03/13/2014 11:54AM

Aqueduct: Closer Looks for March 14, 2014


Race 2

Dear to All
Failed to threaten when she came off the sidelines in a recent N1X at Laurel; had to have needed that race, and note that Dutrow possesses solid numbers second-time off a long layoff; has been working bullets at Fair Hill, and second-leading rider Jose Ortiz should have her in the thick of the battle in her first start with a tag.
Blue Ballerina
Raced wide when the inside was the place to be Jan. 30, but was also ineffective in another $20K NW2 event two weeks ago; she's generally been a fringe player since the fall, and could sneak into the super if she fires one of her better shots.
Ran well for second after chasing three-wide when she descended to approx. this level in her first try for Falcone Feb. 28; the capable Franco takes over and should have her in contention for a slice of the pie, at what figures to be a square price.
Radiant Cut
Just missed against easier in her penultimate outing, and then lost some Beyer power when third in a higher non-winners of two tilt most recently; leading rider Irad Ortiz returns after a one-race absence, and he's 2 for 8 at the meet for Donk; can hang up a 60 Beyer when she's on her game, and it wouldn't be surprising to see her topple the lot.
Wisdom of Oz
Homebred has out-performed her long odds this year, although her last race wasn't nearly as good as her narrow loss Jan. 23; trainer/rider combo is 0 for 8 at this stand; on the edges.
Missed Count
Was a beaten favorite in a tougher situation Feb. 9, when she finished a lapped-on second after dueling up front; nicely-bred daughter of Grand Slam is competing off yet another claim, and this live barn is 1 for 1 at the meet when using the hot bug Rice; perhaps the one to fear most. - Ron Gierkink

Race 3

Positive 2-pound weight swing off the 3-back 2-length loss to Street Thug at today's distance; he finished off the board in his only oher 1M and 1-16th event of career; posted a good try 11 days ago but today is already start 5 in 2014; June's CD-dirt Mile starter allowance runner-up is his career-best Beyer speed figure suggesting he may want shorter than this; the 2-back show runner Beyered 92 in a next-out AQU-starter alw. win.
Street Thug
In front in 8 of 9 races no doubt what his strategy is for this but races with 124 pounds easily is highest-assignment ever; 2-for-2 at today's distance on the AQU Inner Dirt; he posted a field-best Beyer in 2012 in a BEL-dirt Mile; 41 days away for a 28%-winning fresh trainer; try to catch me.
Exits a career-best and best-last-race Beyer when just missing at shorter; he has never raced past 7F but was seemingly screaming out for more distance in last; good stretchout trainer (22% winners since 2013) on display; sire won a Grade 1 stakes at 9F on dirt; 0-for-2 dam lost both races in French-turf Miles.
Denn Piper
46 days away for a trainer winless since 2013 (0-for-6) with similar-fresh runners; shocked lesser when last seen; he has been at his very-best on AQU Inner Dirt (11-0-0-0 racing on all other surfaces); the 2-back winner repeated in an AQU-$12,500 claimer with a 69 Beyer; will be taking a wait and see approach.
Silver Day
Good sign that his 1st race off the claim produced his best Beyer since October but it still left him far behind the starter-alw. field he was facing; the winner from last repeated in an AQU-alw. with an 85 speed figure; beat much lesser on Inner Dirt over a wet-main track he is doing the rain dance for this. - Art Gropper

Race 4

Dance I Can
This re-claim finally draws an inside post position and that fact, combined with the blinker removal, can help with the awakening; the down side: she came up the golden rail of 3/3 and never really threatened; mixed signals.
Did not have an easy trip in her first start in 2 months; has earned checks at various distances and over different types of footing; makes only her second attempt at this low level and can hit the board with smooth sailing.
Erin's Desert
Nowhere in any of her races, the six-year-old mare is hard to recommend; had a vastly improved workout over the training track prior to the last effort, but did not run to it; will be viewed against as one of the rank outsiders.
Lovely Bella
Flashed brief speed in a couple of her races but the outcome remained the same as she has shown no staying power whatsoever; no reason to foresee any turnaround and the stretchout will probably not matter.
Keen On Green
Sprint form has been lacking although she has run into a pair of blowout winners in the last 2 efforts; gets in with the proverbial feather and can actually be a factor in this, one of the weakest maiden collections of the year.
Lady C Note
Displayed some gate speed when turning back last month and in the previous route attempt, she prompted the issue a bit before fading; because of the pace nature of the field, she should be among the early leaders; improvement expected.
Halos and Angels
Way back there in each performance yet 2 of those defeats involved serious trouble; may show more life with a straight and true break and is not impossible in a field such as this; generous odds assured once again.
Pari Nath
Outside post may not matter; she has shown some fair early zip in routes and if she can equal, or improve upon, the effort 2 back, she has legitimate money chances this afternoon; worth some trifecta inclusion if that is your cup of tea. - Jim Kachulis

