05/22/2017 9:33AM

Andrew Hawkins' Hong Kong selections and analysis for Wednesday, May 24, 2017

Email

HAPPY VALLEY SELECTIONS

(Wednesday, May 24, 2017)

 

RACE 1: #1 Born To Race, #3 Aeroluminance, #12 Perfect Timing, #9 Telecom Boom

RACE 2: #10 Sky Treasure, #4 Bond Elegance, #2 Carefree Let Go, #8 Enchanted Feeling

RACE 3: #11 Clever Spirit, #10 Confucius Spirit, #5 Multigogo, #3 Wild Boy

RACE 4: #6 Contribution, #11 Polymer Luck, #7 Raging Bull, #3 Go Go Win

RACE 5: #6 Super Sprinter, #1 Spicy Sure, #7 Wisky, #2 Land Grant

RACE 6: #3 Litterateur, #4 Giant Turtle, #1 Ten Flames, #2 Unicorn

RACE 7: #7 No Money No Talk, #11 Flying Monkey, #4 Circuit King, #1 Diego Kosta

RACE 8: #5 Star Of Joy, #4 Perpetual Joyance, #3 Convincible, #1 General Iron

 

RACE 1: HO CHUNG RIVER HANDICAP

#1 Born To Race steps back up to 1650m with the drop into Class 5. He also has a better draw than he's had at his last three starts and he looks capable of breaking through with the class drop. #3 Aeroluminance was just beaten over this course and distance last time out, making solid ground to just be beaten a neck by Atomic Blast. It's still likely to be on the sharp side for him, but he has another good draw with Zac Purton jumping back aboard and he does get the blinkers reapplied now. Only two horses in Hong Kong are rated lower than #12 Perfect Timing, but it looks a potential case of the stars aligning here and maybe he can win one before inevitable retirement at the end of the season. He has an inside draw with Karis Teetan aboard, meaning he should get a soft run midfield or slightly further back, and this looks the trip and track where he would be most likely to break through. #9 Telecom Boom may just be a sprinter but it is worth giving him a chance at this course and distance, particularly after his last two efforts. He also has a better draw, for once.

 

RACE 2: KAM TIN RIVER HANDICAP

#10 Sky Treasure hadn’t shown a great deal before coming to life with a third behind Mr Right last start over the Happy Valley 1000m. His two best efforts have been at the city track, and the 1200m shouldn’t hold any concerns now. He looks very well-meant here with the booking of Joao Moreira, who replaced Alex Lai in the saddle, and also the application of pacifiers. #4 Bond Elegance produced a solid run last start at his Happy Valley debut that was also his first run on turf on the circle. He has drawn a good gate here and should be hard to beat for the hot John Size stable. #2 Carefree Let Go has performed fairly under 10-pound claimer Dylan Mo in recent starts. However, he is the type of horse best served by a strong rider and so the switch to Neil Callan only looks a plus. He has drawn awkwardly, though. #8 Enchanted Feeling is still learning what the caper is all about. The three-year-old might need the drop into Class 5, but it wouldn’t surprise to see him improve into the placings here.

 

RACE 3: KAM TIN RIVER HANDICAP

#11 Clever Spirit has been fair this season without winning. Joao Moreira jumps aboard now from a good gate and this looks his chance to score before he drops down in grade. #10 Confucius Spirit is far from a prolific winner, with only two wins to his name from 39 starts. However, most of his efforts this term have suggested that he’s going to break through before the season is over. With another good draw here, he should be somewhere in the mix. #5 Multigogo is still lightly-raced, but he has shown signs of promise in his four starts to date. He makes his Happy Valley debut here and should be well suited, so he is one of the main contenders, especially with Vincent Ho replacing Kei Chiong. #3 Wild Boy might still be too highly-rated, but he does have a penchant for popping up in races like this. He is one to include in the exotics.

