03/13/2017 10:41AM

Andrew Hawkins' Hong Kong Selections and analysis for Wednesday, March 15, 2017


(Wednesday March 15, 2017)

RACE 1: #4 Jumbo Happiness, #2 Carefree Let Go, #3 Good Companion, #8 Dr Race
RACE 2: #11 Bliss Cartel, #2 Holy Unicorn, #9 Yourthewonforme, #8 Golden Partners
RACE 3: #2 Royale Elegance, #9 Nashashuk, #1 Never Better, #4 Golden Achiever
RACE 4: #2 Go Go Win, #3 Spinning Dancer, #5 Rock The Tree, #7 Winaswewish
RACE 5: #6 Travel Comforts, #5 Diamond Master, #1 Beauty Master, #2 E-Super
RACE 6: #2 Harrier Jet, #12 Healthy Luck, #4 Tang Fleming, #11 Money Boy
RACE 7: #10 Victory Boys, #1 Pikachu, #7 Agree, #8 Giant Turtle
RACE 8: #10 Premiere, #5 Golden Harvest, #8 Super Turbo, #4 Jetwings


#4 Jumbo Happiness has shown glimpses of form but has yet to put his best foot forward. He gets blinkers on here and has drawn the inside gate with Vincent Ho to take the ride. The gear change appears a clear indication that he is ready to strike and he is worth following here. On the flipside, #2 Carefree Let Go has the blinkers removed for this, a move that sparked his best run of form to date last season. Zac Purton retains the ride and he should be in this for a long way. #3 Good Companion came to hand quickly to win at his third Hong Kong start. Kei Chiong replaces Sam Clipperton, which means that the four-year-old will likely find himself on speed from gate three, but he should be able to stick around for some minor money. Italian-bred #8 Dr Race has appeared capable of snaring a Class 4 if the race sets up to suit him. He is another who can finish in the placings here.


#11 Bliss Cartel has not won after 25 Hong Kong starts but he has hit the board at seven of his last eight outings and will be winning very shortly. Douglas Whyte sticks solid and he has finally drawn a good gate in three, after draws of 12, seven and 12 at his last three starts. This is his chance to break through. #2 Holy Unicorn needs to prove that his first-up run for Almond Lee was no fluke, but he was finding the line nicely that day for third on the Sha Tin all-weather track. His pedigree suggested that he could handle that surface, so back to turf may prove another test. However, he has drawn well in two and could bob up again. #9 Yourthewonforme is in a similar spot to Bliss Cartel in that he is winless from 26 starts. He should be suited stepping up to 1800m but he will need everything to go right for him under Sam Clipperton. Still, he is one of the main contenders. #8 Golden Partners gets Joao Moreira aboard and will likely jump as the favourite. He is frustrating in that he often misses the start and ends up in an awkward position, but that should be less of an issue over the 1800m. Still, he’s worth opposing if he is too short.


#2 Royale Elegance has been fairly good this season for new trainer Chris So, if his last run is ignored. Joao Moreira jumps aboard from gate five and he looks suited returning to the 1200m too, so expect him to prove hard to beat. #9 Nashashuk has shown glimpses of form in five starts to date, but has still looked a work in progress. His last run was a step forward though and he does get Zac Purton on now from the inside gate. Expect an improved effort. #1 Never Better has been consistent this season without winning. His task looks difficult from the outside gate but in-form rider Sam Clipperton takes the mount and he will be around the mark. #4 Golden Achiever is slowly figuring out what the Hong Kong racing game is all about and he looks near a victory, although he might have to drop a little further in the ratings yet.


