12/25/2012 7:40PM

Balmoral: $50,000 Guaranteed Pick Five Analysis


Race 2 

(2) KITTY O’BRIEN unleashed a wicked late kick to make up a ton of ground off soft fractions.  Mare looks to be sharp and will be much closer turning for home.  (1) ITZALASSI put in an impressive effort last out while first up and has dominated this class.  (5) FOX VALLEY LILAC put in a sneaky good effort closing nicely last out.  If there is a speed duel up front early, 5-year-old could be a player late.  (6) BANJOE HOTSPUR mare should be a big price after getting used hard early last out. Worth noting that barn has sent out some nice winners recently.

Race 3 

(3) JUXTAMOONLITKISS has shown two big moves at the end of her miles.  I suspect a more aggressive drive on this one; big chance.  (8) MISS PACIFIC has been really competitive with the driver change and should be right there on the money with a decent trip.  (5) GIMMEAZZZMOOCH is a well-bred 2-year-old filly who looks to have some talent but is facing older; use on deeper tickets.

Race 4 

(5) DEALIN KID just tired a bit late but still put in an excellent effort last out.  Gelding has gate speed and a top driver.  (7) MELT IN YOUR MOUTH was a game second to an impressive winner closing nicely from a bad spot.  Three-year­-old is well-bred and looks to be improving with every start.  (2) CAPTAIN COURAGEOUS put in a big effort closing nicely for a victory in last.  Gelding is a threat if he minds his manners.

Race 5

(5) JIMMY RIP gelding has shown talent and looks to be rounding into form.  Three-year-old could be sitting on a big effort.  (9) FULL STEAM AHEAD has been racing gamely just not getting his picture taken a lot; fires early.  (8) DESERT COWBOY shows breaks but does own a big move if he can stay flat.  (3) IMA FANCY KING had an impressive qualifier and could step up in the right scenario.

Race 6 

(7) EVIL URGES owns a big class edge on the field and put in a huge effort from way back last out.  (2) CLEVER UPSTART just missed last out and is really racing well; versatile.  (3) ANTS INER PANTS has really impressed late in the season and seems to keep getting better.  (4) BENNS SCORE KEEPER closed really well from a tough spot and is now posted inside.  Gelding would need to step up and trot even faster.

.50-cent Pick Five Play -  1,2 with 3 with 1,2,3,5,7 with 3,5,7,8,9 with 7 = $25