11/03/2016 10:46AM

Andrew Hawkins' Hong Kong Selections and Analysis for Sunday, Nov. 6, 2016

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SHA TIN SELECTIONS

(Sunday, Nov. 6, 2016)

 

RACE 1: #3 Wingold, #13 Fantasticlife, #6 Treasure And Gold, #9 O’Socoole

RACE 2: #11 Starlot, #4 Cheers Conqueror, #10 Regency Bo Bo, #3 Cheer Win 

RACE 3: #3 Acclaimed Light, #8 Robust Momentum, #14 Soaring Wyvern, #1 Snow Slider 

RACE 4: #4 Love Shock, #7 Victory Machine, #11 Lucky Guy, #1 Convincible

RACE 5: #2 Premiere, #1 Junzi, #9 Art Of Success, #10 Happy Sound

RACE 6: #6 Unicron Jewellery, #8 Go Beauty Go, #5 Fancy Music, #11 Lightning And Gold

RACE 7: #4 Beat The Clock, #2 Diamond Bit, #6 Hit A Home Run, #5 Forever Posh 

RACE 8: #14 Eastern Express, #12 Anticipation, #11 Basic Trilogy, #9 The Alfonso

RACE 9: #12 Glenealy Prize, #10 Hard Ball Get, #14 Superior Boy, #9 Volitation 

RACE 10: #8 My Darling, #7 Jolly Banner, #9 White Magic, #1 Solar Hei Hei

RACE 11: #3 Friends Of Nanjing, #4 Baba Mama, #10 Arizona Blizzard, #13 Power Of One

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RACE 1: MARIA GALLAND HANDICAP

#3 Wingold is quirky but looked a type of horse who would win before dropping down into Class 5. He’s disappointed since dropping into the cellar grade but he is drawn well here and a strong rider like Nash Rawiller should suit. #13 Fantasticlife is on the verge of another victory after three solid runs since changing stables. The booking of Joao Moreira might be the final piece of the puzzle. #6 Treasure And Gold’s run at big odds two starts back was good and he was OK on dirt last time out. Don’t be shocked if he’s around the mark. Next best, #9 O’Socoole for reinvigorated trainer Derek Cruz.

RACE 2: L’OREAL PARIS HANDICAP

A bit of a confusing griffin race awaits in the second on the card. #11 Starlot showed promise in his barrier trials before he raced greenly in a debut seventh to Cheer Win. He will be better for the first-up run and he gets the blinkers on here, so expect a big effort. #4 Cheers Conqueror makes his debut here off a number of solid trials. He’s been well tuned for this. #10 Regency Bo Bo also makes his debut, although he looks like he may be in need of the run, while the last griffin race winner #3 Cheer Win is a chance yet again with a step up to 1200m.

RACE 3: REVLON HANDICAP

#3 Acclaimed Light has been racing consistently, including a first-up fourth to Diamond Bit. With a little improvement from the good draw of gate two, he maps to be right in the mix again. #8 Robust Momentum is racing well currently, although he is generally better at Happy Valley than Sha Tin. Still, in his current form, he is worthy of consideration wherever he races. #14 Soaring Wyvern definitely has talent but it has taken time for the penny to drop with him. He’s now near a point where he’s going to be winning very soon, although it might coincide with a drop in class next time out. #1 Snow Slider will be on the pace again with Kei Chiong aboard, although he might be better suited going up in class with less weight.

RACE 4: KOSE COSMEPORT HANDICAP

#4 Love Shock is a very promising horse in the making. The son of Melbourne Cup winner Shocking will want further than sprint trips at some point, but he should be improved for his first-up fourth to exciting Jing Jing Win and he can give John Size a winner on a day that should prove fruitful for the reigning champion handler. First starter #7 Victory Machine was considered quite promising in Australia off his one start down under, a victory at Pakenham. He has trialled well and can make a strong debut for John Moore. #11 Lucky Guy looks to be on a mark where he will be winning soon, while the other first starter #1 Convincible was more exposed in Australia but his last trial suggested he’d been wound up for his first-up run.

