03/09/2017 11:43AM

Andrew Hawkins' Hong Kong selections and analysis for Sunday, March 12, 2017

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SHA TIN SELECTIONS

(Sunday, March 12, 2017)

 

RACE 1: #2 Equity Doctrine, #3 Speedy Wally, #4 Five Stars Agent, #5 Jimson The Famous

RACE 2: #2 Vital Spring, #4 Torney, #1 Shamal, #7 Packing Starcraft

RACE 3: #4 Destin, #1 Care Free Prince, #7 Meisterstueck, #13 Fine With Me

RACE 4: #1 Penang Hall, #9 Penny Lane, #13 G-One Lover, #5 Team Sweet

RACE 5: #1 Fancy Music, #9 Garlic Yeah, #3 Premium Champion, #4 Blazing Pass

RACE 6: #8 Star Of Joy, #4 Travel Datuk, #10 Multimax, #9 Wushu Champion

RACE 7: #11 Bravo Watchman, #1 Dragon Master, #6 Ace King, #4 Triumphant Jewel

RACE 8: #8 Friends Of Ka Ying, #1 Packing Llaregyb, #9 People’s Knight, #12 Sky King

RACE 9: #3 Friends Of Nanjing, #5 Mongolian King, #13 Ambitious Pins, #7 Go Beauty Go

RACE 10: #2 Nothingilikemore, #9 Regency Bo Bo, #3 Happy Agility, #4 Joyful Moments

 

RACE 1: SNAPDRAGON HANDICAP

#2 Equity Doctrine drops back into Class 5 after four middling runs in Class 4. The draw might prove difficult but he’s been good at his two runs on this surface in this class and he can win again. #3 Speedy Wally is likely to start favourite here with Joao Moreira back aboard. He should get a nice run in transit and will prove hard to beat. #4 Five Stars Agent is a rare John Size runner in Class 5 and looks on the cusp of a breakthrough. He ran well on the dirt in January and can launch a bid here. #5 Jimson The Famous is an American-bred horse who has drawn the outside but he should push forward from the outside gate under Kei Chiong and will be in this for a long way.

 

RACE 2: KALANCHOE HANDICAP

#2 Vital Spring failed to get the bob in against the promising Merrygowin last time out. His two runs have been solid and with natural improvement he will prove hard to beat. #4 Torney looks to have ability based on his trials and his work. He should get a nice run in behind them and will find the line nicely late. #1 Shamal put together a couple of nice runs as he was dropping towards the bottom of Class 3. Now, with the drop into Class 4, he should press forward under Dylan Mo and will stick around for a long way. #7 Packing Starcraft was disappointing last time out and looks quite a backwards type. He’s still developing, but could run into the placings.

 

RACE 3: ONCIDIUM HANDICAP

#4 Destin ran a bold race on debut at Happy Valley before not having the smoothest of trips over this course and distance and weakening out. From the inside gate, he should be able to improve and he will be among the contenders. #1 Care Free Prince ran a good race with the drop in grade to run third to Meisterstueck last time out. Joao Moreira jumps aboard now and he appears the hardest to beat. #7 Meisterstueck only just won last time out but had a bit against him in the run. He gets a good draw here and has the ability to win off this rating. #13 Fine With Me is better than his rating suggests but he has had a number of issues that have held him back, including two long periods off. Coming into this, he has not raced since July. The gate will make it tough but he is worth throwing into exotics.

 

RACE 4: ONCIDIUM HANDICAP

#1 Penang Hall has been a winner in waiting as of late, and even his “poor” efforts have been better than they have looked on paper. With Joao Moreira aboard from a good draw, the time has finally come for him to win again. #9 Penny Lane doesn’t win out of turn but a repeat of his last effort will have him in the mix here. #13 G-One Lover has a significant jockey downgrade from Moreira to Dylan Mo, but this does mean he only carries 110 pounds. With the right run, he’ll be a chance. #5 Team Sweet should be a chance yet again under Zac Purton.

