11/18/2015 3:26PM

Balmoral: Friday 11/20 Analysis


Race 4 - $3,355 Pick Five Carryover

Race 9 - $15,000 Guaranteed Pick Four Pool

Jeremey’s Pick Five Play:

6 / 1,3,6,7,8,9 / 9 / 1,7,8,9 / 1,3,7,10 = $48

Best Bet (50 - 80 / $175.60): PILLAGE AND BURN (9th)

Spot Play: SUDDENLY SINGLE (11th)

Race 1

(4) GOSSIP MODEL filly should only improve in her third lifetime start off a nice effort.  (2) LACARMELILIANA freshman pacer also makes her third career start and could be sitting on a better effort.  (7) FOX VALLEY LYN filly has some question marks coming off a scratch sick but is capable.

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Race 2

(3) JOHN JAY two-year-old colt has the look of a nice pacer; threat.  (8) ALWAYS KENZER finds a much softer spot than his last effort against better.  The pacer will be tough to keep off the ticket with a smooth trip.  (4) OCAPTAIN MYCAPTAIN well bred pacer has regressed in his last few; command a price.

Race 3

(6) PARTY FALLS circled the field last week from a very tough spot.  (5) CAFFEINE KID two-year-old pacer is just learning how to race and owns a lot of ability.  (1) NICKS ONE MAN SHOW gets sent out for capable connections with a much better starting post; first time lasix.

Race 4

(6) PARKLANE INDY had a terrible trip last week getting shuffled to last boxed in.  The pacer is ready to win and will be used aggressively. (9) THA DALI'S LLAMA has been racing gamely but only has one career win in twenty five lifetime starts.  (3) SHADY BAY lightly raced pacer has room to improve off a decent effort.

Race 5

(7) BABYSHOEBUYER mare set a lifetime mark a few months ago and hasn't picked up her feet since.  It could be time for a big turnaround; threat.  (9) LIL MISS KNUCKLES had pace late last out but started drifting very wide late.  If the pacer can stay straight in the lane he can win.  (3) BETTOR'S BABE mare is racing better than her lines indicate but gets set out for a low percentage pilot.

Race 6

(9) HUDSON JESSE isn't on her “A” game, however the drop in class will probably do the trick. (5) ROCK HOLLYWOOD is just now back in racing shape and raced well considering the trip last week.  (7) MY MINI SNICKERS well bred filly showed some decent trot on the end of the mile last start.

Race 7

(9) SANDY WIN filly broke her maiden in style last out drawing off impressively and faces similar.  (1) SHOE SHOW has lacked stamina late but could be one of few threats to the top choice.  (8) LOLA GRAM filly will offer a big price and has been competitive at this level.

Race 8

In a tough race to gauge, (10) SAY IT AINT SO drops down a notch and could use a fast pace to close into for a shot late. (7) SHHRAYRAY three-year-old pacer is a head case but if he minds his manners he can upset.  (3) SPLENDED PARTY has been facing much tougher at Hoosier; threat.

Race 9

(5) PILLAGE AND BURN should offer value off a bad drive and has multiple wins at this level.  (7) MR PICKPOCKET raced well off a long layoff and has lots of room to improve.  (1) BELL VALLEY TIGER gets sent out for a hot barn with the best post.

Race 10

(1) ANGEL DEMON will look to make it two straight and was the driver's choice.  (5) MISS PAT WEISAR raced gamely last week uncovered most of the mile.  (7) KIMBERLY R seven-year-old is a question mark coming off a scratch but if ready can beat this bunch.

Race 11

(6) SUDDENLY SINGLE gets sent out first start in a new barn against weaker.  (8) SUMMER SHANDY five-year-old stallion is begging to be claimed at this level off an impressive win.  (3) CONZO four-year-old was given a perfect trip last week saving ground up the rail; threat.

Race 12

(9) WH CARMEN just missed last out at this level and was the driver's choice.  (7) STARDOM BOUND is capable of popping at a price down in class.  (5) DUNESIDE PERTTIE is 0 for the year but can compete with this group.


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