#2 Go Go Win has not won since June 2015 but is becoming a frustrating horse to follow, having finished in the top five at his last nine starts without winning. In five of those starts, he was beaten less than a length, including a last-start short-head defeat behind Super Clan. Joao Moreira jumps on here and that might just be the difference to get him home. #3 Spinning Dancer was one horse who broke a string of placings to score with Moreira aboard last time out, winning by a nose. Wins are few and far between for the Commands gelding, but he has drawn well for new rider Nash Rawiller and he will be in the mix late. #5 Rock The Tree is hard to catch and he won in Class 5 in January, but his last run was very good and he will likely be flying at them again late here. #7 Winaswewish has been very consistent this season, with his only win coming over this course and distance in Class 5 in October. He might want further now, but he’s another who might be coming at them late.


#6 Travel Comforts is a fast horse who has been taking a sit this season. Kei Chiong has been booked again with a return to the Happy Valley 1000m, and from the inside draw, expect him to push forward once more and prove hard to catch. #5 Diamond Master is best when allowed to stride along but has been taking a sit just behind the speed as of late. He needs a smooth trip to stop him pulling, and he should get that here with Brett Prebble engaged from a low gate. #1 Beauty Master led and stuck on gamely last time out behind D B Pin. He would be best served letting the speed go here, and if Zac Purton can get him to enjoy a nice trip, he will be a leading contender. #2 E-Super has disappointed this season after returning from a long injury-enforced break. He might find that this race suits him better than recent contests, though, and he’s worth including in exotics.


#2 Harrier Jet had been running consistently before an eighth last time out. However, that performance was better than it looked on paper as he ended up near the rear in a slowly-run race. They were running slick times all night, but even still, he recorded the fastest last 400m of any race run over the Happy Valley 1200m in the last decade – and the fourth fastest of any race at the city track in that time. With a better barrier and Zac Purton jumping on again, this looks a perfect race for him to break through. #12 Healthy Luck has done nothing wrong in three starts and stuck on gamely at his first try at this course and distance. He switches from the outside gate to the inside and he will be hard to beat. #4 Tang Fleming has only run one good race from four Hong Kong starts, but there’s no doubt he has ability. He just has to put it together. The blinkers and the switch to Happy Valley with the drop in trip might help him to do that. #11 Money Boy has disappointed at his last two after a number of good efforts. He still looks to be growing and he is quite weak at the finish of his races, so he’s perhaps one to take on for the moment.


#10 Victory Boys has not raced since an even third when stepped up to 2200m in December. He looks to have freshened up a treat based on his work and he should be finding the line nicely late, especially with only 120 pounds on his back. #1 Pikachu has not won in over two years and is yet to win at Happy Valley. However, he has finished in the placings at three of his four starts over the Happy Valley 1650m and he does get the magic touch of Joao Moreira. He will be hard to beat. #7 Agree had plenty of support before his last start, the first time he was stepped up to 1600m in Hong Kong, but he never threatened. He looks a horse who will be suited by the Happy Valley 1650m and he should get a perfect run from gate three. #8 Giant Turtle never got a clear crack at them last week and was under a hold for most of the straight. There should be no danger of that happening this time from gate 12, but he needs to prove that he is not on his mark.


#10 Premiere has risen through the grades after winning his last three starts in a row and now finds himself at the bottom of Class 2. He steps up to the 1200m for the first time, but if Karis Teetan can settle him just behind the likely hot speed from gate four, then he should be too strong with only 119 pounds on his back. #5 Golden Harvest has dropped 28 points from his career peak rating, which came after he finished fifth to Aerovelocity in the 2014 LONGINES Hong Kong Sprint. He was a better Happy Valley horse early in his career, before his rating reached a point where there were no races for him at the city track, and while his recent Happy Valley form has been nothing special, he did return to form at Sha Tin last time out. He can figure. #8 Super Turbo is one galloper who has not been suited by drawing inside all season – five of his seven starts, he’s drawn inside gate three, but his best two runs came when drawn out in 11. He has gate nine here and should get a nice cart into the race off a solid tempo. He will be in the mix. #4 Jetwings was very strong to the line late in his first run in over a year last time out. That form looks solid and he missed the start by a couple of lengths, so if he can jump with them, he’s right in the mix.