RACE 5: ELIZABETH ARDEN HANDICAP

He may have been beaten, but #2 Premiere’s “premiere” on the Hong Kong racing scene was good enough to suggest he can be winning here. Sticking to the straight 1000m, at this stage, seems a good move too given he has such natural speed. #1 Junzi was very good winning at Happy Valley first time out this season. The straight track should suit him, even though he’s a horse who will probably relish further in time. #9 Art Of Success is incredibly consistent, although he hasn’t won since December 2013. He’s a must include in all exotics. Next best, #10 Happy Sound, who is the type of horse who looks like he wants further but is probably best suited by a solid 1000m down the straight.

RACE 6: SUISSE PROGRAMME HANDICAP

#6 Unicron Jewellery was good enough on debut, finishing off well for fourth to Victory Master. Natural improvement will ensure that he is the one to beat here, particularly with a handler like John Size. #8 Go Beauty Go has flashed talent in three starts to date without looking spectacular. Now is when you’d be hoping he’d start to put it all together. #5 Fancy Music was under sufferance the whole way around last time out but still closed very strongly late behind Snow Slider. He needs to learn to race more tractably but when he does, he’ll be better than Class 4 standard. Next best, #11 Lightning And Gold, who may need to drop further but is always around the mark here.

RACE 7: CANMAKE TOKYO HANDICAP

Another John Size debutant with talent steps out here in the form of #4 Beat The Clock. The son of Hinchinbrook has drawn awkwardly, coming up with the outside gate of 14. Still, he has shown enough in his trials and in his work to suggest he can make a winning debut. #2 Diamond Bit finally won last time and that might be all he needs to spark him into reaching his full potential. #6 Hit A Home Run ran very strongly last time out and goes in, while #5 Forever Posh appears a winner in waiting and can capitalise on the good gate.

RACE 8: G3 SA SA LADIES’ PURSE

A race featuring a number of Hong Kong’s prominent middle distance and staying types, but it may pay to look towards the bottom of the weights here. #14 Eastern Express is out of the handicaps severely here, but there is no doubting he has the talent to be competitive off a higher rating. With 113 pounds and Joao Moreira on his back, expect him to be very hard to beat. #12 Anticipation easily beat Eastern Express last time, running away for an effortless success. He meets Eastern Express at level weights despite the facile win, but given the respective trainers of both runners, it wouldn’t surprise if Eastern Express had far more improvement in him fresh. #11 Basic Trilogy blew out late at Happy Valley last time out, but he gets Kei Chiong aboard and will likely go forward with no weight at all. Macau galloper #9 The Alfonso is a historic runner here, the first time a horse from a foreign jurisdiction will contest a Hong Kong stakes race since Hong Kong was upgraded to Part I of the Blue Book. He ran a creditable second here in the G3 Hong Kong Macau Trophy in March, the 1800m should suit and he is one to keep a close eye on.

RACE 9: KATE HANDICAP

#12 Glenealy Prize looked a horse headed for Class 2 at his first two starts, but he has been nothing short of disappointing up in Class 3. With a season under his belt, it will be interesting to see if he can finally live up to the promise he has displayed for so long. #10 Hard Ball Get is hardly a prolific winner, with just one victory to his name in Hong Kong from 27 starts. However, his lust run suggested he was working into form and so he must be included. #14 Superior Boy is racing well and is a definite chance with no weight, although the race may not be run to suit, while #9 Volitation needs to prove he can do it back-to-back after an impressive last-start success.

RACE 10: LA COLLINE HANDICAP

As a betting race, this revolves around whether first reserve Pakistan Star gains a start. If he does, he’ll be very short and hard to beat. However, even if he does get a run, he’ll face stiff competition from #8 My Darling. One of the rising stars of the Hong Kong scene, My Darling looks a potential Derby horse in the making, but he bears close watching at his first run as a four-year-old. #7 Jolly Banner finally had everything go his way to win again last start and with luck in running, he’ll be there again. #9 White Magic will be improved with a step up in trip and is one to include, while #1 Solar Hei Hei is consistent and should be around the mark.

RACE 11: CYBER COLORS HANDICAP

#3 Friends Of Nanjing is an injury-prone galloper who has bundles of talent. He has not raced since April and has had minor leg issues since, but he’s been looking better in his trackwork recently and he has the ability to head towards higher-class races. #4 Baba Mama is another with tremendous promise, although he also has a hold-up style that will do him no favours. He should get a more favourable race shape here and will be finishing off strongly. #10 Arizona Blizzard has been something of a morning glory to date, but his trials have once again been sensational so he deserves another chance. Next best, #13 Power Of One, if he can get the breaks.