09/05/2016 10:53AM

Andrew Hawkins' Hong Kong selections and analysis: September 7, 2016



(Wednesday September 7, 2016)

RACE 1: #2 Formula Galore, #10 King Of Smarts, #12 Smart Gain, #11 Intellectual Glide
RACE 2: #11 Mr Kool, #5 Flying Monkey, #4 Gentilis, #1 Mission Possible
RACE 3: #6 Speedy Wally, #12 Mighty Wongchoy, #1 Best Jade Triumph, #11 Dragon Glory
RACE 4: #1 Grand Harbour, #3 Super Sprinter, #6 Rapid Triumph, #2 Best Tango
RACE 5: #2 Victorius, #7 Victory Marvel, #5 London Master, #4 Golden Glory
RACE 6: #9 Ho Ho Feel, #7 Happy Spirit, #2 King Of Mongolia, #5 Chater Legend
RACE 7: #9 Lucky Profit, #10 I'm A Witness, #8 Hang's Decision, #3 Happy Bao Bei
RACE 8: #4 Mr Bogart, #9 Righteous, #7 Charity Joy, #12 Blocker Dee


#2 Formula Galore is drawn awkwardly but showed glimpses of talent last season. Importantly, Zac Purton has sided with him over another regular ride in Rugby Diamond. #10 King Of Smarts is inconsistent but he has been a standout in his recent work and he is at his best over this course and distance. Expect major improvement from #12 Smart Gain - a trainer change, first-time blinkers and a better trial all point to a better performance. #11 Intellectual Glide comes in with no trial but a solid tempo should suit him.


#11 Mr Kool is hit and miss, but some of his best efforts over this course and distance would be winning this. He should get a terrific run in transit. #5 Flying Monkey is ready to break through after filling the runner-up stall at his last three starts, but may end up doing the donkey work in chasing the leader. #4 Gentilis is extremely speedy, and with the low draw and the booking of Kei Chiong, he will try and pinch it from the front. The final stages will be his test. #1 Mission Possible ended last season on a sour note after a good first preparation, including two wins at this trip. A drop in class is a big plus.


#6 Speedy Wally had three runs over unsuitable trips at the end of last season after a stable change. Stepping up to 1,650m and with a switch to Zac Purton, he can break his Hong Kong maiden. #12 Mighty Wongchoy is at a point in the ratings where he should be winning soon with the right setup. He could get a soft lead out in front with Kei Chiong aboard. Expect #11 Dragon Glory to settle handy and to challenge if they go too slow. Brett Prebble is the master of the mid-race move at Happy Valley. He will settle near the rear on #1 Best Jade Triumph but don't be surprised to see Prebble take off early.


#1 Grand Harbour has had a significant stable change, leaving top trainer John Moore for Michael Chang, but his recent trial suggests he is going as well as ever. Back to Class 4 helps his cause too. #3 Super Sprinter found form at the end of last campaign and gets the services of the Magic Man, Joao Moreira. He maps beautifully. #6 Rapid Triumph will be closing late and is honest, while #2 Best Tango drops down to Class 4 for just the second time - the first, he won convincingly.


#2 Victorius has dropped a long way from the days when he was competitive in Class 2 but his season-ending effort suggested he was coming to life once again. He is at his best over this course and distance and should get a perfect run. #7 Victory Marvel looks untapped and his trial win on the dirt last week was terrific. He is heading higher. #5 London Master and #4 Golden Glory should be just off the pace and ready to pounce when the leaders fold up.


#9 Ho Ho Feel is a genuine type who looks to get a race shape to suit here. His trial was very quiet, but his gallop on Monday morning suggests he is ready to run a bold race under Derek Leung. #7 Happy Spirit has a lot of natural speed, which he will need from the outside gate, but he should get into a nice spot on the lead or just outside the lead and he will take running down. #2 King Of Mongolia and #5 Chater Legend are both drawn to sit handy and should get a nice trail into the race just off the speed.


#9 Lucky Profit has plenty of talent, but also has plenty of problems. However, a dominant trial effort recently suggests that he is on song and he is yet to miss a place over the Happy Valley 1,200m. #10 I'm A Witness had been consistent without winning before finally breaking through last start. He goes into Class 3 for the first time but the lighter weight looks crucial and he maps well. Hang's Decision is another who maps well and he looked good in a recent trial, while #3 Happy Bao Bei looks on the cusp after a number of pleasing efforts.


#4 Mr Bogart is an exciting horse who was impressive at his last start in June. He should be suited by the tight turns of Happy Valley and can take another step. #9 Righteous has only run at Happy Valley once but it was clearly his best performance last season. He looks well placed fresh. A return to Happy Valley should also suit #7 Charity Joy, who will be up on speed, but he may be vulnerable late. Don't discount #12 Blocker Dee either, with the consistent type carrying a featherweight.