04/03/2006 12:00AM

Aqueduct pick six preview


Race 4

Both No. 6 Lethal Missile and No. 1A Raff and Tumble should be used based on their current form and Beyer Speed Figures, but both have holes. Lethal Missile sat a perfect trip behind a speed duel last time, and opened up a clear lead in the stretch only to snatch defeat out of the jaws of victory.

Raff and Tumble was wrangled back early to rate on the inside, but was late to change leads once the real running began.

Pick six players looking to go deep may want to include No. 4 Funny Connection, a lightly raced son of Distorted Humor. Funny Connection gave an improved performance in his route debut, and figures to be running late.

Race 5

The second leg of the sequence comprises hard-to-handicap claimers. No. 3C, Eastern Crown, gets a huge rider switch from Ariel Smith to Richard Migliore, and he should be able to stalk and pounce from the far outside post. He stretches out to a mile, but ran well going ten furlongs earlier in his career in Canada, and shouldn't have any trouble going from six to eight panels.

Mike Luzzi is named on both halves of the Scott Lake entry so only one will meet the starter. Either one should be used on pick six tickets. No. 2B Initially may be the better of the pair. He chased 4-5 favorite Congressional Run in his most recent start, and has done well in one-turn routes in the past. No. 2 Gold Tango makes the first start off the Lake claim, and the third of the form cycle.

No. 7 Voryias pulled off a 16-1 upset last time out, and was claimed by Mike Miceli. He seems to be rounding into form, and gives the ticket some longshot flavor.

Race 6

No. 6 Taking the Redeye proved that he could rate a bit in his most recent start when a very game second at 12-1, and he may fall into a similar trip just off No. 2 Seeking the Money. He once again figures to gain first run on his main competition, No. 1 Dont Knock America, and he may hold on here switching back to a one-turn route.

No. 4 Wild Vicar wouldn't surprise. The former didn't gallop out very well after the measured win over Taking the Redeye, however, and may not offer much value with John Velazquez in the saddle. Wild Vicar has tactical speed, and has cracked the exacta in four of his last five outings. More ambitious players may want to use him as well as Taking the Redeye.

Race 7

Usually don't like to play big-fig maiden graduates when they try winners for the first time, but a small pick six player has to scrimp and save sometimes. No. 1 Peak Maria's Way dominated maiden claimers at Gulfstream, and is certainly bred to handle the extra distance. The inside post may pose a bit of a problem, but Jeremy Rose figures to get her out of there in a hurry.

For a few extra bucks, consider No. 2 Bunnabunnabunna and No. 3 Spartan Valor. Both raced against the grain of a speed-favoring, muddy track last time out. Bunnabunnabunna is a granddaughter of A.P. Indy, and although she has been outsprinted going short, she should relish stretching out to a mile. Spartan Valor adds blinkers, and goes two sprints to a route.

Race 8

Velazquez and Todd Pletcher have the likely favorite in No. 9 New York Dream, and although she should be used on the ticket, be aware that she sat a very good stalking trip last time, and still couldn't capitalize when the money was on the line. Her Beyers are the best in the field so she can't be discounted.

No. 4 Earhart goes two sprints to a route in the third start of the form cycle. She has stamina breeding on the bottom of her pedigree, and should be close to the pace.

No. 2 No Way No How overcame a bumbling beginning to run down conditioned claimers going short. She's won around two turns in the past, and may sit a nice tracking trip with an alert break.

Race 9

No. 3 Two West broke a half a beat slowly, then rushed up to set the pace in most recent start. She held on gamely in the stretch, and seems to have some upside potential. If she breaks cleanly, she may be able to lead these statebred maiden claimers from gate to wire. She'll be the final single on the ticket, but watch out for No. 2 Judge Tommy D., and No. 1A Short Wave. Judge Tommy D. has some speed, and seems ideally spotted at this class level. Short Wave ran a much-improved race last time out, and should be right there when they turn for home.

A light Pick Six ticket would look like this

Race 4: 1A, 4, 6

Race 5: 2 or 2B, 3X, 7

Race 6: 6

Race 7: 1

Race 8: 2, 4, 9

Race 9: 3

3 x 3 x 1 x 1 x 3 x 1 = 27 bets x $2 wager = $54 ticket.