11/11/2015 4:03PM

Balmoral: Friday 11/13 Analysis


Race 9 - $15,000 Guaranteed Pick Four Pool

Best Bet (50 - 78 / $175.60): VITAL TERROR (9th)

Spot Play: BIG MOON RIZING (3rd)


Race 1

(1) LET'S NOT DWELL picks up a big driver change with the best post down in class.  (6) TORNADO HENRY has been facing much tougher at Hoosier; threat.  (8) LIMA REAL EASY finds a weak and inconsistent field and should offer a big price.

Race 2

(9) DALI UNDAUNTED owns wins against better on the year and was the driver's choice.  (4) EDDIE EDDIE EDDIE pacer is 0 for his career but is capable of hitting the board.  (10) NICKS ONE MAN SHOW might have some ability shipping in from out east.

Race 3

(5) BIG MOON RIZING has been competitive at this level before and finds a suspect bunch.  (4) FANTASTIC ROCK picks up a huge driver change and gets sent out for proven connections.  (8) PILLAGE AND BURN has the most upside in the race but a provisional pilot; command a price.

Race 4

(1) FOX VALLEY PIPA should offer the better price of the contenders off a nice effort.  (6) SPARKIN YOUR FIRE wasn't nearly as good last out but was sharp the start prior.  (7) DAKOTA RUN is capable of pacing a good mile with a good setup.

Race 5

In a really weak group, (4) SANDY WIN flashed some ability and finds a field full of question marks.  (6) NASHVILLE NASTY has been competitive against similar but has come up short when it matters most; use underneath.  (9) FOX VALLEY WAVE just raced evenly last out and needs to find a way into the race.

Race 6

(6) MASTER OF EXCUSES is very inconsistent from week to week but a good effort puts him in the mix.  (9) CELEBRITY HERCULES was the driver's choice and drops down in class.  (8) MY MINI SNICKERS doesn't look the best on paper but has beaten better on the year.

Race 7

(8) MACHO BURBON has been improving since the short layoff and is a threat if he minds his manners.  (6) PARTY FALLS is probably the horse to beat with a smooth trip.  (7) CAFFEIE KID freshman pacer faces older more seasoned opponents but was very good winning his first lifetime start.

Race 8

(4) TAMARAC SMOOCHIE will look to make it three straight against similar; short price.  (2) FLUKYS GIRL has had two tough trips in a row and is one of few threats to the top choice.  (7) I'M TELLING YOU was sharp at this level prior to the trip to Indiana.

Race 9

(1) VITAL TERROR probably needed the start last week and gets a post edge on his rivals.  (2) SAY IT AINT SO is 0 for the year but flashed some sneaky late pace last out.  (8) BARBOSA pacing gelding has been very good in his last few starts.

Race 10

(7) DP ANGEL was the driver's choice of four off a big effort against better.  (8) TOGETHERFOREVER gets sent out for a hot barn and will offer value.  (3) WINGS is best used underneath for a low percentage pilot.

Race 11

(1) BOHEMIA takes a big drop down in competition for a proven barn.  (3) RICHESS NESTOR was an open length winner when last seen in this spot.  (2) JO JO SPUR was a multiple move winner last out but needs more; command a price.

Race 12

(7) FOX VALLEY GEORGE comes into the race sneaky sharp and would have finished second last week had he shook loose sooner.   (1) WHY ASK WHY should find this spot easier; threat.  (10) PART TIME just missed last week against better but needs to find a way into the race.

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