09/27/2001 12:00AM

Arlington Park analysis for 9/28

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BEST BET: STOP DROP AND ROLL (9TH RACE)

First Race

1.DELECTABLE 2. COUNTESS KELLY 3. PIZZAZZ

DELECTABLE, claimed for $25,000 in late July, takes a steep drop three starts later, from $25k to $10k; respectable form from last two outs, however, and Catalano barn often drops horses to win; minor works since last; leading jock up. COUNTESS KELLY went a bit off form in last, but that was at a mile, and she cuts back to sprint here, historically a better trip for mare; second for this claiming price two back. PIZZAZZ contested a fast pace but still managed to hold place by open lengths in CBY $15k claimer last out; might fit.

Second Race

1.B'S CHOICE 2. BARBIE'S WOODSIE 3. CATCH'EM ALL

B'S CHOICE claimed three back for $10k, now drops down to lowest level, but only $2k lower than that claim price; drew post one in last two starts, and broke slowly sprinting two back, which compromised; off rail turning back to sprint from decent route try facing better horses in last; may tag them late. BARBIE'S WOODSIE broke poorly from the rail in last out, and that was his race; he needs the lead, and showed good speed two back at this level while coughing up a big lead. CATCH'EM ALL has finished third at this class level in last two.

Third Race

1.FALASHA 2. WAVERING RHYTHM 3. BEAUTY SCHOOL

FALASHA, idle since Dec. 16, comes off long break, but shows encouraging works for her return; stakes winner had a good 2yo season, and comes back in a good spot, for $35k; she's a 3X allowance, and it'd be tough for her to win in open company, and as an Illinois-bred, she runs for a sweet purse here. WAVERING RHYTHM already shown she fits well in $35k 3yo claimers; ran late to just miss second behind standout winner in last. BEAUTY SCHOOL purchased after easy $25k maiden claiming debut win, but required layoffs after each of first two starts; drops back in for tag after trying allowance company in last two.

Fourth Race

1.COFFEE BUBBLES 2. FLEET AMERICA 3. BIG IMPACT

COFFEE BUBBLES out of claiming jail now after being claimed for $16k on Aug. 24; got look for $20k claiming last time when finishing fourth of seven, now drops down to lowest level conditioned claiming; Amoss barn does win on the drop. Mud might have contributed to FLEET AMERICA's bad loss in higher-class race last time out; makes first start at this low class level, and has touch of speed. BIG IMPACT makes first start for tag since $32k debut in NoCal this spring.

Fifth Race

1.WHATAFLASHYACTOR 2. WAVERING WARRIOR 3. ATAHUALPA

Aging class horse WHATAFLASHYACTOR, in good form all year long, but dropping steadily in class and finds way to bottom-level claiming for first time in career; narrow losses for $10k claiming in last two, and both of those at a mile; offers no value. WAVERING WARRIOR comes out of a starter race where he showed little; might rebound, however, with drop to this low level. ATAHUALPA, off since mid-July, drops to a class level where he should be dangerous.

Sixth Race

1.OVAL 2. LEAR SKYWALKER 3. BLUE SKY BELLE

OVAL would be coming back on short rest if she does indeed start, but filly claimed in last out a strong effort in a quickly run $18k claimer; was seven lengths clear of third that start; especially tough if this race comes off grass. LEAR SKYWALKER didn't contend in softer company on dirt last time out, but is bred for grass and moved way up in turf debut. BLUE SKY BELLE got the wet turf course she needs when in for $35k in last, but only finished fourth.

Seventh Race

1.AIR FRANCE 2. SMOKE CHASER 3. SAINT ROYAL

AIR FRANCE by promising younger sire French Deputy, whose progeny often have speed; Cilio barn won MSW earlier this meet with first-timer Tinker; filly shows bullet half-mile gate work. SMOKE CHASER by Smoke Glacken, one of the top first-crop sires and a horse that had great early speed; this filly will need it breaking from post 1; barn can have one ready for debut. SAINT ROYAL worked well from gate on Sept. 17.

Eighth Race

1.IDARADO 2. SALOMON SWAGGER 3. MERCENARY

IDARADO been coming close all meet long at this 2X allowance condition; missed by a half-length in last while facing field that probably was stronger than this one; ample recovery time for good grass outfit. SALOMON SWAGGER came back into form last time out in dirt experiment; perhaps that rejuvenation carries over in return to turf, which had been his preferred surface. MERCENARY contested pace last time out before giving way late to closer and his pace rival; that was his first start on this circuit and for new connections; suppose he might move forward.

Ninth Race

1.STOP DROP AND ROLL 2. PROPER JOE 3. COME ON SPIDER

STOP DROP AND ROLL came back from long layoff in last out to run a very encouraging race; broke slow and was well back early, then reached contention with big middle move, though not surprisingly couldn't sustain it to wire; worked five furlongs since in a fast time, and probably has more talent than these. PROPER JOE ran a big race last time to miss by a half-length after contesting a hot pace; has a habit of finishing second. COME ON SPIDER, off since Hawthorne, is capable of sharing at this level if he's ready to fire fresh.