 

RACE 4: NG TUNG RIVER HANDICAP

#6 Contribution was a very impressive all-the-way winner under Joao Moreira over this course and distance two back, but that also led to the disaster that was his last start. Apprentice Kei Chiong was instructed to lead, but she continued to press forward even after the horse missed the start, causing the three-year-old to take charge and set blistering fractions in front. In the end, it was some effort to only be beaten five lengths. Zac Purton now takes over riding duties on the son of Street Cry and he can bounce back. #11 Polymer Luck has run second at this last three starts, in addition to a pair of runner-up efforts early in the season. There’s no doubt he’s on the cusp of a victory, and perhaps the switch to Happy Valley for the first time might be the catalyst for him to break through. #7 Raging Bull has a pedigree that suggests he should get over ground, being by Savabeel from a fairly stout family. However, this is the first time he has been beyond 1400m at his 26th start. Look for improvement with the step up in trip. Joao Moreira, who rode Raging Bull last start, switches to #3 Go Go Win, who is honest but struggles to get that victory. The good gate might prove the difference here, but he’s also the type who is better to tackle on a win line.

 

RACE 5: SHAN PUI RIVER HANDICAP

#6 Super Sprinter was good at his return from a four-month break when fourth across the line (relegated to fifth on protest) fresh. He will have taken improvement for that effort and he again gets in well with Jack Wong taking seven pounds off his back. He is worth another chance. #1 Spicy Sure was the horse affected by Super Sprinter shifting in last time, squeezed out badly on the rail at the 200m but charging home to finish close-up. He was upgraded to fourth there, and with Joao Moreira now in the saddle, he is sure to have plenty of admirers. However, he can be hard to catch. #7 Wisky has been very consistent this season and is yet to miss the top-four over this course and distance this season. Rider Sam Clipperton scored his first win for trainer John Size on Sunday aboard Arm Runda, and he has a chance to make it two here. #2 Land Grant has struck form at his last three runs for new trainer Tony Millard, but he needs to find an extra length to challenge here.

 

RACE 6: THE SAUTERNES CUP

#3 Litterateur’s last start win at Happy Valley was breathtaking, recording a swift final sectional of 22.10 seconds to storm from last and score. Horses rarely win the way at Happy Valley the way that he did, and he only got a six-point penalty for the victory too. He will be very hard to beat once again with the right setup, now that he has found his rhythm. #4 Giant Turtle won two races over this course and distance earlier in the season and produced a strong effort on the dirt last time out after going forward. Perhaps Chad Schofield will adopt similar tactics here in a race that, on paper, lacks true speed. #1 Ten Flames is always capable of sneaking into the finish in races like this and is worth including in exotics, especially from gate one. #2 Unicorn is the type of horse that needs everything to fall into place for him to figure. However, with a good draw, maybe he will get everything to suit. He’s a place chance.

 

RACE 7: TAI SHING STREAM HANDICAP

#7 No Money No Talk was good enough over the straight 1000m at what was his first run in almost 11 months, finishing fourth. He will have naturally improved for that effort, and if apprentice Jack Wong can get him into a handy position with only 112 pounds on his back, then he will be hard to beat. #11 Flying Monkey disappointed with his first run in Class 3 last time out over the straight 1000m. The return to Happy Valley should be a plus, with Chad Schofield to do the steering from gate four. #4 Circuit King is nothing if not honest. He should press forward under Joao Moreira, although he is capable of sitting in behind the speed, and he will be around the mark. #1 Diego Kosta is one of the night’s more intriguing runners. The John Size-trained runner sped clear for an emphatic three and a half length success last time out, earning him a 10-point hike in the ratings. He has never shaped as the type capable of going back to back, but maybe he’s found his niche over the Happy Valley 1000m. He bears close watching.

 

RACE 8: TAN SHAN RIVER HANDICAP

#5 Star Of Joy has run an honest race at his four starts over the Sha Tin 1200m to date. He now makes his Happy Valley debut and should be around the mark again. #4 Perpetual Joyance has been one of the key members of trainer John Size’s trainers’ championship campaign, winning three races. He may have found his mark now, but Joao Moreira does hop aboard and perhaps the change in jockey might spark him up. He does have an awkward draw, though. Perpetual Joyance’s regular rider Karis Teetan switches to #3 Convincible, who has disappointed in his last two starts after looking on the cusp of a victory. In his favour, however, is a better draw; he should get a soft run from gate one, so he must be included. #1 General Iron is having his fourth run back from a year on the sidelines. He was entirely unsuited over the Sha Tin 1000m last time out and he should be better now back to the Happy Valley 1200m, the site of two victories for the gelding last season.