02/01/2018 10:30AM

Andrew Hawkins' Hong Kong selections and analysis for Sunday, February 4, 2018

Email

SHA TIN SELECTIONS

(Sunday, February 4, 2018)

RACE 1: #4 Treasure And Gold, #9 Carry To Win, #12 Bliss Cartel, #7 Glory Horsie
RACE 2: #2 Speedy King, #3 Have Fun Together, #7 Fresh Power, #6 Pearl Champion
RACE 3: #5 Dinozzo, #3 Gold Mount, #4 Horse Of Fortune, #2 Eagle Way
RACE 4: #1 Super Missile, #3 Travel Emperor, #2 Top Score, #9 Grade One
RACE 5: #2 Super Chic, #1 Grand Chancellor, #6 Bring It On, #4 McQueen
RACE 6: #1 Noble Steed, #10 Royale Elegance, #2 Relentless Me, #9 Magic Success
RACE 7: #8 Ping Hai Star, #3 Mr Genuine, #2 New Asia Sunrise, #6 Good Standing
RACE 8: #7 Turin Redstar, #5 Infinity Endeavour, #12 C P Power, #4 Sleep Education
RACE 9: #2 Ivictory, #11 Better Choice, #4 My Beginner's Luck, #8 Super Wise
RACE 10: #4 Baba Mama, #10 Healthy Joyful, #8 World Record, #2 Happy Agility

 

:: Hong Kong: Free PPs, picks, and analysis

 

RACE 1: BUTTERFLY HANDICAP

#4 Treasure And Gold has run well at his last three starts with Eddy Lai in the saddle. Zac Purton jumps aboard now and this looks a perfect chance for him to gain another victory. #9 Carry To Win has run really well in two starts for Richard Gibson. He had no luck last time out and he only needs even luck to be in the finish. #12 Bliss Cartel’s run last weekend should be forgiven, given the pace scenario. He can improve dramatically. #7 Glory Horsie is better over 1000m but he can get into the placings.

RACE 2: FU TAI HANDICAP

#2 Speedy King makes his Sha Tin debut after two runs at Happy Valley and also steps up to 1200m. He pulled up with blood in his trachea after his last run, so it’s a performance best forgotten, and his first effort was good enough for him to be competitive here. #3 Have Fun Together has put in two good runs over the 1000m and 1200m. He has to contend with gate 12, but it won’t be long before he is winning. #7 Fresh Power relished a drop in trip last start to improve considerably. He deserves consideration.. #6 Pearl Champion can show up on debut.

RACE 3: G3 CENTENARY VASE

An intriguing race where a legitimate case could be made for each of the seven runners. #5 Dinozzo won at Happy Valley on Wednesday night and makes a quick return to the races here. He has a better overall record at Happy Valley but he is a two-time course and distance winner here and he should be forwardly placed in a race with limited pace. He can win twice in four days. #3 Gold Mount returned with a terrific win in October and then was not disgraced against tougher company. He will be hard to beat if the race sets up for him. #4 Horse Of Fortune is looking to complete the clean sweep of 1800m Group 3 races at Sha Tin, having already won the Ladies’ Purse and the Premier Plate. Last week’s effort should be forgotten and this is more his go. #2 Eagle Way can’t be forgotten after a sweeping win in the January Cup.

RACE 4: LUNG YAT HANDICAP

#1 Super Missile needed to produce something special to win from an awkward spot last time out, and he got there in the nick of time to score. With a clearer run, he should be able to win his way out of this grade. #3 Travel Emperor is yet to run poorly in this grade, even though he has not looked anything like the galloper he promised to be last season. He should get every chance from the inside gate. #2 Top Score gets his first chance in Class 4. He’s disappointed for the most part in Hong Kong, but this might be his level. #9 Grade One trialled well recently and deserves consideration.

RACE 5: ON TING HANDICAP

#2 Super Chic has been running solid races without winning since getting down into Class 3. It seems only a matter of time before he breaks through and the booking of Dylan Mo might give him the extra weight advantage he needs. #1 Grand Chancellor ran a solid race in the Hong Kong Classic Mile. This is easier but he also has to carry plenty of weight. Still, he’s a chance. #6 Bring It On had been promising to run the race he produced to win last time out for quite some time. If he can reproduce that, he’ll be going close. #4 McQueen can finish around the mark, getting up to a more appropriate distance.

RACE 6: THE YAN OI TONG CUP

#1 Noble Steed had looked like a potential late Derby aspirant when winning in late December, but at his next start in early January, he didn’t look anything of that ilk, although he did have circumstances against and he was galloped on. If he can run up to the level he achieved two back, he should be winning here. #10 Royale Elegance is in good form and a win appears near. It could very easily come here. #2 Relentless Me returns to Class 4 after disappointing up in grade. He is sure to have plenty of admirers. #9 Magic Success should appreciate the 1400m.

RACE 7: PO TIN HANDICAP

#8 Ping Hai Star won like a horse going places last start, missing the start badly but dashing home to win comfortably. He steps up to Class 2 now, but if he can repeat that last-start effort – in fact, if he can repeat most of his Hong Kong runs – there’s no reason he can’t win again. #3 Mr Genuine has lived up to his name this season with eight first-four placings from eight runs. However, he hasn’t been able to win. He steps up to 1400m now and should be in the mix again. #2 New Asia Sunrise is as honest as they come. He is a good yardstick and should be around the mark. #6 Good Standing has had issues but he’s talented on his day and he can finish close-up.

RACE 8: SAM SHING HANDICAP

#7 Turin Redstar proved one of the hard-luck stories of the season last time out when simply failing to gain clear running for the majority of the straight. He only needs clear running here to be a leading player. #5 Infinity Endeavour has mixed his form this season with two wins and two fifths. He finally steps up in trip to 1400m again, and that should prove a positive for him. He’s a logical danger. #12 C P Power might need to get back down to Class 4 but he has run well enough in two starts in this grade to give him another chance. #4 Sleep Education has failed at two starts at 1400m here in Hong Kong but he was a G3 placegetter behind two of South Africa’s best gallopers in Marinaresco and Whisky Baron pre-import. He deserves another chance at the distance.

RACE 9: TAI HING HANDICAP

#2 Ivictory makes his return to the races after winning three of his four starts as a three-year-old. The most recent was in July, where he saw off local debutant Fifty Fifty – who has risen to G1 level since – in this grade. He may be in need of the run but he has trialled well and he can resume his winning ways. #11 Better Choice is up in grade for the first time. He is yet to disappoint in three starts to date and looks capable of measuring up here. #4 My Beginner's Luck improved significantly second-up. If he runs to that level here, he can figure. #8 Super Wise deserves consideration.

RACE 10: WU KING HANDICAP

#4 Baba Mama is well suited under the conditions of this race. He has not won in over a year but he looks capable of getting back into the winners’ circle in a race of this nature. #10 Healthy Joyful couldn’t peg back Volitation last time out but still performed well with a number of excuses in the run. He has another poor gate to overcome but he can get into the finish. #8 World Record may be approaching his mark but he’s still able to get into the money when things fall his way. He deserves inclusion. #2 Happy Agility is a place chance with claimer Matthew Poon in the saddle.