10/13/2016 10:55AM

Andrew Hawkins' Hong Kong Selections and analysis for Sunday, Oct. 16, 2016


(Sunday, Oct. 16, 2016)

RACE 1: #7 Premiere, #1 Sea Jade, #4 Cheer Win, #9 Starlot
RACE 2: #13 Perfect Timing, #14 Bliss Cartel, #1 Polymer Luck, #3 Prince Falcon
RACE 3: #6 Winning Vibe, #2 House Of Fun, #3 Laugh Out Loud, #8 Argentum
RACE 4: #2 Wayfoong Vinnie, #3 Megatron, #12 Fine Rock, #5 I’m The Won For U
RACE 5: #12 Snowhooves, #3 Jimson The Famous, #9 Plain Blue Banner, #11 Fantasticlife
RACE 6: #3 Unicron Jewellery, #6 Cool And Neat, #7 Invention Master, #11 Blazing Pass
RACE 7: #8 Lotus Strikes Back, #12 Easy Hedge, #4 Sky King, #3 General Sherman
RACE 8: #9 Harbour Alert, #10 Giant Stars, #11 Sun Touch, #2 Our Folks
RACE 9: #6 Winfield, #9 Molly’s Jade Star, #3 Marvel Hero, #2 Healthy Joyful
RACE 10: #5 Racing Supernova, #2 Bad Boy, #9 Adventurer, #4 Golden Harvest
RACE 11: #9 Pakistan Star, #2 Mr Bogart, #4 Merion, #7 Dukedom

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#7 Premiere makes his debut here off the back of just the one trial, a promising second to Class 2 galloper Racing Supernova. The son of Dylan Thomas will need further than 1000m but it looks a good place to start. #1 Sea Jade had looked a horse who’d be better with racing as a two-year-old, and he proved that with an easy win last time out. This looks vastly easier although he does carry more weight here. #4 Cheer Win gets Joao Moreira aboard and has been OK in his runs to date, although he hasn’t set the world on fire, while #9 Starlot looks to have promise but might need race experience.


#13 Perfect Timing is one-dimensional – he gets back in his races and runs on. He looks to be nearing a bottom in the ratings, based on his last run, and he should get a race shape to suit here. #14 Bliss Cartel got a pass mark first-up for David Ferraris. Many of Ferraris’ horses have run well second time out this season and the step up in trip suits. #1 Polymer Luck caught the eye fresh at his first run for Francis Lui and looms as a top chance again, while #3 Prince Falcon should have broken through by now but always seems to find a couple too good.


#6 Winning Vibe performed well last season after a number of bad draws and awkward trips. He finally gets a good gate here and looks well placed to finally break through.  #2 House Of Fun only just held on to win by a head first-up. He goes up to 133 pounds here but he did look before last start that he would be better for the run, so he has the necessary improvement in him to compensate. #3 Laugh Out Loud gets down to Class 4 for the first time since April 2014, and he only had two runs at this level for a win and a third. He gets a top jockey in Brett Prebble on for the first time in a year and looks well placed. #8 Argentum shocked to win at his last run in July and it wouldn’t surprise to see him perform strongly fresh.


#2 Wayfoong Vinnie creates interest at his first run on the dirt. A son of Elusive City, who has produced a number of consistent dirt types in Hong Kong, he was good at his first run in Class 4 last preparation and will be better for the summer break. The biggest query may be whether he is fully tuned up for this. #3 Megatron returns to the dirt for the second time, having failed on the surface in May. The American-bred son of Hard Spun has looked good on the surface in trials, though, and now tries the dirt in Class 4 with Zac Purton aboard. #12 Fine Rock was impressive fresh at Happy Valley and has always shaped better on dirt, while #5 I’m The Won For U is racing consistently and gets the services of Joao Moreira.


#12 Snowhooves has been a model of consistency this campaign without breaking through, although arguably he was unlucky not to get his first Hong Kong win two back. Jack Wong jumps back aboard and he can get a first win for the season for Derek Cruz. #3 Jimson The Famous is on the verge of breaking through and is well drawn here.  #9 Plain Blue Banner is hit and miss but has been looking good in the mornings and is always liable to perform well off this mark. Next best appears to be #11 Fantasticlife for in-form trainer Caspar Fownes, especially with the soft draw.


#3 Unicron Jewellery debuts here after a thorough preparation since he was bought from the Hong Kong International Sale in March. He has particularly impressed in his last two trials, both victories, and it won’t take much for him to break his maiden here. #6 Cool And Neat has flashed plenty of talent in his five starts to date but only forced his way into the placings for the first time at his last start. He will be hard to beat here. #7 Invention Master, with Joao Moreira jumping on, and #11 Blazing Pass look next best in an open race.


#8 Lotus Strikes Back has only greeted the judge once in Hong Kong, and needs everything to go his way to figure. However, he has a soft draw here which should allow him an easy run, and a return to Sha Tin may prove a masterstroke by trainer John Moore. #12 Easy Hedge looked like he was headed to the top of Class 3, but his three runs since a setback in March have been somewhat ordinary. He has drawn wide again but a step up to 1800m suits and he remains one to watch. Giant four-year-old #4 Sky King should relish this trip and will be running on late, while #3 General Sherman has been around the mark recently and has his hoof on the till.


#9 Harbour Alert has long looked a dirt horse in the making, and expectations were high for his first run on the surface last time out. He acquitted himself well in second, but could not match heavily backed Team Fortune. With a run under his belt, it may pay to keep the faith.  #10 Giant Stars is still a Hong Kong maiden after 12 local starts, but he performed well at his first run on the dirt in December and looks like he might get a suitable pace collapse here. He is raced by Christopher Tsui, who owned the great Sea The Stars, and carries the same yellow and purple silks, so he is easy to spot. #11 Sun Touch has been racing well enough and ran well for fourth fresh, while #2 Our Folks is dangerous in this class on this surface.


#6 Winfield was a hard luck story fresh, finishing hard into fifth after striking trouble. He looks a winner in waiting and if it isn’t here, it will be very shortly. #9 Molly’s Jade Star is one of Hong Kong’s most frustrating horses and is nigh on impossible to catch, but he is always a chance and must be included in all exotics. #3 Marvel Hero is racing in great heart at the moment and will break through again shortly, while #2 Healthy Joyful gets the in-form Joao Moreira aboard and looks set for Class 2 this preparation.


The three horses that dominated a Class 2 1000m sprint on September 18 all look leading players again, but it is a matter of figuring out in which order they will finish. #5 Racing Supernova looks the most progressive of the three and while he meets his rivals worse at the weights, he is an impressive sprinter in the making and he can win again. #2 Bad Boy remains at the same mark as last start. He meets Racing Supernova seven pounds better at the weights, while he is 11 pounds better off with Adventurer. He also looked like he had the most improvement in him fresh, and he has trialled well since. #9 Adventurer does get Joao Moreira aboard, but given apprentice Jack Wong had perfected his handling of the horse, it remains to be seen whether it is as much of an upgrade as it appears on paper. Next best, one-time Hong Kong Sprint fifth #4 Golden Harvest with Kei Chiong aboard.


All eyes will be on #9 Pakistan Star after making it two from two in breathtaking fashion four weeks back. He’s trialled well since and he should be winning again on his way to bigger and better races. #2 Mr Bogart has been good in two races at both courses since his return. He carries a big weight again but has the inside barrier too. #4 Merion has been very consistent without winning. Expect him to be running on late here. #7 Dukedom ran on strongly for third at his Hong Kong debut and the New Zealand G1 winner can progress further.