Race 6

The Royal Boot
8-for-17 dirt record is noted while in rock-solid current form exiting a best-last-race Beyer speed figure; her best game is racing on or near the lead and is the one to catch again today with Your Move; gets a negative 2-pound weight swing off the 3-length win over EZ Passer 2-back; last time on a fast track 3-back she tested the winner who repeated in an AQU-98K stakes with an 89 speed figure then made it 3 in a row posting a 100K stakes score with a 90 Beyer.
Heir to Dare
3 years ago on GP dirt at 6F in her 2nd-caeer start represents the field's best Beyer speed figure; was claimed off her lowest Beyer since June when dueled into defeat behind this same bunch but stamina improvement is expected for a 27%-win trainer since 2013 with the 1st-off-the-buy angle; view as a pace presence for part.
Revealing Moment
Tough call following her 1st two races off the claim being Beyer-career-low speed figures including latest when badly beaten after pressing the pace; her best game is racing on or near the lead but catchs a field top heavy with pace and is back in just one week seeking answers; view as a pace presence for part; debut win was on a wet-main track maybe off going would help.
Was claimed off a high-win percentage trainer which is not a good-win angle; would have to get by EZ Passer to win this; her last 3 wins were on turf and her last dirt win was a wild rally from last 15 lengths back at the 1st call; she will get a good pace flow to rally into for this; overall have her ranked a notch below the top contenders.
Darling Bridezilla
Back in for the claim price purchased for 14 months ago; is a closer in a race loaded with gate speed; her last start on a fast track was a victory while 0-for-8 on wet tracks and catching less-than-fast sufaces for last 3 starts did not help her form; the winner, 4th and 9th-place finishers from last Beyered 79-74-69 in next-out AQU-optional claiming, allowance and 20K-claiming wins.
E Z Passer
Is 1-for the last-28; certainly seems to fit in this group but hasn't won since last summer at longer at SAR; was screaming out for more distance in last and gets it here; career-best Beyer was posted at 1 Mile on BEL dirt; hopes to get up in time for a minor award.
Your Move
Try to catch me in front in 7 straight starts; the field's lightweight gets a 2-5-pound concession from each rival; she has been a new runner since the blinkers were removed posting 5 consecutive exacta finishes; the win rider from last takes The Royal Boot and a speed duel between these 2 are possible while her workout for this was not her best. - Art Gropper

Race 7

Choctaw Chuck
Half-brother to multiple stakes winner Singlet (6-14, 330k) ran well enough in his first two starts to merit consideration against these, but it is worth noting that this is his first dirt attempt; runner up from latest won next out at PID on 9/8 going 6f in a 76k stakes with a 69 Beyer.
Geaux Mets
Stakes placed New York-bred has to be considered a legitimate threat in this spot while going out for a barn and rider that win a lot of races together; feel that he's eligible to be ready to give a good account of himself while making his second start as a 3-year-old.
Darley-homebred jumped up on seven rivals in his career debut when going to post at over 23-1 and he merits some respect against these based on the strength of that performance; note the success that Ortiz has had riding for this barn.
Eye Luv Lulu
Obviously he didn't show up with his best when last seen, but that race has proven to be productive, and has run races that are strong enough to make him a player against these; runner up from latest won next out here on 2/21 going 6f vs. starter alw. rivals with an 82 Beyer, and 3rd finisher won next out at Prx on 3/2 going 1m vs. alw. rivals with an 85 Beyer.
Bass River Road
Half-brother to stakes placed Don Six's Number (6-22, 166k) stepped it up nicely along the Beyer Speed Figure scale in a winning performance in his latest outing and he sports the best last race figure in this field; he's shown the ability to adapt to any early pace scenario and he's ideally drawn in the outside post in this five-horse affair. - Brian Pochman

