06/01/2017 10:55AM

Andrew Hawkins' Hong Kong selections and analysis for Sunday, June 4, 2017

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SHA TIN SELECTIONS

(Sunday, June 4, 2017)

 

RACE 1: #3 Lucky Master, #4 Riverside Bird, #6 Fantastic Show, #1 A Shin Hoof

RACE 2: #1 Ivictory, #3 Amazing Moment, #4 Noble De Boy, #8 Fine With Me

RACE 3: #3 Ah Bo, #1 Born To Race, #5 Rewarding Flyer, #10 Yourtheoneforme

RACE 4: #7 Jolly Bountiful, #5 Ever Laugh, #3 Endearing, #2 Mordicus

RACE 5: #4 Dinozzo, #7 Rocketeer, #8 Beauty Way, #1 Supreme Profit

RACE 6: #2 Sam's Love, #6 Remarkable, #9 Laugh Out Loud, #10 G-One Union

RACE 7: #4 Booming Delight, #7 Doyeni, #5 Eastern Express, #1 Circuit Land

RACE 8: #9 Pingwu Spark, #12 Flying Monkey, #10 Lang Tai Sing, #1 Fionesay

RACE 9: #10 Ace King, #4 Fortune Bo Bo, #12 Triumphant Jewel, #5 Super Wise

RACE 10: #8 General Dino, #4 Mongolian King, #2 Lucky Guy, #3 Tang Fleming

 

RACE 1: TATE'S CAIRN PLATE

This six-runner griffin race is sorely lacking the presence of a horse like Hot King Prawn, who beat most of these three weeks ago. #3 Lucky Master was second that day, having finished second to Amusing City at his debut prior. He ends up on top by default. His stablemate #4 Riverside Bird has been well beaten in the same two races as Lucky Master, but he finished ahead of most of his rivals last time out, so he can fill a Richard Gibson-trained quinella here. #6 Fantastic Show finished alongside Riverside Bird last time out. He was outpaced there and is likely to be outpaced again, but he can improve off that start. #1 A Shin Hoof still has no idea what he is doing but he is another who can improve with racing under his belt. It would be tough for him to break into the top two, though.

 

RACE 2: SHA TIN HEIGHTS HANDICAP

#1 Ivictory looked a horse with plenty of promise at the trials, and despite being unsuited over the straight 1000m on debut, he knuckled down to score a strong victory. He gets another shot at Class 4, the step up to 1200m should suit and he will be hard to beat again. #3 Amazing Moment has run solidly at two of his three starts in Class 4. His last effort was particularly good and he should be around the mark off that performance. #4 Noble De Boy hasn’t shown a great deal this season but he was a runaway winner off a similar mark last season with Kei Chiong in the saddle. This time around, it’s Dylan Mo taking 10 pounds off, and he can figure. #8 Fine With Me was a surprise winner at Happy Valley two starts back before disappointing at the city track last start. He has performed well over this course and distance before and he can get into the placings.

 

RACE 3: PIPER'S HILL HANDICAP

#3 Ah Bo has not won in over two years, but he occasionally bobs up with a good run. He should be able to break through in Class 5 quickly when everything falls into place, and under Callan Murray here, he should be around the mark. #1 Born To Race ran a strong race at his first attempt at Class 5, finishing second over the extended mile at Happy Valley. The Sha Tin 1400m should prove suitable again, especially from a soft draw, and he can make his presence felt. #5 Rewarding Flyer has been game at his last three runs. Apprentice Dylan Mo jumps aboard now, replacing another 10-pound claimer in Matthew Poon, and he will likely be in the mix again. #10 Yourtheoneforme ran second over this course and distance two back. With the right run from gate three under Umberto Rispoli, he can figure.

 

RACE 4: SHA TIN HEIGHTS HANDICAP

#7 Jolly Bountiful made good ground into third at his debut over the Happy Valley 1000m. The step up to 1200m should help, but he’s only a lightly-built galloper so it will be interesting to see how he took that first effort. Still, this race is not strong, so he shapes as the horse to beat. #5 Ever Laugh is a Savabeel three-year-old stepping out for the first time, having trialled OK in preparation for this. It has been almost six years since jockey Alex Lai rode a first-starter to victory, and this horse should improve for the run, but he should get a soft journey in transit and is capable of figuring in the placings. #3 Endearing ran a strong race at his first attempt at Class 4 but he disappointed last time out as favourite. With a senior rider in Neil Callan aboard, he can improve, even despite barrier 11. #2 Mordicus looked a very nice horse in the making based on his Australian runs and his trials, but he was bitterly disappointing in his first five starts. However, his last effort was good and if he can run to that level, he can break through here.

