturday night. American Nationals from Balmoral highlight this week--Starts at 7:00 p.m.]