Race 8

Mr. Masterpiece
It took him 13 chances to get through the maiden ranks and now he'll draw inside for the stretch back out; gelding did earn a big number in that last out sprint score and has had some time to recover from the effort; prior route try wasn't bad and this field does appear ripe for the taking, but we'd prefer to make him prove he's capable of doing it again and side against the repeat.
Rocket Hero
Rallied to win first out over the track last winter, but he hasn't been any type of threat since moving on to try winners at this level; he did find himself stuck in a wide spot here a few weeks back and encountered trouble in his prior effort, but he's got a lot of improving to do to step with some of these; prefer others.
Sir Leslie
Ships back up to this circuit to make his inner track debut after running well against open company runners in each of his 2 starts this year; gelding will tackle statebreds for the first time since the summer in this spot and each of those last 2 efforts earned a number that's better than any of these has run of late; they'll have him to beat.
Noosh's Tale
Four year old's return to the inner was pretty weak while getting caught in a wide part of the track; he'll shed some weight with the switch to a capable bug but the low percentage outfit doesn't do so well with its fresh runners and he's better on the lawn so we probably won't see significant improvement from him until turf season begins.
Held second money after showing solid early foot in his return from the freshening; the top should again be his if they want it and he does have a right to be tighter with his last behind him for a barn that excels second off the break; his lone win came at one turn, but it looks like they'll have to run him down to win today.
Didn't have much to offer late after sitting a wide trip sprinting in his first start since late summer; gelding ran well going long at the level at Saratoga and maybe the stretch back out helps a runner who has worked sharply since his return try; he'll need to take a big step forward but is worth a look.
Wise Guide
Didn't have an impact from a wide spot while moving back to this level off a hard earned score over limited winners; both of this gelding's wins have come over this strip and his interim drill suggests he may be set to take a step forward, but have to think a minor award will be his ceiling.
Cat Man Fu
Outside drawn gelding broke through to finally score in his 43rd career start and his first crack with winners from a similar post was not very good; he hasn't run fast enough of late to step with the bigger guys in here and there's not much to suggest a big move forward is on tap; have to pass on him. - Steve Grabowski

Race 9

Summer in Bali
In for $50K less than purchase price as she makes dirt bow; at least there is a double winner in the family; backers have to hope the drop shakes her up.
Francesca's Fancy
Even after the solid second in the inner strip debut, fans backed off a bit at 7-1 and they were right; show horse in last took a maiden $16K seller and the place horse beat maiden $40K foes in next; connections would love to see her step up and start acting like top kin Barbara's Beauty, who earned over $225K; must be left in the mix in a weak fray.
Paris Sunshine
Apparently not much of a work horse, miss has lost ground in the lane every time; 1/19 show horse graduated here in a maiden $16K seller with a 73 Beyer; the blood is there as she's kin to over $300K earner The Last Wave; she has some semblance of speed, but can't see her clearing here.
Lucky Seven
The drop is logical after a pair of dull tries; stakes winning 5 for 48 dam earned over $160K; 3 of 4 siblings won; one banked $90K; third new bug takes reins; passing.
Pushed along but she had nothing left when it counted; 2 for 3 dam won at 2, earned over $30K; all 4 siblings won including near $125K earner Annelle; got a feeling we have not seen the best of this one.
My Savannah Belle
Afleet Alex about 7% with debuters in a 314-runner sample; sire took debut at 2, won two thirds of Triple Crown, banked over $2.7 million; dam was unraced; lone half sis Edyanne took 2 routes, earned about 30 grand; note gap in published moves till 1/27.
Sals Wonderfulgirl
Miss has natural speed, could show more with the blinks and note show horse in last was clear for fun; 1 for 11 dam banked $45K; 2 of 5 siblings won; neither was much stock; note show horse in last was over 7 clear; the one to beat.
Simply Spicy
War Pass 9 for 59 with debuters; sire was unbeaten in 4 juvenile outs including BC Juvenile, earned over $1.5 million; Grade 3 placed 5 for 17 dam banked nearly $250K; the half sis to that Indygo Fashion took 3 of 10, earned about $40K; miss sure looks fit enough. - Brian Mulligan