 

RACE 5: PRIMULA HANDICAP

#1 Fancy Music has looked green and raw in his races to date, but managed to break through for an emphatic victory two back. He got a nine-pound penalty for that win and then ran terribly over the Sha Tin 2000m. However, he appears capable of bouncing back and the 2200m should suit him. #9 Garlic Yeah won over the Happy Valley 2200m last time out to make it two victories in a row. He is a small horse so dropping from 133 pounds to 119 pounds is a big plus, even against stronger opposition. He will be hard to beat. #3 Premium Champion is a dour conveyance who should be suited over this trip, especially now that he has dropped into Class 4. Expect a big effort here. #4 Blazing Pass also won over the Happy Valley 2200m last time out. He has been fairly consistent this season but needs things to go his way to find the winners’ circle.

 

RACE 6: FREESIA HANDICAP

#8 Star Of Joy was held up for much of the straight before boxing on late for fourth behind Always Win. He gets Joao Moreira aboard from the inside and a victory looms. #4 Travel Datuk has run well twice for Me Tsui over the Sha Tin 1000m. The step up to 1200m should be no concern but Jack Wong doesn’t appear an ideal booking from gate 10. #10 Multimax will push forward under fellow apprentice Kei Chiong, especially from gate 12. He should stick around for a fair way. #9 Wushu Champion has been hit and miss to date, but there’s no doubting he has talent. He just needs things to fall into place.

 

RACE 7: DENDROBIUM HANDICAP

#11 Bravo Watchman was extremely impressive on debut under Joao Moreira. He’s drawn the middle of the line this time, but with only 118 pounds on his back, he should be able to continue his progression. #1 Dragon Master has always been at his best over this course and distance, having only missed the placings once over this course and distance two back. He’s drawn low again, a negative over this course, but he gets blinkers on and he can fill the quinella spot. #6 Ace King may be on his mark but he does draw near the outside and if he can get a run behind the speed, he can find the placings. #4 Triumphant Jewel disappointed slightly at Happy Valley but if he can get a nice run in transit, he’ll run a solid race.

 

RACE 8: CYMBIDIUM HANDICAP

#8 Friends Of Ka Ying has only won once in Hong Kong, a victory over multiple G1 winner Helene Paragon and multiple G1 placegetter Secret Weapon in Class 2 last February. He heads to the dirt for the first time and off his last run, he can figure as long as Derek Leung can gain a nice run from gate nine. #1 Packing Llaregyb gets Joao Moreira aboard for the first time since a dirt second over 1200m last April. He has won off a mark of 95 in the past, so he appears capable of winning off his current rating. #9 People’s Knight has had a few things against him in his last couple of runs, but a return to the dirt should suit him and he can find the line nicely. #12 Sky King has had two runs on this surface for two wins. He’s still improving but with only 119 pounds on his back he’ll be in the mix again.

 

RACE 9: HYACINTH HANDICAP

#3 Friends Of Nanjing has been running strongly this season without winning. Breaking through at the top of Class 3 can prove tough, but he looks capable of doing the job with the right run. #5 Mongolian King has run three strong races since arriving from Australia. With the step up to the mile, he can break through. #13 Ambitious Pins was a hard luck story last time out and he looks a winner shortly. It may come with the drop into Class 4, however he is worth including. #7 Go Beauty Go will have his supporters and he does look to have ability, however he might be one worth taking on.

 

RACE 10: GERANIUM HANDICAP

#2 Nothingilikemore was simply superior last time out, running slick sectionals early but still running the fastest late sectional too. He looks a very nice horse in the making and he looks more than capable of winning again. #9 Regency Bo Bo ran second to Nothingilikemore last time out and now meets him 14 pounds better off for a five-length defeat. Nothingilikemore looks to have more upside but Regency Bo Bo should be able to run second yet again. #3 Happy Agility has been extremely consistent since dropping to 1200m this season. He rises up to 1400m again but if he can maintain his form, he’s a place chance again. #4 Joyful Moments returns to 1400m, his best distance, for the first time since September. He is one to include in exotics.