02/05/2018 11:15AM

Andrew Hawkins' Hong Kong selections and analysis for Wednesday, February 7, 2018

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HAPPY VALLEY SELECTIONS

(Wednesday, February 7, 2018)

 

:: Hong Kong: Free PPs, picks, and analysis

 

RACE 1: #6 The Legend, #4 Glenealy Prize, #2 Fine With Me, #2 Victory Follow Me

RACE 2: #1 Cloud Nine, #6 Happy Rocky, #7 Garlic Yeah, #3 Good Days

RACE 3: #7 Rickfield, #8 Victory Boys, #1 Marvel Hero, #2 Packing Dragon

RACE 4: #6 Gouten Of Garo, #7 Hero Time, #8 Sharpmind, #1 Happy Bao Bei

RACE 5: #2 Travel Datuk, #3 Dr Proactive, #11 Superior Boy, #12 The Show

RACE 6: #8 Clear Choice, #2 High Volatility, #12 Autumn Gold, #7 Mr Kool

RACE 7: #4 Famous Warrior, #6 Golden Harvest, #12 Spring Win, #9 Smart Boy

RACE 8: #9 Right Honourable, #11 Let Us Win, #5 Land Grant, #10 Super Lucky

 

 

RACE 1: BOWRINGTON HANDICAP

#6 The Legend has been rounding into form in recent starts. He has drawn well again and a return to Happy Valley should suit him, so he gets his chance to break through for a first victory here. #4 Glenealy Prize is a tough horse to catch but he’s run well on the dirt of late. He’s never placed at Happy Valley but down in Class 5, he should get every opportunity. #2 Fine With Me also drops to Class 5 for the first time and should be around the mark from a nice gate. #2 Victory Follow Me won well on dirt last start and has proven equally adept at the city track. He’s a chance.

 

RACE 2: CANAL HANDICAP

#1 Cloud Nine’s chances all revolve around the start. If Matthew Chadwick can get the temperamental son of Tapit to jump away on terms and he can settle in a handy position, he’s going to be tough to run down over this course and distance. #6 Happy Rocky is racing well currently and a win appears near. He’s a danger here if he gets the right set-up. #7 Garlic Yeah had disappointed first-up but improved drastically to win second-up. He has points in hand and he should be a major player. #3 Good Days also won last start and still appears unexposed.

 

RACE 3: WONG NAI CHUNG HANDICAP

#7 Rickfield produced a terrific run down in class last time out over the Happy Valley 2200m, just falling short to Rule Thee. He comes into this off a freshen-up and with no weight on his back, he’ll be strong late. #8 Victory Boys has been a terrific horse for the David Hall yard. The return to Happy Valley is a plus and he looks a type capable of winning in this grade with the right run. #1 Marvel Hero was a good second last week behind Sunday’s G3 Centenary Vase winner Dinozzo. The step up to 1800m suits him and he’s in the mix. #2 Packing Dragon is a place chance if he reverts to pace-setting tactics.

 

RACE 4: LEIGHTON HANDICAP

#6 Gouten Of Garo has been improving slowly with each run. He has drawn awkwardly here, but if he can get into a spot with cover, he can score his first Hong Kong win here. #7 Hero Time has run well at both tracks, including last time out from a wide berth. He gets into the inside gate here, so he shouldn’t have to do much work and he looms as a threat. #8 Sharpmind gets back into a low draw and he should be right around the mark. #1 Happy Bao Bei has no recent form to speak of, but he gets down to Class 4 for the first time and should improve drastically.

 

RACE 5: THE CRAIGENGOWER CRICKET CLUB CHALLENGE CUP

#2 Travel Datuk has taken time to drop through Class 3 because he’s produced a good run every now and then. He’s not the most genuine conveyance, but if he puts it all together, he’s more than capable of winning here. #3 Dr Proactive has come to hand quickly and has produced a number of nice runs from his six career starts. It won’t be long before he’s winning. #11 Superior Boy is yet to win after 22 starts but he’s at a mark where he should be able to break through. He’s a danger. #12 The Show can’t be dismissed with Joao Moreira jumping aboard.

 

RACE 6: PERCIVAL HANDICAP

#8 Clear Choice has been racing well enough over 1200m. The son of Derby winner Rebel Raider will appreciate getting up to 1650m and with a good gate, he’s the one to beat. #2 High Volatility is always a chance off this mark and he’s drawn well. He is in good order and he can figure here. #12 Autumn Gold, once a G1 Hong Kong Cup runner, is on the cusp of dropping into Class 5. His last run was not terrible though and if he lands the breaks, he could find himself in the winners’ circle for just the second time in his Hong Kong career. #7 Mr Kool is a place chance.

 

RACE 7: RUSSELL HANDICAP

#4 Famous Warrior has trialled well in preparation for his Hong Kong debut. He won four times in south-east Queensland and northern New South Wales as Sneaky Glance and he looks well-placed to continue to progress here. Veteran #6 Golden Harvest has not won since scoring a Class 1 victory on opening day in 2014. He’s more than 40 points below his peak rating now, but he’s at a mark where he can win if things go right. He’s worth including. #12 Spring Win steps up to Class 3 for the first time after two wins in Class 4. It’s doubtful whether he can head much higher, but with no weight, he’s worth consideration. #9 Smart Boy has an awkward draw but should be around the mark.

 

RACE 8: SPORTS ROAD HANDICAP

#9 Right Honourable was a big-priced winner two starts ago. Last time out, he was blocked for the first half of the straight but was good once clear. He looks capable of winning at the bottom of Class 3 now that Richard Gibson has him going well and he will be hard to beat. #11 Let Us Win has been a disappointment since arriving but he has no weight on his back here and he can finish around the mark. #5 Land Grant should get every favour in the run and deserves consideration. #10 Super Lucky has the outside draw to contend with, but don’t be surprised to see him take a step forward here.