10/21/2015 2:27PM

Balmoral: Friday 10/23 Analysis

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Race 9 - $15,000 Guaranteed Pick Four Pool

Best Bet (46 - 72 / $161.00): LOVERS HOLIDAY (11th)

Spot Play: LUCKY DALI (2nd)

 

Race 1

(7) TAMARAC SMOOCHIE lightly raced filly has more upside than most of the field and comes off two nice efforts.  (1) SHOE SHOW showed some improvement last out and gets the best post.  (8) LOLA GRAM comes off a game win at this level.

Race 2

(1) LUCKY DALI well bred filly had some sneaky late pace last week and appears to be ready for a good effort.  (5) LK'S NANCY LEE no way the filly should be 0 for the year; threat.  (10) SANDY WIN will offer a monster price and can threaten with a good setup; top driver's choice.

Race 3

(1) PRINCESS GIRL drew off by open lengths last week against better.  (5) MAPLE GROVE KAREN was no match for the top choice last start but can hit the ticket underneath.  (8) JESSE'S POTION has been knocking on the door but needs more; use underneath.

Race 4

(8) RICKY TIDWELL has been facing much tougher in Indiana and should offer value; big chance.  (2) PARKLANE INDY looks to have a decent burst of speed getting sent out for proven connections.  (10) YESSIREEBOB will look to make it three straight wins at this level.

Race 5

In a very tough race to gauge, (7) BIG EXPENSE is very fast and just needs a trouble-free trip for a piece.  (8) MY MINI SNICKERS well bred filly takes a huge drop in class.  (5) MASTER OF EXCUSES gelding went from career form to can't pick his up his feet; command a price.

Race 6

In another wide open race, (7) SISTER'S KEEPER drops in class and has been pacing faster than most of the field.  (1) LIZZABELLE mare finds a suspect bunch to do some damage.  (5) MAKENA CAT can pick up the pieces in the right scenario.

Race 7

(3) FOX VALLEY DIAMO two-year-old colt has lots of upside making his third career start; driver's choice.  (6) PASTOR CLINT has a ton of ability but rarely stays trotting; use caution.  (1) DR VENKMAN came up completely empty last week but does get sent out for hot connections.

Race 8

(6) FOX VALLEY CHARM does her best racing up close to the pace; fires early.  (2) FOX VALLEY BROOKE super night champ will look to make it six of eight on the year.  (5) LEX will offer low value and has had trouble sealing the deal as of late.

Race 9

(8) SEEYOUATTHEFINISH mare is sharp and will be firing with a purpose early.  (6) JUST BY DESIGN is another one likely firing for position early; threat.  (7) RYLEIGH'S LILLY something isn't quite right with the pacing mare; use caution.

Race 10

(9) MADOFF seven-year-old stallion takes a big drop in competition and just needs a good drive from a low percentage pilot for a piece.  (4) FANTASTIC ROCK well bred pacer is more than capable against this bunch.  (2) PISTOPACKINPIPER bumps up in class but does get sent out for capable connections.

Race 11

(8) LOVERS HOLIDAY mare set a career mark last week first up against a much better field.  The pacer couldn't beat bottom level claimers for over two years barely able to get around the track, but has been sharp for a new trainer.  If the pacer duplicates her last effort she wins for fun.  (3) HOOSIERS FANTASY just missed at this level last out but needs more.  (4) PEACELOVEPACE has won at this level before and is versatile.

Race 12

(3) EXCELERATED SPEED pacing mare takes a significant drop in class with a good post.  (4) GET THE TERROR has yet to win or finish second on the year, however the connections are capable of huge form reversals at any time.  Watch the tote board carefully on this one.  (10) ALWAYS TALKING is another dropper in the race and can threaten with a good setup.

[DRF HARNESS LIVE: Real-time insights & Live Video for Saturday's Breeders Crown Finals at Woodbine--Starts at 6:15 p.m.]