06/05/2017 10:31AM

Andrew Hawkins' Hong Kong selections and analysis for Wednesday, June 7, 2017

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HAPPY VALLEY SELECTIONS

(Wednesday, June 7, 2017)

 

RACE 1: #7 Winningli, #4 Unique Joyful, #2 Glory Star, #1 Gentry

RACE 2: #9 Bliss Cartel, #7 Seven Luck, #3 Idyllic Wind, #11 Great Speed

RACE 3: #3 Planet Star, #8 Torney, #11 Sky Treasure, #12 Salsa Brothers

RACE 4: #5 Contribution, #9 Raging Bull, #8 Midnite Promise, #4 Excellence

RACE 5: #1 Litterateur, #11 King's Man, #5 Happy Contender, #10 King Of Mongolia

RACE 6: #5 Peace N Prosperity, #1 Packing Stones, #11 Prince Harmony, #2 Back In Black

RACE 7: #5 Amazing, #11 Resplendent Glory, #4 Dr Listening, #6 Healthy Luck

RACE 8: #12 Golden Harvest, #4 Romantic Cash, #7 Victory Marvel, #2 Archippus

 

RACE 1: MOUNT CAMERON HANDICAP

#7 Winningli is yet to find the placings in 10 runs in Hong Kong. His best efforts were over this course and distance earlier in the season and the step up to 1650m again against this company looks a big plus. He should get a nice run in transit under Vincent Ho and he is one to follow. #4 Unique Joyful produced his best run in quite some time last start when a half-length second to Hit A Home Run over the Sha Tin mile. He has not won since his debut in September 2014, but he looks likely to break through very shortly. #2 Glory Star has had a couple of tough runs up in Class 4 under Dylan Mo and he has looked in desperate need to get back to the cellar grade. Joao Moreira jumps aboard now and he should be around the mark down in Class 5. #1 Gentry gets down to Class 5 for the first time after a couple of nice efforts at the bottom of Class 4. With even luck, he will be around the mark.

 

RACE 2: MOUNT GOUGH HANDICAP

#9 Bliss Cartel has drawn awkwardly but the decision to remain at 1200m looks a fascinating decision. He is 0-from-27 in his career, but his best efforts have generally been at a mile. Still, he ran home solidly over 1200m last start and if he gets any ounce of luck from gate 11, he can rattle home over the top of these. #7 Seven Luck has made marked improvement at his last three starts since reverting to sprints down in this grade. He gets Joao Moreira aboard now from a good draw and he will be hard to beat. #3 Idyllic Wind is an honest conveyance who races handy and generally finishes around the mark. Umberto Rispoli jumps aboard, fresh off a four-timer, and he looms as a contender. #11 Great Speed has now had 35 starts in Hong Kong without a win, stretching back to April 2014. This is his first run since February, and fresh might be the time to catch him. He will need luck from gate 12 though.

 

RACE 3: MOUNT NICHOLSON HANDICAP

#3 Planet Star showed promise in three runs at Sha Tin earlier this season. He has not raced since early March, having been plagued by foot issues. The softer footing at Happy Valley should suit him, as should the short straight, and he looked good in a barrier trial at the track last month. He can break through here. #8 Torney ran a good race at big odds last time out behind Resplendent Glory. This shapes as an easier test and he can figure. #11 Sky Treasure came to life at Happy Valley two back at monster odds, which saw him sent out a strong favourite last time out when second to Bond Elegance. Joao Moreira sticks solid and he can run another bold race. #12 Salsa Brothers had a torrid run on the Sha Tin dirt last week and a line should be drawn through that effort. He might be in need of the class drop and he is yet to produce his best at Happy Valley, but if he is able to get a soft run near the speed from gate two, he can finish in the placings.