 

RACE 5: THE HONG KONG YOUNG INDUSTRIALISTS COUNCIL SILVER JUBILEE CUP

#4 Dinozzo has emerged as a promising staying type this season. He performed well in the G3 Queen Mother Memorial Cup over 2400m last time out and has been freshened slightly with the drop back to 2000m. He can head higher next season, but he can increase his rating here. Three-year-old #7 Rocketeer took a step forward at Happy Valley last start, suggesting that he’s starting to acclimatise. Arguably his best run in Australia was over this distance in October last year when second to Hong Kong-bound Good Standing in the G3 Caulfield Classic. He will win one before the end of the season, but he can take a step towards next year’s Derby over this trip and track here. #8 Beauty Way disappointed over a mile two weeks ago after racing handy. The step up in trip might assist him and he can’t be discounted. #1 Supreme Profit has already done a tremendous job this season, culminating in a victory in the G3 Centenary Vase (1800m) in February. He might be on his mark now but Dylan Mo’s 10-pound claim gives him one more shot at getting a win.

 

RACE 6: MA ON SHAN HANDICAP

#2 Sam's Love impressed on debut, making significant ground from near the back to score a length win. He has drawn awkwardly once again in gate 13 and he has to lug 133 pounds, but he looks to have plenty of upside and he will be hard to beat regardless. #6 Remarkable is another first starter for John Size, who has been very strong with his debutants this season. He looks behind some of the others in his preparation, but he will pay his way in time. #9 Laugh Out Loud has been around the mark without winning in his recent starts. He has now been out of the winners’ circle for over two years, but he’s getting down to a point where he will be breaking through soon. #10 G-One Union still looks to be finding his feet after injury ruled him out for much of the season. He’s capable of improving at any time though, so he is worth including in exotics.

 

RACE 7: G3 LION ROCK TROPHY

#4 Booming Delight was initially being held over until the G3 Premier Plate (1800m) on June 25, but when only four entries were received for this race, he was put forward by trainer John Moore to join stablemate Harbour Master. Booming Delight might be searching for further than 1600m now but it is undeniable that he is getting in very well at the weights here, with only 115 pounds to carry. He can race handy to what should be a moderate to even tempo and he can take this race on his way to bigger and better things next season. #7 Doyeni is eight pounds out of the handicap, but he has been good at two runs since his return from over a year on the sidelines. Douglas Whyte jumps aboard now, and it is significant as he rarely gets his weight down to 115 pounds - he has done it eight times in the last six years, and he's won on six occasions. He can outrun his handicap mark. #5 Eastern Express could not have been more disappointing last start, especially after finding his groove two back to score a dogged victory. The likely pace scenario should suit him too, though, particularly with only 115 pounds on his back. He is a danger. #1 Circuit Land deserves topweight here simply because of his consistency. He has to give weight to some promising horses, but he can run a bold race.

 

RACE 8: KAU TO SHAN HANDICAP

#9 Pingwu Spark has looked very progressive through his recent trials. It will be a task for him to win at his Hong Kong debut, but he is drawn to get a soft run under Derek Leung and he is one of the leading contenders. #12 Flying Monkey has shown his best form at Happy Valley with a win and five seconds from seven starts. However, the Sha Tin 1200m should be suitable with a light weight on his back and he can make it into the finish. #10 Lang Tai Sing has been consistent this season but has not finished in the placings since a win in October. He is drawn to get a good run here from the inside gate and he is capable of finishing amongst the placegetters. #1 Fionesay creates plenty of interest at his first run in over a year. He won very nicely in May last year and looked a horse with scope, but he suffered a tendon injury soon after and has had leg issues since. Still, he has trialled OK and fresh might be the time to target him.

 

RACE 9: THE KOWLOON CRICKET CLUB CENTENARY CUP

#10 Ace King has already done a great job this season with three wins over this course and distance. He might be on his mark, but he has drawn favourably in gate 11 again and so he might have one more left in him. #4 Fortune Bo Bo raced away for a big-margin success last time out under Zac Purton. With 10-pound apprentice Dylan Mo jumping aboard, he carries one pound less than he did last time out, so he must rate as a danger again. #12 Triumphant Jewel has spent this season trying to get his rating down, but he showed signs of life again last start. He’s drawn gate 14 here with Sam Clipperton jumping aboard, so if he can navigate a run through, he can figure. #5 Super Wise has drawn awkwardly in gate two but he is capable of heading higher than his current mark. He can get into the placings.

 

RACE 10: EAGLE'S NEST HANDICAP

This is a race with little speed on paper, so perhaps there might be some tactical changes. #8 General Dino impressed by coming from near the rear at his Hong Kong debut in April, closing into fifth. He’s drawn wide again and perhaps he will press forward, but even if he goes back, he does have a sprint to overcome the pace. #4 Mongolian King has performed well at all of his Sha Tin runs to date. He has also drawn awkwardly but he will go back regardless, so he will just hope there is an even speed into which he can challenge. #2 Lucky Guy has been very consistent this season. He will perform boldly from gate three with Craig Williams, who won on him in November, booked to ride. #3 Tang Fleming has placed at three of his last four starts. A win looks to be near for him.