01/18/2018 11:49AM

Andrew Hawkins' Hong Kong Selections and Analysis for Sunday, January 21, 2018


RACE 1: #5 Thou Shall Sing, #12 Hot Hot Pepper, #11 Beaut Beaut, #3 Noble Delight

RACE 2: #2 Amritsaria, #7 Sweet Bean, #1 Audacity, #8 Fair Comment

RACE 3: #2 Healthy Joyful, #1 Biz Power, #9 Intrepic, #13 Energetic Class

RACE 4: #13 Destin, #1 Travel Emperor, #5 Lucky Time, #9 Red Elysees

RACE 5: #1 Sun Touch, #5 Brilliant Dream, #7 Empire Star, #2 Avellino

RACE 6: #7 Super Hoppy, #6 Hard Promise, #9 Infinity Endeavour, #12 California Archer

RACE 7: #7 Dances With Dragon, #1 Mr Genuine, #10 Momentum Lucky, #9 Lucky Wan Feng

RACE 8: #3 Pingwu Spark, #4 Racing Supernova, #6 Eastern Express, #11 Easy Go Easy Win

RACE 9: #1 Nothingilikemore, #2 Exultant, #9 Lockheed, #10 Morethanlucky

RACE 10: #4 Conte, #3 Simply Brilliant, #8 Roundabout, #9 Ultimate Glory


#5 Thou Shall Sing makes his debut here for trainer Chris So. The Your Song half-brother to one of Australia’s speediest fillies of recent years, Amelia’s Dream, looks primed for his debut and if he can take advantage of his good draw, he will be hard to beat. #12 Hot Hot Pepper is now 0-for-23 in his career but he’s been crying out for a better draw, which he gets here over the straight 1000m. He can figure. #11 Beaut Beaut is next to him in gate 10 and can be around the mark. Expect #3 Noble Delight to improve from the advantageous second-from-outside draw.


#2 Amritsaria only won two back for the first time in 18 starts. He’s dour and one-paced but he’s drawn a nice gate and if he can get out and roll on the lead, he can win again over this course and distance. #7 Sweet Bean is a Class 5 mainstay, always consistent in this grade, and he can run another bold race. #1 Audacity has drawn awkwardly but has to go in on his last two runs. #8 Fair Comment, a son of 2010 G1 Underwood Stakes quinella So You Think and Dariana, steps up vastly in trip but can run a better race out to 2000m.


#2 Healthy Joyful rallied well for second to Conte last time out. He is better suited in Class 3 at this stage and although he is an infrequent winner, he deserves to be ranked highly here. #1 Biz Power improved second-up with a step up to 1200m. He should relish stepping up in trip again, this time to 1400m, and he may even emerge as a Classic Cup contender should he perform well here. #9 Intrepic gets in with no weight thanks to Matthew Poon’s claim and he’s at a point where he can win again. #13 Energetic Class should be ready to rumble third-up.


#13 Destin is racing well currently but just hasn’t been able to break through for a victory. He’s drawn the right spot to be able to make his presence felt here, though. #1 Travel Emperor hasn’t lived up to his early billing, with Joao Moreira suggesting he was a stakes horse in the making. However, he’s been good back in this grade, particularly with the step up to 1400m, and he deserves inclusion. #5 Lucky Time has disappointed in three starts since a good win in October, but if he can find his feet, he’s a chance at odds. #9 Red Elysees can figure if he runs to his best.


#1 Sun Touch is becoming frustrating to follow but he clearly appears to be on the cusp of a victory. This race might finally provide him with his first Hong Kong win, with everything appearing set for him. #5 Brilliant Dream almost won on New Year’s Day, when he was just outgunned by Wushu Champion. He’s at a winnable mark and he deserves respect. #7 Empire Star has drawn awkwardly again but is sure to be somewhere in the mix. #2 Avellino is second-up after a long break but he can figure at odds if things fall into place.


#7 Super Hoppy ran particularly well at his first two starts before a terrible effort last time out. It’s best to draw a line through that run and take him on his prior two efforts, which would have him as a major player here. #6 Hard Promise has been slowly improving with racing and his last two efforts have been good. He’s in the mix. #9 Infinity Endeavour has won two of his last three. He’s sure to have his admirers but he may be better suited with a step up to 1400m now. Still, he’s a contender. #12 California Archer ran more to his true form second-up and should be nearing his zenith third-up.


New Zealand G1 winner #7 Dances With Dragon ran home powerfully first-up over the 1000m, which on all of his overseas form should have been too short. He steps up to 1200m now and although he has to overcome the outside gate, he is worth following here. #1 Mr Genuine has always shown his best at Happy Valley but there has been a number of good efforts over this course and distance. He is racing well enough to threaten here. #10 Momentum Lucky is nearing a mark where he can win again. #9 Lucky Wan Feng is first-up since June but has the ability to win in this grade if he puts it all together fresh.


#3 Pingwu Spark had to dig deep to win last time out but the way that he picked himself up off the canvas and sprinted home to score was impressive and it was his best win yet. This race doesn’t look any tougher and he’s a big horse so the weight shouldn’t be a concern. He can win again. #4 Racing Supernova needs things to fall his way if he is to get into the finish but he’s a logical threat. #6 Eastern Express is racing well in these races without winning and deserves inclusion off a good mark. Three-year-old #11 Easy Go Easy Win won nicely at his Hong Kong debut and can figure up in grade.


#1 Nothingilikemore has, so far, proven to be the standout four-year-old. Even when tasting defeat for the first time last month, he ran a remarkable race and only just went down. He takes essentially a drop in grade for this and on ratings, he should be winning. #2 Exultant has plenty of quality. The nominal Derby favourite has some good mile form, including a third to Churchill in the Irish 2,000 Guineas when named Irishcorrespondent, and his last-start victory was monstrous. The drop back in trip after winning over a mile last time out is a concern but he’s the logical danger to the favourite. #9 Lockheed has had no luck in two Hong Kong starts to date and should figure if he can find a clear passage. #10 Morethanlucky is one who looks capable of outperforming his handicap rating.


In amongst a John Size stable full of promising horses, #4 Conte has emerged as potentially one of the brightest lights after three straight wins to begin his career. The son of Starcraft has won each of his starts by two lengths and while he now finds himself at the top of Class 3, one of the toughest places to win from in Hong Kong, he looks capable of continuing higher. #3 Simply Brilliant has finished second at each of his three Hong Kong starts and the Frankel four-year-old looks most likely to fill second again. #8 Roundabout and #9 Ultimate Glory are both racing well enough to get into the placings.