10/02/2001 12:00AM

Arlington Park analysis for 10/03

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BEST BET: MY DALLAS (4th race)

First Race

1. INGREDIENTS 2. COME ON IN 3. HONEY ON VACATION

INGREDIENTS makes her first dirt start on Lasix, first start in a claiming race, and has speed and the rail; enough positives to make career-best performance seem possible; little to beat in this race. COME ON IN still a maiden after 10 races, the last five in claiming company; third at this level in last, but was even-money favorite in that spot. HONEY ON VACATION ran the best race of her career at this class level last time out.

Second Race

1. PEAKABBU BOY 2. HOMETOWN 3. REDDICK

PEAKABBU BOY has possible excuses from last two races, and what's more, makes first start outside maiden allowance company; stumbled when breaking from wide post last time, and caught inside in speed duel two back; could break through on class drop. HOMETOWN dueled on pace last time out from an inside post, virtually an impossible trip the way the racetrack played on that day; drops down in class and probably fits here, but pcae type is drawn inside other speed again, and must work out trip. EXPECT PEACE ran the stretch well in maiden-claiming sprint debut before regressing in mile maiden-allowance try last out.

Third Race

1. SILKY ZARB 2. CLASSIC BRUSH 3.REDDICK

SILKY ZARB, on the pace throughout last race, stayed game and won by a neck at this class level; given more than three weeks between starts, a nice little rest, and he appears to be the controlling speed from post 1; barn doing well right now. CLASSIC BRUSH, claimed for this tag out of his last race, generally has raced at higher class levels, at least over the last year; came off two-month break when fourth for $7.5k two back, and second in mud last time was solid enough. REDDICK is taking a class drop today having faced starter-allowance horses in his last five races.

Fourth Race

1.MY DALLAS 2. DARE TO HOPE 3. SASSY NURSE

MY DALLAS appears to be the only speed horse in a short field of seven, and she's drawn on the outside, a good place for a horse with her style; has faded late in last four, but three of those were on racing surfaces she doesn't seem to handle (turf and mud), and the fourth came against horses better than these; Broussard stable hot right now. DARE TO HOPE is a big one-run closing sprinter who's proven capable of contending at this $25k claiming level; last was a good try, and she's have a nice chance of winning a race like this right now if a fast pace developed in front of her; that doesn't seem likely here. SASSY NURSE is in top form and ran well last time out on class hike to this level and switch to turf route; probably better sprinting on dirt, which she's back to today.

Fifth Race

1. RUBY LIGHT 2. SILVER MYSTERY 3. MELISSA'S SUCCESS

Barn that claimed RUBY LIGHT for $14k in her last race steps filly up in class despite fact she just got out of claiming "jail" and could run back at any level; that's a good sign, and she's alread shown she can contend for $18k - won a race for that tag here July 4, and with this rider, too; should get ideal trip stalking fast pace. Projected speed battle also favors late-running mare SILVER MYSTERY; she ran poorly last time , but bounced back from similar defeat three back to finish second at this class level. MELISSA'S SUCCESS drops back down to level of win and claim two starts back; logical contender.

Sixth Race

1. CHATSWORTH 2. RUTLEDGE GOLD 3. HUGH'S CHOICE

CHATSWORTH lost his best chance when he broke slowly from an inside post in dirt-sprint debut; finished eighth, but beaten only eight lengths; barn has success on lawn, and coltby young sire Hennessy, whose offspring often handle turf; has worked very well since debut; leading rider sticks with him. RUTLEDGE GOLD is by young sire Benny The Dip, who won the Epsom Derby during a turf career; colt's dirt-sprint debut might have been about learning as much as anything; several of barn's 11 wins at meet have come on grass. HUGH'S CHOICE got off to a bad start in debut, and considering how far back he was early, ran well to be third behind standout winner who came back to easily win an allowance race; first-crop sire unproven on sod.

Seventh Race

1. DOC SENTER 2. DEPUTY MARSHALL 3. PAT'S BLAST O.

DOC SENTER, claimed four back for $20,000, came to hand thereafter, closing behind a fast pace two back to win a 1X allowance; made up good ground in stretch again last time when in for this $35k tag, finishing fourth in a key race - win and show horses already have come back to win; sharp gelding should have pace to chase. DEPUTY MARSHALL makes first ever claiming start while stretching out to a mile; out in fast half-mile work since last race for barn having a good meet. PAT'S BLAST O. probably the one to beat if the track comes up wet; won 1X allowance by more than three lengths in mud two back; contender on any surface.

Eighth Race

1. TYKE 2. KALI'S SMILE 3. WILD WOMAN

TYKE came back from nearly a year's layoff in last race, and looked like a horse in need of a start; was too sharp early and shot to lead, then seemed to tire; should move up from that try, and Illinois-bred was good enough last year to finish fourth in open stakes at Prairie Meadows. KALI'S SMILE just missed last time out at this class level; that was a good race and she adds blinkers, but filly keeps coming up short - at short prices. WILD WOMAN ran her best race of the summer last time out to finish fourth at this level; coming around now?

Ninth Race

1. BIG RED ROBYN 2. THOMAS CROWN 3. VELOCE

BIG RED ROBYN could manage only a ninth-place finish last time out in a race just like this one (Illinois turf 1X allowance); but trip that day was somewhat odd, and he might not have been at peak fitness making only third start since December; colt good enough last year to twice finish third on grass in open maiden allowance races. THOMAS CROWN probably favored here given top connections and place finish last time out in a race just like this one; might have an even better chance should this race be rained onto main track. VELOCE never picked up his feet last time out after having run solid races in two previous starts; might just want to throw the last one out.