 

RACE 4: SHOUSON HILL HANDICAP

#5 Contribution was a big winner under Joao Moreira over this course and distance three starts back, but his last two efforts are best forgotten. Two back, apprentice Kei Chiong gave the horse no chance by going too hard on the lead, while last start, he settled behind the speed and couldn’t quicken off a moderate tempo. If he jumps out and leads here from gate two, he should be hard to run down. #9 Raging Bull stepped up to a mile for the first time last start and stuck on OK without ever looking a threat. He should be improved with that run under his belt, but now he has to contend with gate 12. Still, expect a bold effort. #8 Midnite Promise looks like a coming winner based off his recent runs over the Happy Valley 1650m. He should get a nice run from gate four and he can get into the finish. #4 Excellence has run some good races this season and, based on his last run, he is still capable of performing off this rating. He can fill a minor spot.

 

RACE 5: THE CRICKET CLUB VALLEY STAKES

Trainer Richard Gibson has three runners here and all three look to have some chance in an open affair. Gibson’s primary contender is #1 Litterateur – he has impressed at his last two starts over 1650m, but what was perhaps the best facet of both wins was that he showed tactical versatility. He sprinted from near the rear to just score two back, while he settled fore of midfield last time out and managed to grind out a win. The step up to 1800m looks a major positive, and if Zac Purton can get him into a good spot from gate 10, he will be hard to beat. #11 King's Man tackles Class 3 for the first time after finally breaking through at the top of Class 4. He drops to 116 pounds after carrying 127 pounds or more at his last eight starts, and he should get a nice run midfield from gate six. In addition to Litterateur, Gibson also has #5 Happy Contender and #10 King Of Mongolia lining up. Happy Contender is yet to win in Hong Kong from 24 starts but he is usually around the mark, while King Of Mongolia might need a drop in class but he is stepping out for Gibson for just the second time and he is capable on his day.

 

RACE 6: VIOLET HILL HANDICAP

#5 Peace N Prosperity has had his runs spaced this campaign, running only six times this season. Still, on the evidence of his last run, he is holding his form well. After two bad draws, he gets into gate four here and he can break through for his first win this term with the right run. #1 Packing Stones still looks to be acclimatising to Hong Kong but the promising English import looks to be heading the right way after a good third at his second start. If he isn’t bustled too much in the run, he can score here. #11 Prince Harmony could not have been more impressive last time out, winning by three and a half lengths and putting himself from the middle of Class 4 into the bottom of Class 3. He drops to 115 pounds with Joao Moreira aboard and he appears capable of making it a hat-trick. #2 Back In Black has been winless this term after scoring five times last season. However, his rating is getting back to a point where he should be competitive again. If things go right for him, he can get into the finish.

 

RACE 7: VIOLET HILL HANDICAP

#5 Amazing has caught the eye in different ways at all three of his Hong Kong starts. He has another good draw in gate four and he looks capable of scoring under Neil Callan. #11 Resplendent Glory has looked a horse of promise since switching to Tony Millard this season, winning his last two starts in style. The jump into Class 3 shouldn’t be an issue and he is a big chance of making it three on the trot. #4 Dr Listening has his first start for David Hall after switching from the John Size yard. Only two horses have ever won at their first start after leaving Size – Har Har Charms (to Gary Ng) in 2009 and Momentum Lucky (to Benno Yung) earlier this term – and while it looks a task for Dr Listening, he has looked well in the mornings and it is not impossible that he delivers here. #6 Healthy Luck is yet to miss the top four from six starts. He looks a horse that is still improving and he will likely finish around the mark again.

 

RACE 8: WONG NAI CHUNG GAP HANDICAP

#12 Golden Harvest made his name coming through the grades here at Happy Valley and his rating hit a high of 115 at one time, finishing fifth to Aerovelocity in the Hong Kong Sprint in 2014. He’s now down to a rating of 83 and with Dylan Mo’s claim, he only carries 109 pounds here. If he’s ever going to win a Class 2 again, this would be the race. #4 Romantic Cash ran a very solid race at his first race in 18 months at what was his first start for trainer Gary Ng last time out. He will have taken natural improvement for that run and he can get into the placings here. #7 Victory Marvel has already won five races this season, all over this course and distance. It will be a tough ask for him to make it six, but he does have Jack Wong aboard ensuring he only carries 116 pounds. He’s a chance. #2 Archippus is a grand galloper who finds it hard to win off his rating of 96, but he does often finish around the mark. Barrier 11 might be his biggest obstacle, but he’s never one to overlook.